Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 30, 2018

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $1538.4000 (5.86%) ($1488.1200 - $1545.6000) on Tue. Jan. 30, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.89% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $1538.4000(5.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    DIA(2%)    GDXJ(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    QQQ(-22%)    IWO(-22%)    IWF(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.945% (StdDev 3.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $1590.22
5 Day Moving Average   $1512.24(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1494.85(2.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1590.22(-3.26%)
To recent high   -27.4%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 7.11% (three month std-dev: 3.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.25%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -7.49%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.94%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2018	2033.47	1590.22	1494.85	1512.24	1502.48	1492.97	1538.4(5.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	205	-60	264	26	0.02	46%	-0.72	-85.1	3.89%	0	-0.5	42	-1.9
2	Jan_29_2018	2048.2	1610.62	1504.7	1489.68	1495.81	1477.05	1453.2(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-369	-80	-407	-255	0.01	43%	-0.85	-86.4	3.81%	0	-1.4	40	-2.1
3	Jan_26_2018	2065.72	1633.44	1525.98	1490.64	1489.21	1512	1448.4(-9.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	100	-2	-91	0.01	41%	-0.79	-70.4	3.88%	0	-1.3	37	136.8
4	Jan_25_2018	2082.16	1657.27	1550.68	1499.04	1484.86	1514.57	1600.8(5.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	609	110	743	208	0.01	47%	-0.71	-64.1	3.71%	0	-0.4	43	137.4
5	Jan_24_2018	2097.15	1673.78	1561.66	1477.92	1474.15	1466.43	1520.4(6.65%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	91	-40	137	-47	0.01	44%	-0.76	-61	3.68%	0	-1	34	-1.4

6	Jan_23_2018	2113.13	1692.61	1576.54	1476.96	1476.16	1455.16	1425.6(-2.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-611	-100	-684	-392	0	40%	-0.34	-61.3	3.57%	0	-1.6	18	0.1
7	Jan_22_2018	2120.29	1716.66	1598.17	1523.52	1511.02	1481.87	1458(-2.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-531	-160	-588	-360	0	40%	-0.73	-62.8	3.57%	0	-1.6	15	0.9
8	Jan_19_2018	2135.85	1736.6	1620.06	1567.2	1553.62	1497.15	1490.4(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-918	-280	-1043	-542	0.01	40%	-0.73	-65.8	3.56%	0	-1.6	22	1
9	Jan_18_2018	2151.48	1756.54	1641.49	1609.68	1603.95	1540.18	1495.2(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-1249	-290	-1433	-696	0.01	40%	-0.76	-68.5	3.57%	0	-1.8	22	0
10	Jan_17_2018	2167.98	1776.16	1665.53	1657.44	1656	1610.09	1515.6(-8.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-1023	-200	-1168	-586	0.01	40%	-0.82	-72.4	3.56%	0	-2	22	0

11	Jan_16_2018	2186.01	1800.81	1696.12	1689.12	1656	1667.72	1658.4(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-453	-110	-499	-315	0.01	44%	-1.27	-77.6	3.41%	0	-1.2	33	0
12	Jan_12_2018	2214.06	1822	1725.96	1682.88	1697.26	1701.92	1676.4(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-259	40	-271	-221	0	44%	-0.73	-76.5	3.39%	0	-1.2	34	0
13	Jan_11_2018	2230.28	1842.32	1749.31	1680.72	1686.53	1726.8	1702.8(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	480	180	596	130	0	44%	-0.71	-71.5	3.39%	0	-1.1	42	0
14	Jan_10_2018	2246.2	1861.23	1771.21	1679.28	1676.22	1692.6	1734(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	625	60	766	202	0.01	44%	-0.71	-69.2	3.4%	0	-0.9	41	0
15	Jan_9_2018	2262.21	1875.99	1791.95	1677.6	1666.77	1646.25	1674(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-423	-110	-468	-288	0.01	42%	-0.81	-69.9	3.36%	0	-1.4	37	0

16	Jan_8_2018	2280.57	1895.87	1815.15	1706.4	1695.4	1659.83	1627.2(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-847	-170	-968	-483	0	42%	-0.79	-65	3.34%	0	-1.9	26	0
17	Jan_5_2018	2298.66	1917.12	1843.55	1776.96	1754.72	1687.29	1665.6(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-1115	-310	-1289	-593	0	42%	-0.77	-52.9	3.34%	0	-2	23	0
18	Jan_4_2018	2316.58	1939.2	1863.04	1828.32	1823.53	1730.96	1695.6(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-1606	-360	-1868	-820	0.01	42%	-0.65	-42.2	3.33%	0	-2.1	25	0
19	Jan_3_2018	2331.67	1960.92	1882.79	1875.84	1877.23	1822.16	1725.6(-5.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-1577	-200	-1835	-801	0	42%	-0.63	-18.2	3.33%	0	-2.2	26	0
20	Jan_2_2018	2346.57	1981.25	1899.03	1921.44	1922.77	1916.1	1818(-8.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-391	-20	-442	-236	0	44%	-1.08	11.8	3.28%	0	-1.7	36	0

21	Dec_29_2017	2372.09	1990.19	1917.22	1938	1943.54	1932.3	1980(3%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	102	-30	138	-5	0	49%	-0.66	33.8	3.13%	0	-0.1	42	0
22	Dec_28_2017	2387.82	1987.29	1926.2	1920.96	1934.47	1929.43	1922.4(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-247	0	-271	-174	0	49%	-0.57	38.8	3.11%	0	-0.7	41	0
23	Dec_27_2017	2401.41	1989.12	1941.68	1903.92	1920.88	1954.78	1933.2(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	410	150	504	126	0	45%	-0.55	48.3	3.12%	0	-0.6	37	0
24	Dec_26_2017	2414.57	1980.31	1955.99	1891.92	1894.34	1939.5	1953.6(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	859	170	1034	332	0	45%	-0.9	37.7	3.23%	0	-0.2	36	0
25	Dec_22_2017	2436.61	1970.09	1963.06	1874.64	1871.09	1886.99	1900.8(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	473	50	585	137	0	48%		24	3.27%	0	-0.5	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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