Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 12, 2018

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $1676.4000 (-1.55%) ($1665.7200 - $1713.6000) on Fri. Jan. 12, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.39% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $1676.4000(-1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    DIA(2%)    GDXJ(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    QQQ(-22%)    IWO(-22%)    IWF(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.695% (StdDev 3.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $1822
5 Day Moving Average   $1682.88(-0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1725.96(-2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1822(-7.99%)
To recent high   -26.9%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 6.48% (three month std-dev: 3.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 3.43%(62%) Average negative next day return: -3.86%(38%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 7.54%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -4.36%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 4.73%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.7%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2018	2214.06	1822	1725.96	1682.88	1697.26	1701.92	1676.4(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-259	40	-271	-221	0	44%	-0.73	-76.5	3.39%	0	-1.2	34	0
2	Jan_11_2018	2230.28	1842.32	1749.31	1680.72	1686.53	1726.8	1702.8(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	480	180	596	130	0	44%	-0.71	-71.5	3.39%	0	-1.1	42	0
3	Jan_10_2018	2246.2	1861.23	1771.21	1679.28	1676.22	1692.6	1734(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	625	60	766	202	0.01	44%	-0.71	-69.2	3.4%	0	-0.9	41	0
4	Jan_9_2018	2262.21	1875.99	1791.95	1677.6	1666.77	1646.25	1674(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-423	-110	-468	-288	0.01	42%	-0.81	-69.9	3.36%	0	-1.4	37	0
5	Jan_8_2018	2280.57	1895.87	1815.15	1706.4	1695.4	1659.83	1627.2(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-847	-170	-968	-483	0	42%	-0.79	-65	3.34%	0	-1.9	26	0

6	Jan_5_2018	2298.66	1917.12	1843.55	1776.96	1754.72	1687.29	1665.6(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-1115	-310	-1289	-593	0	42%	-0.77	-52.9	3.34%	0	-2	23	0
7	Jan_4_2018	2316.58	1939.2	1863.04	1828.32	1823.53	1730.96	1695.6(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-1606	-360	-1868	-820	0.01	42%	-0.65	-42.2	3.33%	0	-2.1	25	0
8	Jan_3_2018	2331.67	1960.92	1882.79	1875.84	1877.23	1822.16	1725.6(-5.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-1577	-200	-1835	-801	0	42%	-0.63	-18.2	3.33%	0	-2.2	26	0
9	Jan_2_2018	2346.57	1981.25	1899.03	1921.44	1922.77	1916.1	1818(-8.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-391	-20	-442	-236	0	44%	-1.08	11.8	3.28%	0	-1.7	36	0
10	Dec_29_2017	2372.09	1990.19	1917.22	1938	1943.54	1932.3	1980(3%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	102	-30	138	-5	0	49%	-0.66	33.8	3.13%	0	-0.1	42	0

11	Dec_28_2017	2387.82	1987.29	1926.2	1920.96	1934.47	1929.43	1922.4(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-247	0	-271	-174	0	49%	-0.57	38.8	3.11%	0	-0.7	41	0
12	Dec_27_2017	2401.41	1989.12	1941.68	1903.92	1920.88	1954.78	1933.2(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	410	150	504	126	0	45%	-0.55	48.3	3.12%	0	-0.6	37	0
13	Dec_26_2017	2414.57	1980.31	1955.99	1891.92	1894.34	1939.5	1953.6(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	859	170	1034	332	0	45%	-0.9	37.7	3.23%	0	-0.2	36	0
14	Dec_22_2017	2436.61	1970.09	1963.06	1874.64	1871.09	1886.99	1900.8(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	473	50	585	137	0	48%	-0.61	24	3.27%	0	-0.5	31	0
15	Dec_21_2017	2451.48	1960.06	1979.46	1894.56	1869.59	1849.18	1894.8(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-453	-120	-509	-286	0	48%	-0.59	24.2	3.27%	0	-0.5	47	0

16	Dec_20_2017	2466.01	1952.16	1993.98	1934.64	1913.63	1855.2	1837.2(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-973	-250	-1128	-506	0	51%	-0.58	25.7	3.25%	0	-0.8	49	0
17	Dec_19_2017	2480.41	1945.97	2020.78	1985.76	1976.12	1890	1873.2(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1457	-320	-1709	-702	0	51%	-0.58	29.7	3.29%	0	-0.5	49	0
18	Dec_18_2017	2494.97	1940.42	2046.27	2028.96	2025.39	1972.07	1867.2(-6.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1478	-190	-1749	-664	0.01	49%	-0.56	34.6	3.29%	0	-0.4	64	0
19	Dec_15_2017	2508.96	1937.98	2073.08	2061.6	2065.81	2062.24	2000.4(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-211	-10	-274	-21	0.01	49%	-0.48	39.7	3.23%	0	0.4	73	0
20	Dec_14_2017	2521.18	1926.99	2072.54	2074.8	2067.45	2078.72	2095.2(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	291	30	305	249	0	52%	-0.39	39.5	3.24%	0	1	82	0

21	Dec_13_2017	2530.98	1914.39	2055.48	2062.56	2050.41	2069.39	2092.8(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	265	50	269	251	0	52%	-0.43	42	3.24%	0	1.1	76	0
22	Dec_12_2017	2541.87	1899.71	2041.43	2063.04	2043.36	2056.17	2089.2(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	218	20	205	257	0	52%	-0.43	45.1	3.24%	0	1.2	78	0
23	Dec_11_2017	2552.75	1884.8	2007.24	2069.04	2062.2	2031.44	2030.4(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-78	-110	-147	128	0	49%	-0.43	49.8	3.22%	0	0.9	69	0
24	Dec_8_2017	2563.88	1873.76	1978.5	2087.04	2078.89	2030.55	2066.4(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-758	-170	-949	-185	0.01	49%	-0.39	54.4	3.28%	0	1.3	65	0
25	Dec_7_2017	2573.92	1862	1939.75	2069.04	2079.19	2092.97	2034(-2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-313	60	-420	10	0.01	49%		51	3.31%	0	1.2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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