Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ soxs: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 9, 2018

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $1674.0000 (2.88%) ($1614.0000 - $1680.0000) on Tue. Jan. 9, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.36% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $1674.0000(2.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    DIA(2%)    GDXJ(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    QQQ(-22%)    IWO(-22%)    IWF(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.68% (StdDev 3.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

Resistance Level   $1875.99
5 Day Moving Average   $1677.6(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1791.95(-6.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1875.99(-10.77%)
To recent high   -29%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 7.6% (three month std-dev: 3.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 4.55%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.41%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 4.4%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.6%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 8.95%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.88%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_9_2018	2262.21	1875.99	1791.95	1677.6	1666.77	1646.25	1674(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-423	-110	-468	-288	0.01	42%	-0.81	-69.9	3.36%	0	-1.4	37	0
2	Jan_8_2018	2280.57	1895.87	1815.15	1706.4	1695.4	1659.83	1627.2(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-847	-170	-968	-483	0	42%	-0.79	-65	3.34%	0	-1.9	26	0
3	Jan_5_2018	2298.66	1917.12	1843.55	1776.96	1754.72	1687.29	1665.6(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-1115	-310	-1289	-593	0	42%	-0.77	-52.9	3.34%	0	-2	23	0
4	Jan_4_2018	2316.58	1939.2	1863.04	1828.32	1823.53	1730.96	1695.6(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-1606	-360	-1868	-820	0.01	42%	-0.65	-42.2	3.33%	0	-2.1	25	0
5	Jan_3_2018	2331.67	1960.92	1882.79	1875.84	1877.23	1822.16	1725.6(-5.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-1577	-200	-1835	-801	0	42%	-0.63	-18.2	3.33%	0	-2.2	26	0

6	Jan_2_2018	2346.57	1981.25	1899.03	1921.44	1922.77	1916.1	1818(-8.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-391	-20	-442	-236	0	44%	-1.08	11.8	3.28%	0	-1.7	36	0
7	Dec_29_2017	2372.09	1990.19	1917.22	1938	1943.54	1932.3	1980(3%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	102	-30	138	-5	0	49%	-0.66	33.8	3.13%	0	-0.1	42	0
8	Dec_28_2017	2387.82	1987.29	1926.2	1920.96	1934.47	1929.43	1922.4(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-247	0	-271	-174	0	49%	-0.57	38.8	3.11%	0	-0.7	41	0
9	Dec_27_2017	2401.41	1989.12	1941.68	1903.92	1920.88	1954.78	1933.2(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	410	150	504	126	0	45%	-0.55	48.3	3.12%	0	-0.6	37	0
10	Dec_26_2017	2414.57	1980.31	1955.99	1891.92	1894.34	1939.5	1953.6(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	859	170	1034	332	0	45%	-0.9	37.7	3.23%	0	-0.2	36	0

11	Dec_22_2017	2436.61	1970.09	1963.06	1874.64	1871.09	1886.99	1900.8(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	473	50	585	137	0	48%	-0.61	24	3.27%	0	-0.5	31	0
12	Dec_21_2017	2451.48	1960.06	1979.46	1894.56	1869.59	1849.18	1894.8(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-453	-120	-509	-286	0	48%	-0.59	24.2	3.27%	0	-0.5	47	0
13	Dec_20_2017	2466.01	1952.16	1993.98	1934.64	1913.63	1855.2	1837.2(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-973	-250	-1128	-506	0	51%	-0.58	25.7	3.25%	0	-0.8	49	0
14	Dec_19_2017	2480.41	1945.97	2020.78	1985.76	1976.12	1890	1873.2(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1457	-320	-1709	-702	0	51%	-0.58	29.7	3.29%	0	-0.5	49	0
15	Dec_18_2017	2494.97	1940.42	2046.27	2028.96	2025.39	1972.07	1867.2(-6.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1478	-190	-1749	-664	0.01	49%	-0.56	34.6	3.29%	0	-0.4	64	0

16	Dec_15_2017	2508.96	1937.98	2073.08	2061.6	2065.81	2062.24	2000.4(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-211	-10	-274	-21	0.01	49%	-0.48	39.7	3.23%	0	0.4	73	0
17	Dec_14_2017	2521.18	1926.99	2072.54	2074.8	2067.45	2078.72	2095.2(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	291	30	305	249	0	52%	-0.39	39.5	3.24%	0	1	82	0
18	Dec_13_2017	2530.98	1914.39	2055.48	2062.56	2050.41	2069.39	2092.8(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	265	50	269	251	0	52%	-0.43	42	3.24%	0	1.1	76	0
19	Dec_12_2017	2541.87	1899.71	2041.43	2063.04	2043.36	2056.17	2089.2(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	218	20	205	257	0	52%	-0.43	45.1	3.24%	0	1.2	78	0
20	Dec_11_2017	2552.75	1884.8	2007.24	2069.04	2062.2	2031.44	2030.4(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-78	-110	-147	128	0	49%	-0.43	49.8	3.22%	0	0.9	69	0

21	Dec_8_2017	2563.88	1873.76	1978.5	2087.04	2078.89	2030.55	2066.4(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-758	-170	-949	-185	0.01	49%	-0.39	54.4	3.28%	0	1.3	65	0
22	Dec_7_2017	2573.92	1862	1939.75	2069.04	2079.19	2092.97	2034(-2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-313	60	-420	10	0.01	49%	-0.41	51	3.31%	0	1.2	66	0
23	Dec_6_2017	2584.52	1847.26	1907.63	2044.56	2069.21	2127.23	2095.2(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	1306	230	1491	751	0.01	49%	-0.42	40.3	3.3%	0	1.8	62	0
24	Dec_5_2017	2595.38	1829.8	1865.1	2014.8	2009.19	2065.42	2119.2(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	1261	190	1445	707	0.01	51%	-0.42	31.1	3.3%	0	2.3	65	0
25	Dec_4_2017	2606.34	1810.61	1824.47	1935.36	1943.38	2011.18	2120.4(7.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	1359	260	1576	707	0.02	51%		6.1	3.34%	0	2.8	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.