Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $1900.8000 (0.32%) ($1893.6000 - $1940.4000) on Fri. Dec. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.27% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $1900.8000(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    DIA(2%)    GDXJ(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    QQQ(-22%)    IWO(-22%)    IWF(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.635% (StdDev 3.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $1970.09
5 Day Moving Average   $1874.64(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1963.06(-3.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1970.09(-3.52%)
To recent high   -33.5%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 6.93% (three month std-dev: 3.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.19%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.96%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2017	2436.61	1970.09	1963.06	1874.64	1871.09	1886.99	1900.8(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	473	50	585	137	0	48%	-0.61	24	3.27%	0	-0.5	31	0
2	Dec_21_2017	2451.48	1960.06	1979.46	1894.56	1869.59	1849.18	1894.8(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-453	-120	-509	-286	0	48%	-0.59	24.2	3.27%	0	-0.5	47	0
3	Dec_20_2017	2466.01	1952.16	1993.98	1934.64	1913.63	1855.2	1837.2(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-973	-250	-1128	-506	0	51%	-0.58	25.7	3.25%	0	-0.8	49	0
4	Dec_19_2017	2480.41	1945.97	2020.78	1985.76	1976.12	1890	1873.2(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1457	-320	-1709	-702	0	51%	-0.58	29.7	3.29%	0	-0.5	49	0
5	Dec_18_2017	2494.97	1940.42	2046.27	2028.96	2025.39	1972.07	1867.2(-6.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1478	-190	-1749	-664	0.01	49%	-0.56	34.6	3.29%	0	-0.4	64	0

6	Dec_15_2017	2508.96	1937.98	2073.08	2061.6	2065.81	2062.24	2000.4(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-211	-10	-274	-21	0.01	49%	-0.48	39.7	3.23%	0	0.4	73	0
7	Dec_14_2017	2521.18	1926.99	2072.54	2074.8	2067.45	2078.72	2095.2(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	291	30	305	249	0	52%	-0.39	39.5	3.24%	0	1	82	0
8	Dec_13_2017	2530.98	1914.39	2055.48	2062.56	2050.41	2069.39	2092.8(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	265	50	269	251	0	52%	-0.43	42	3.24%	0	1.1	76	0
9	Dec_12_2017	2541.87	1899.71	2041.43	2063.04	2043.36	2056.17	2089.2(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	218	20	205	257	0	52%	-0.43	45.1	3.24%	0	1.2	78	0
10	Dec_11_2017	2552.75	1884.8	2007.24	2069.04	2062.2	2031.44	2030.4(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-78	-110	-147	128	0	49%	-0.43	49.8	3.22%	0	0.9	69	0

11	Dec_8_2017	2563.88	1873.76	1978.5	2087.04	2078.89	2030.55	2066.4(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-758	-170	-949	-185	0.01	49%	-0.39	54.4	3.28%	0	1.3	65	0
12	Dec_7_2017	2573.92	1862	1939.75	2069.04	2079.19	2092.97	2034(-2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-313	60	-420	10	0.01	49%	-0.41	51	3.31%	0	1.2	66	0
13	Dec_6_2017	2584.52	1847.26	1907.63	2044.56	2069.21	2127.23	2095.2(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	1306	230	1491	751	0.01	49%	-0.42	40.3	3.3%	0	1.8	62	0
14	Dec_5_2017	2595.38	1829.8	1865.1	2014.8	2009.19	2065.42	2119.2(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	1261	190	1445	707	0.01	51%	-0.42	31.1	3.3%	0	2.3	65	0
15	Dec_4_2017	2606.34	1810.61	1824.47	1935.36	1943.38	2011.18	2120.4(7.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	1359	260	1576	707	0.02	51%	-0.4	6.1	3.34%	0	2.8	65	0

16	Dec_1_2017	2616.91	1794.64	1788.59	1854.96	1867.83	1952.97	1976.4(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	1641	340	1921	799	0.02	47%	-0.51	-27.5	3.22%	0	2.2	59	0
17	Nov_30_2017	2630.23	1791.12	1765.98	1791.6	1792.99	1875.57	1911.6(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	1715	320	2022	795	0.01	42%	-0.52	-61	3.17%	0	1.5	53	0
18	Nov_29_2017	2643.94	1792.38	1757.85	1749.84	1735.69	1782.69	1946.4(13.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	1296	170	1533	585	0.02	42%	-0.56	-81.4	3.22%	0	1.8	62	0
19	Nov_28_2017	2658.82	1790.81	1741.5	1694.88	1693.78	1710.4	1722(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	395	70	485	126	0.01	33%	-0.68	-106	2.71%	0	-0.8	48	0
20	Nov_27_2017	2676.93	1803.97	1749.45	1697.04	1686.08	1688.7	1718.4(3.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	36	-10	61	-38	0.01	33%	-0.72	-103	2.7%	0	-0.9	48	0

21	Nov_24_2017	2696.44	1818.13	1759.5	1712.64	1699.22	1677.15	1659.6(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-361	-110	-408	-219	0	30%	-1.19	-99.6	2.66%	0	-1.6	37	0
22	Nov_22_2017	2729.05	1841.85	1779.19	1735.2	1723.97	1683.47	1702.8(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-916	-180	-1062	-476	0.01	28%	-0.38	-73.6	2.64%	0	-1	33	0
23	Nov_21_2017	2739.42	1865.21	1785.04	1766.16	1753.28	1721.28	1671.6(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1133	-150	-1316	-582	0.01	28%	-0.86	-66.9	2.65%	0	-1.4	28	0
24	Nov_20_2017	2763.16	1886.87	1796.23	1794	1796.48	1764.47	1732.8(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-495	-120	-565	-283	0	30%	-0.78	-64.9	2.67%	0	-1.1	33	0
25	Nov_17_2017	2784.8	1907.29	1800.33	1808.4	1811.54	1785.29	1796.4(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-838	-100	-964	-459	0	37%		-62.2	2.65%	0	-0.7	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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