Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jul. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $3874.8000 (1.54%) ($3722.4000 - $3925.0800) on Sat. Jul. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.87% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $3874.8000(1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.935% (StdDev 3.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $3689.04(5.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3561.76(8.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3463.19(11.89%)
To recent high   -25.7%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 5.78% (three month std-dev: 3.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 3.09%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.56%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 4.52%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -2.25%(55%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 3.88%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.53%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2017	4306.99	3463.19	3561.76	3689.04	3707.2	3782.84	3874.8(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1821	160	2128	900	0	48%	-0.33	40.1	3.87%	0	2.1	63	0
2	Jun_29_2017	4321.26	3433.24	3530.13	3588.96	3594.78	3686.7	3816(7.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	1208	180	1411	598	0.01	48%	-0.31	23.9	3.87%	0	2.2	63	0
3	Jun_28_2017	4334.85	3410.77	3501.14	3508.08	3506.2	3631.56	3546(-5.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1860	250	2177	909	0	44%	-0.38	7.4	3.75%	0	0.9	69	0
4	Jun_27_2017	4351.51	3403.51	3494.19	3477.12	3449.2	3502.86	3744(8.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	1756	80	2053	866	0	46%	-0.35	-5.3	3.7%	0	2.3	67	0
5	Jun_26_2017	4366.69	3385.03	3455.06	3430.08	3400.35	3380.83	3464.4(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-257	-70	-314	-85	0	42%	-0.42	-23.1	3.55%	0	0.6	58	0

6	Jun_23_2017	4385.28	3384.82	3452.18	3416.16	3413.2	3395.55	3374.4(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-376	-40	-456	-137	0	42%	-0.46	-34.5	3.53%	0	-0.1	55	0
7	Jun_22_2017	4405.7	3391.89	3454.45	3461.76	3425.43	3419.87	3411.6(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-395	-40	-483	-130	0	40%	-0.45	-35.7	3.54%	0	0.1	55	0
8	Jun_21_2017	4425.63	3399.55	3418.84	3492.48	3463.52	3430.86	3391.2(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-290	-90	-357	-88	0	44%	-0.52	-44.1	3.55%	0	-0.1	50	0
9	Jun_20_2017	4448.57	3411.46	3399.54	3510.24	3505.19	3430.99	3508.8(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-739	-150	-884	-305	0	44%	-0.44	-37.7	3.66%	0	0.6	53	0
10	Jun_19_2017	4468.12	3415.34	3373.38	3482.64	3504.94	3496.18	3394.8(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-832	0	-989	-361	0	44%	-0.44	-46.4	3.63%	0	-0.1	50	0

11	Jun_16_2017	4488.03	3430.95	3362.46	3490.56	3485.82	3579.39	3602.4(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	863	180	1007	432	0	47%	-0.44	-47.4	3.57%	0	1	54	0
12	Jun_15_2017	4507.9	3440.86	3330.62	3446.16	3476.37	3513.69	3565.2(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2185	100	2568	1034	0	47%	-0.43	-52.2	3.57%	0	0.6	50	0
13	Jun_14_2017	4527.23	3463.42	3311.38	3334.32	3375.38	3392.25	3480(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	70	98	6	0	47%	-0.5	-54.1	3.56%	0	0.1	45	0
14	Jun_13_2017	4549.95	3469.75	3302.11	3272.64	3286.98	3439.05	3370.8(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	1273	340	1515	545	0.01	47%	-0.6	-72.9	3.53%	0	-0.4	37	0
15	Jun_12_2017	4577.45	3489.89	3304.73	3247.92	3243.48	3358.5	3434.4(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3148	240	3726	1413	0.01	47%	-0.56	-84.7	3.53%	0	-0.2	41	0

16	Jun_9_2017	4603.2	3514.76	3306.05	3217.2	3178.32	3134.91	3380.4(12.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-93	-130	-80	-130	0.01	45%	-0.62	-88.6	3.54%	0	-0.5	34	0
17	Jun_8_2017	4632.01	3544.66	3318.07	3203.04	3198.8	3128.46	3006(-5.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-1855	-160	-2144	-989	0	38%	-0.68	-91.4	3.14%	0	-1.9	4	0
18	Jun_7_2017	4663.73	3597.79	3377.57	3283.92	3266.12	3221.74	3171.6(-2.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-1173	-110	-1340	-671	0	40%	-0.7	-94.8	3.09%	0	-1.6	4	0
19	Jun_6_2017	4696.51	3654.51	3425.84	3333.36	3324.18	3269.14	3247.2(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-872	-120	-990	-517	0	40%	-0.32	-87.1	3.08%	0	-1.4	40	0
20	Jun_5_2017	4711.45	3713.71	3463.46	3367.2	3356.19	3310.5	3280.8(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1324	-110	-1522	-729	0	40%	-0.61	-76.2	3.08%	0	-1.3	36	0

21	Jun_2_2017	4740.35	3769.45	3508.84	3407.04	3397.11	3379.23	3309.6(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-735	-50	-829	-452	0	42%	-0.63	-71.9	3.09%	0	-1.3	33	0
22	Jun_1_2017	4770.19	3826.42	3563.45	3451.2	3443.93	3401.88	3410.4(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-477	-90	-527	-326	0	40%	-0.57	-65.3	3.11%	0	-1.2	33	0
23	May_31_2017	4797.44	3878.03	3628.97	3486.72	3475.99	3415	3418.8(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1431	-130	-1653	-764	0	40%	-0.58	-62.1	3.14%	0	-1.3	33	0
24	May_30_2017	4825.29	3931.99	3652.23	3534	3529.77	3485.98	3416.4(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1142	-90	-1307	-645	0	42%	-0.92	-57.1	3.14%	0	-1.4	28	0
25	May_26_2017	4869.94	3980.41	3691.57	3574.56	3580.79	3536.99	3480(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-787	-80	-885	-491	0	43%		-57	3.21%	0	-1.4	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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