Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $4098.0000 (13.12%) ($3732.0000 - $4104.6000) on Wed. May. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.28% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $4098.0000(13.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    GDXJ(2%)    UUP(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)    IWF(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.64% (StdDev 3.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.8%

Resistance Level   $4285.65
5 Day Moving Average   $3899.76(5.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4108.21(-0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4285.65(-4.38%)
To recent high   -21.4%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 6.9% (three month std-dev: 3.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.92%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.1%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.28%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2017	5051.72	4285.65	4108.21	3899.76	3872.89	3813.23	4098(13.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	56	-130	99	-74	0.01	46%	-0.35	-89.4	3.28%	0	-0.6	47	0
2	May_16_2017	5069.66	4322.25	4140.98	3891.36	3906.15	3786.9	3622.8(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3209	-200	-3735	-1632	0	38%	-0.3	-84.3	2.79%	0	-2.2	27	0
3	May_15_2017	5084.73	4389.82	4232.34	4032.72	4008.45	3932.55	3793.2(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2624	-150	-3059	-1320	0	40%	-0.46	-75.7	2.75%	0	-2	35	0
4	May_12_2017	5108.34	4451.57	4293.89	4167.12	4131.98	4025.4	3973.2(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2042	-210	-2382	-1023	0	42%	-0.44	-66.8	2.67%	0	-1.8	35	0
5	May_11_2017	5131.14	4512.55	4348.64	4255.44	4244.33	4084.35	4011.6(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3388	-270	-3970	-1642	0	42%	-0.45	-47.7	2.69%	0	-1.7	32	0

6	May_10_2017	5154.41	4567.51	4380.23	4345.92	4341.9	4238.55	4056(-6.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-3441	-170	-4034	-1660	0	42%	-0.44	-34.3	2.71%	0	-1.7	35	0
7	May_9_2017	5177.41	4609.86	4424.19	4425.84	4428.83	4404.3	4329.6(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1075	-40	-1251	-545	0	46%	-0.42	-25.5	2.6%	0	-1	35	0
8	May_8_2017	5199.38	4631.75	4429.19	4461.12	4468.5	4445.25	4465.2(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-266	-30	-295	-180	0	48%	-0.43	-19.7	2.6%	0	-0.6	35	0
9	May_5_2017	5221.99	4641.74	4431.5	4441.2	4480.88	4453.35	4414.8(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-606	-20	-685	-367	0	48%	-0.4	-19.5	2.56%	0	-0.9	32	0
10	May_4_2017	5242.94	4657.33	4457.37	4458.24	4475.1	4491.75	4464(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-229	40	-236	-206	0	48%	-0.46	-14.2	2.58%	0	-0.7	29	0

11	May_3_2017	5267.31	4671.14	4473.49	4421.04	4468.21	4508.4	4455.6(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1274	90	1541	474	0	48%	-0.46	-15.6	2.6%	0	-0.8	33	0
12	May_2_2017	5291.46	4680.99	4510.95	4422.72	4417.88	4458.45	4506(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	620	60	772	165	0	48%	-0.49	-14	2.6%	0	-0.7	42	0
13	May_1_2017	5317.65	4685.17	4551.77	4393.92	4402.13	4428.02	4365.6(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	880	50	1078	285	0	42%	-0.49	-17.3	2.56%	0	-1.3	43	0
14	Apr_28_2017	5343.65	4693.72	4615.27	4420.8	4394.24	4377.32	4500(5.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-167	-40	-160	-186	0	47%	-0.44	-16.7	2.63%	0	-0.8	49	0
15	Apr_27_2017	5367.46	4694.56	4682.44	4460.4	4409.46	4376.25	4278(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1590	-90	-1842	-832	0	43%	-0.52	-16	2.56%	0	-1.7	41	0

16	Apr_26_2017	5395.33	4711.26	4766.87	4533.6	4507.34	4411.17	4464(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1261	-170	-1465	-647	0	46%	-0.57	-10.4	2.55%	0	-1.1	45	0
17	Apr_25_2017	5426.15	4716.13	4810.67	4614	4578.21	4442.67	4362(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-3808	-230	-4471	-1818	0	43%	-0.65	-6.5	2.54%	0	-1.6	46	0
18	Apr_24_2017	5461.46	4728.86	4855.44	4732.8	4687.07	4603.5	4500(-4.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-3157	-150	-3717	-1476	0	41%	-0.67	10.2	2.56%	0	-1.1	52	0
19	Apr_21_2017	5498.4	4734.53	4876.39	4837.2	4819.07	4713.75	4698(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1837	-160	-2175	-823	0	44%	-0.69	24.2	2.61%	0	-0.2	61	0
20	Apr_20_2017	5536.65	4734.03	4880.87	4940.4	4912.07	4770.64	4644(-4.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-3565	-220	-4219	-1601	0	42%	-0.5	40.1	2.62%	0	-0.4	60	0

21	Apr_19_2017	5564.21	4734.92	4893.05	5034	5023.07	4924.38	4866(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2522	-140	-3004	-1077	0	44%	-0.43	54.3	2.61%	0	0.6	64	0
22	Apr_18_2017	5588.27	4730.68	4871.31	5035.2	5069.24	5053.49	4956(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-754	-0	-926	-237	0	42%	-0.4	57.6	2.61%	0	1.1	69	0
23	Apr_17_2017	5610.9	4707.1	4833.01	4993.2	5036.62	5121.75	5022(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1571	140	1812	847	0	45%	-0.38	48.4	2.65%	0	1.5	69	0
24	Apr_13_2017	5632.4	4684.19	4779.39	4917.6	4938.87	5084.99	5214(2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	3287	220	3838	1633	0	48%	-0.35	37.4	2.7%	0	2.8	77	0
25	Apr_12_2017	5652.08	4651.4	4702.51	4815.6	4817.37	4951.49	5112(4.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	3181	200	3724	1553	0	48%		18.7	2.69%	0	3.1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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