Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $5112.0000 (4.93%) ($4889.8800 - $5148.0000) on Wed. Apr. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $5112.0000(4.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    GDXJ(2%)    UUP(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)    IWM(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $4815.6(6.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4702.51(8.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4651.4(9.9%)
To recent high   -19.9%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 3.16% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 16.61%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.11%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 5.4%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -5.75%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 12.08%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.18%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2017	5652.08	4651.4	4702.51	4815.6	4817.37	4951.49	5112(4.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	3181	200	3724	1553	0	48%	-0.37	18.7	2.69%	0	3.1	66	0
2	Apr_11_2017	5673.02	4623.43	4642.46	4737.6	4749.09	4792.76	4872(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	2405	70	2817	1167	0	44%	-0.46	-11	2.63%	0	2.4	61	0
3	Apr_10_2017	5699.02	4613.41	4604.82	4687.2	4685.34	4683.26	4746(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-150	-0	-180	-58	0	42%	-0.51	-43.1	2.61%	0	1.5	44	0
4	Apr_7_2017	5727.96	4608.72	4584.84	4648.8	4664.58	4705.42	4644(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	671	70	787	322	0	42%	-0.55	-71.3	2.59%	0	0.4	58	0
5	Apr_6_2017	5759.77	4614.25	4576.97	4615.2	4627.09	4687.42	4704(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	1694	100	1994	794	0	42%	-0.58	-75.5	2.61%	0	0.8	55	0

6	Apr_5_2017	5793.46	4624.28	4571.95	4568.4	4560.38	4623.75	4722(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	1256	90	1482	579	0	42%	-0.63	-77.2	2.62%	0	0.7	54	0
7	Apr_4_2017	5830.02	4634.79	4561.61	4533.6	4526.45	4566.76	4620(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1315	60	1553	599	0	42%	-0.73	-71.3	2.63%	0	-0.1	51	0
8	Apr_3_2017	5872.77	4652.75	4577.13	4512	4506.86	4497.01	4554(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	149	-20	182	49	0	42%	-0.72	-70.2	2.62%	0	-0.6	44	0
9	Mar_31_2017	5915.15	4675.95	4571.71	4513.2	4509.1	4486.14	4476(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-921	-40	-1074	-462	0	42%	-0.91	-63	2.6%	0	-1	42	0
10	Mar_30_2017	5969.52	4704.31	4584.17	4532.4	4550.94	4516.7	4470(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-339	-40	-388	-191	0	46%	-0.8	-60.1	2.62%	0	-1.2	38	0

11	Mar_29_2017	6017.83	4733.06	4599.71	4574.4	4558.59	4532.06	4548(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1156	-50	-1349	-578	0	46%	-0.76	-58.1	2.7%	0	-1	34	0
12	Mar_28_2017	6064.02	4750.53	4605.75	4593.6	4591.17	4585.17	4512(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-491	-10	-563	-275	0	50%	-0.77	-52.1	2.7%	0	-1.2	32	0
13	Mar_27_2017	6111.15	4781.21	4625.67	4652.4	4641.09	4585.11	4560(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-166	-90	-182	-119	0	50%	-0.9	-40.1	2.82%	0	-1.1	32	0
14	Mar_24_2017	6166.65	4800.96	4637.41	4637.8	4638.26	4597.18	4572(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1493	-60	-1737	-760	0	50%	-0.86	-45	2.85%	0	-1.1	31	0
15	Mar_23_2017	6220.27	4827.5	4657.24	4641.4	4636.72	4697.07	4680(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	412	90	507	127	0	50%	-0.83	-46.1	2.86%	0	-0.7	33	0

16	Mar_22_2017	6272.15	4847.77	4681.09	4628.2	4618.1	4679.33	4644(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1818	90	2164	781	0	50%	-0.79	-51.1	2.86%	0	-1	32	0
17	Mar_21_2017	6322.4	4859.27	4712.28	4619.8	4583.55	4576.37	4806(7.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	220	-30	284	29	0	52%	-0.72	-64.5	2.84%	0	-0.3	47	0
18	Mar_20_2017	6368.4	4862.12	4729.29	4600.6	4589.42	4556.87	4486.98(-2.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-1086	-60	-1248	-600	0	47%	-0.79	-75.3	2.67%	0	-1.9	21	0
19	Mar_17_2017	6419.34	4892.72	4785.22	4638	4643.48	4590.74	4590(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-808	-80	-924	-458	0	47%	-0.74	-82.7	2.67%	0	-1.7	37	0
20	Mar_16_2017	6467.41	4921.67	4831.91	4675.2	4673.11	4621.97	4614(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1726	-80	-2006	-884	0	47%	-0.72	-83.7	2.69%	0	-1.8	33	0

21	Mar_15_2017	6514.03	4950.12	4876.4	4742.4	4728.24	4696.22	4602(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1238	-60	-1437	-642	0	43%	-0.71	-77.6	2.73%	0	-2.1	33	0
22	Mar_14_2017	6560.34	4985.46	4908.61	4818	4811.25	4724.25	4710(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1048	-130	-1219	-535	0	43%	-0.68	-64.8	2.8%	0	-1.7	48	0
23	Mar_13_2017	6605.28	5013.02	4951.5	4879.2	4864.18	4760.25	4674(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2833	-160	-3326	-1354	0	43%	-0.76	-55.8	2.8%	0	-2.2	47	0
24	Mar_10_2017	6656.16	5044.49	4982.07	4953.6	4943.61	4898.25	4776(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-1714	-70	-2013	-816	0	43%	-0.73	-46.3	2.82%	0	-1.9	42	0
25	Mar_9_2017	6705.16	5069.81	5016.4	5010	5015.61	4968.11	4950(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-490	-60	-577	-230	0	46%		-41.1	2.81%	0	-0.9	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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