Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ soxs: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $4704.0000 (-0.38%) ($4673.9400 - $4847.4000) on Thu. Apr. 6, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $4704.0000(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    GDXJ(2%)    IPO(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)    IWM(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $4615.2(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4576.97(2.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4614.25(1.95%)
To recent high   -26.7%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 2.53% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.34%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.63%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.7%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2017	5759.77	4614.25	4576.97	4615.2	4627.09	4687.42	4704(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	1694	100	1994	794	0	42%	-0.58	-75.5	2.61%	0	0.8	55	0
2	Apr_5_2017	5793.46	4624.28	4571.95	4568.4	4560.38	4623.75	4722(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	1256	90	1482	579	0	42%	-0.63	-77.2	2.62%	0	0.7	54	0
3	Apr_4_2017	5830.02	4634.79	4561.61	4533.6	4526.45	4566.76	4620(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1315	60	1553	599	0	42%	-0.73	-71.3	2.63%	0	-0.1	51	0
4	Apr_3_2017	5872.77	4652.75	4577.13	4512	4506.86	4497.01	4554(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	149	-20	182	49	0	42%	-0.72	-70.2	2.62%	0	-0.6	44	0
5	Mar_31_2017	5915.15	4675.95	4571.71	4513.2	4509.1	4486.14	4476(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-921	-40	-1074	-462	0	42%	-0.91	-63	2.6%	0	-1	42	0

6	Mar_30_2017	5969.52	4704.31	4584.17	4532.4	4550.94	4516.7	4470(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-339	-40	-388	-191	0	46%	-0.8	-60.1	2.62%	0	-1.2	38	0
7	Mar_29_2017	6017.83	4733.06	4599.71	4574.4	4558.59	4532.06	4548(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1156	-50	-1349	-578	0	46%	-0.76	-58.1	2.7%	0	-1	34	0
8	Mar_28_2017	6064.02	4750.53	4605.75	4593.6	4591.17	4585.17	4512(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-491	-10	-563	-275	0	50%	-0.77	-52.1	2.7%	0	-1.2	32	0
9	Mar_27_2017	6111.15	4781.21	4625.67	4652.4	4641.09	4585.11	4560(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-166	-90	-182	-119	0	50%	-0.9	-40.1	2.82%	0	-1.1	32	0
10	Mar_24_2017	6166.65	4800.96	4637.41	4637.8	4638.26	4597.18	4572(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1493	-60	-1737	-760	0	50%	-0.86	-45	2.85%	0	-1.1	31	0

11	Mar_23_2017	6220.27	4827.5	4657.24	4641.4	4636.72	4697.07	4680(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	412	90	507	127	0	50%	-0.83	-46.1	2.86%	0	-0.7	33	0
12	Mar_22_2017	6272.15	4847.77	4681.09	4628.2	4618.1	4679.33	4644(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1818	90	2164	781	0	50%	-0.79	-51.1	2.86%	0	-1	32	0
13	Mar_21_2017	6322.4	4859.27	4712.28	4619.8	4583.55	4576.37	4806(7.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	220	-30	284	29	0	52%	-0.72	-64.5	2.84%	0	-0.3	47	0
14	Mar_20_2017	6368.4	4862.12	4729.29	4600.6	4589.42	4556.87	4486.98(-2.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-1086	-60	-1248	-600	0	47%	-0.79	-75.3	2.67%	0	-1.9	21	0
15	Mar_17_2017	6419.34	4892.72	4785.22	4638	4643.48	4590.74	4590(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-808	-80	-924	-458	0	47%	-0.74	-82.7	2.67%	0	-1.7	37	0

16	Mar_16_2017	6467.41	4921.67	4831.91	4675.2	4673.11	4621.97	4614(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1726	-80	-2006	-884	0	47%	-0.72	-83.7	2.69%	0	-1.8	33	0
17	Mar_15_2017	6514.03	4950.12	4876.4	4742.4	4728.24	4696.22	4602(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1238	-60	-1437	-642	0	43%	-0.71	-77.6	2.73%	0	-2.1	33	0
18	Mar_14_2017	6560.34	4985.46	4908.61	4818	4811.25	4724.25	4710(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1048	-130	-1219	-535	0	43%	-0.68	-64.8	2.8%	0	-1.7	48	0
19	Mar_13_2017	6605.28	5013.02	4951.5	4879.2	4864.18	4760.25	4674(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2833	-160	-3326	-1354	0	43%	-0.76	-55.8	2.8%	0	-2.2	47	0
20	Mar_10_2017	6656.16	5044.49	4982.07	4953.6	4943.61	4898.25	4776(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-1714	-70	-2013	-816	0	43%	-0.73	-46.3	2.82%	0	-1.9	42	0

21	Mar_9_2017	6705.16	5069.81	5016.4	5010	5015.61	4968.11	4950(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-490	-60	-577	-230	0	46%	-0.73	-41.1	2.81%	0	-0.9	44	0
22	Mar_8_2017	6754.47	5080.06	5030.86	5030.4	5034.59	4988.96	4980(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1107	-60	-1303	-519	0	46%	-0.7	-45.3	2.82%	0	-0.7	44	0
23	Mar_7_2017	6801.97	5090.08	5020.11	5012.4	5033.79	5063.1	5016(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-107	50	-120	-67	0	42%	-0.74	-64.6	2.83%	0	-0.6	41	0
24	Mar_6_2017	6852.97	5100.62	5005.58	5036.4	5016.24	5080.22	5046(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1209	80	1430	544	0	40%	-0.71	-65.8	2.93%	0	-0.4	43	0
25	Mar_3_2017	6901.91	5112.03	5007.34	5016	5003.11	5004.47	5058(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	809	-10	964	345	0	40%		-70.2	2.97%	0	-0.4	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.