Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $4710.0000 (0.77%) ($4698.0000 - $4824.0000) on Tue. Mar. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.8% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $4710.0000(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    GDXJ(2%)    IPO(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.4% (StdDev 2.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $4985.46
5 Day Moving Average   $4818(-2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4908.61(-4.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4985.46(-5.53%)
To recent high   -30.8%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 3.18% (three month std-dev: 2.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 44 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(64%) Average negative next day return: -1.45%(36%) Sample size 44 Average positive next three day return: 2.37%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.06%(43%) Sample size 44 Average positive next weekly return: 2.47%(66%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.35%(34%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2017	6560.34	4985.46	4908.61	4818	4811.25	4724.25	4710(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1048	-130	-1219	-535	0	43%	-0.68	-64.8	2.8%	0	-1.7	48	0
2	Mar_13_2017	6605.28	5013.02	4951.5	4879.2	4864.18	4760.25	4674(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2833	-160	-3326	-1354	0	43%	-0.76	-55.8	2.8%	0	-2.2	47	0
3	Mar_10_2017	6656.16	5044.49	4982.07	4953.6	4943.61	4898.25	4776(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-1714	-70	-2013	-816	0	43%	-0.73	-46.3	2.82%	0	-1.9	42	0
4	Mar_9_2017	6705.16	5069.81	5016.4	5010	5015.61	4968.11	4950(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-490	-60	-577	-230	0	46%	-0.73	-41.1	2.81%	0	-0.9	44	0
5	Mar_8_2017	6754.47	5080.06	5030.86	5030.4	5034.59	4988.96	4980(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1107	-60	-1303	-519	0	46%	-0.7	-45.3	2.82%	0	-0.7	44	0

6	Mar_7_2017	6801.97	5090.08	5020.11	5012.4	5033.79	5063.1	5016(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-107	50	-120	-67	0	42%	-0.74	-64.6	2.83%	0	-0.6	41	0
7	Mar_6_2017	6852.97	5100.62	5005.58	5036.4	5016.24	5080.22	5046(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1209	80	1430	544	0	40%	-0.71	-65.8	2.93%	0	-0.4	43	0
8	Mar_3_2017	6901.91	5112.03	5007.34	5016	5003.11	5004.47	5058(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	809	-10	964	345	0	40%	-0.74	-70.2	2.97%	0	-0.4	42	0
9	Mar_2_2017	6953.34	5126.92	5015.38	5025.6	4994.63	4952.25	5052(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1316	-80	-1536	-657	0	40%	-0.68	-69.6	2.99%	0	-0.5	43	0
10	Mar_1_2017	7001.22	5141.79	5025.4	5034	5065.13	5001.75	4890(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-611	-70	-706	-324	0	47%	-0.69	-68.3	2.97%	0	-1.6	43	0

11	Feb_28_2017	7049.66	5178.22	5065.74	5025.6	5076.38	5037	5136(3.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-794	-20	-924	-403	0	50%	-0.56	-63.8	3.49%	0	-0.2	49	0
12	Feb_27_2017	7089.66	5191.67	5075.09	4969.2	5032.13	5128.5	4944(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	302	170	368	103	0	47%	-0.57	-84.9	3.45%	0	-1.3	39	0
13	Feb_24_2017	7130.28	5212.51	5109.47	4995.6	5010.75	5115.75	5106(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2335	160	2759	1063	0	47%	-0.54	-99.7	3.44%	0	-0.6	42	0
14	Feb_23_2017	7168.72	5233.65	5124.83	5006.4	4994.25	4935.75	5094(5.07%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	31	-90	48	-22	0	47%	-0.56	-107.7	3.46%	0	-0.7	37	0
15	Feb_22_2017	7208.97	5251.68	5130.55	5022	5038.5	4905.75	4848(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-2552	-170	-2989	-1242	0	44%	-0.62	-119.1	3.39%	0	-2.1	23	0

16	Feb_21_2017	7254.03	5294.66	5166.67	5113.2	5130.04	5052.75	4854(-4.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-2191	-100	-2564	-1070	0	44%	-0.83	-123.9	3.41%	0	-2.3	17	0
17	Feb_17_2017	7315.02	5353.88	5207.71	5193.6	5222.95	5171.25	5076(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-603	-50	-699	-316	0	47%	-0.6	-85.9	3.36%	0	-1.1	37	0
18	Feb_16_2017	7359.06	5396.55	5229.56	5236.8	5240.58	5207.33	5160(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1026	-40	-1198	-510	0	44%	-0.63	-74.2	3.37%	0	-0.8	44	0
19	Feb_15_2017	7406.07	5446.02	5250.57	5259.6	5262.7	5274.65	5172(-2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	59	20	79	-0	0	41%	-0.64	-65.7	3.39%	0	-0.9	37	0
20	Feb_14_2017	7453.58	5491.38	5269.62	5254.8	5255.16	5273.82	5304(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	587	30	701	245	0	41%	-0.69	-58.9	3.44%	0	-0.5	45	0

21	Feb_13_2017	7505.29	5541.98	5299.17	5229.6	5213.51	5250.75	5256(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	258	40	316	84	0	41%	-0.65	-58.6	3.44%	0	-0.8	36	0
22	Feb_10_2017	7554.59	5582.42	5315.38	5224.8	5213.51	5236.5	5292(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	681	30	818	269	0	41%	-0.6	-61.7	3.68%	0	-0.8	29	0
23	Feb_9_2017	7600.05	5626.69	5320.89	5223.6	5201.14	5176.28	5274(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	-50	-39	-88	0	41%	-0.61	-63.9	3.79%	0	-0.9	33	0
24	Feb_8_2017	7646.94	5665.75	5346.92	5244	5223.27	5165.78	5148(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1170	-90	-1351	-627	0	41%	-0.68	-66.9	3.78%	0	-1.3	25	0
25	Feb_7_2017	7699.58	5715.22	5379.57	5287.2	5292.57	5226	5178(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1052	-80	-1209	-581	0	37%		-70	3.78%	0	-1.4	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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