Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $5160.0000 (-0.23%) ($5124.0000 - $5250.0000) on Thu. Feb. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.37% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $5160.0000(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    GDXJ(2%)    IPO(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.685% (StdDev 3.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $5396.55
5 Day Moving Average   $5236.8(-1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $5229.56(-1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $5396.55(-4.38%)
To recent high   -38.4%
To recent low   0.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 5.51% (three month std-dev: 3.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.29%(63%) Average negative next day return: -5.15%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 6.23%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -11.72%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 11.34%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -20.26%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2017	7359.06	5396.55	5229.56	5236.8	5240.58	5207.33	5160(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1026	-40	-1198	-510	0	44%	-0.63	-74.2	3.37%	0	-0.8	44	0
2	Feb_15_2017	7406.07	5446.02	5250.57	5259.6	5262.7	5274.65	5172(-2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	59	20	79	-0	0	41%	-0.64	-65.7	3.39%	0	-0.9	37	0
3	Feb_14_2017	7453.58	5491.38	5269.62	5254.8	5255.16	5273.82	5304(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	587	30	701	245	0	41%	-0.69	-58.9	3.44%	0	-0.5	45	0
4	Feb_13_2017	7505.29	5541.98	5299.17	5229.6	5213.51	5250.75	5256(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	258	40	316	84	0	41%	-0.65	-58.6	3.44%	0	-0.8	36	0
5	Feb_10_2017	7554.59	5582.42	5315.38	5224.8	5213.51	5236.5	5292(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	681	30	818	269	0	41%	-0.6	-61.7	3.68%	0	-0.8	29	0

6	Feb_9_2017	7600.05	5626.69	5320.89	5223.6	5201.14	5176.28	5274(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	-50	-39	-88	0	41%	-0.61	-63.9	3.79%	0	-0.9	33	0
7	Feb_8_2017	7646.94	5665.75	5346.92	5244	5223.27	5165.78	5148(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1170	-90	-1351	-627	0	41%	-0.68	-66.9	3.78%	0	-1.3	25	0
8	Feb_7_2017	7699.58	5715.22	5379.57	5287.2	5292.57	5226	5178(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1052	-80	-1209	-581	0	37%	-0.66	-70	3.78%	0	-1.4	29	0
9	Feb_6_2017	7750.61	5767.32	5431.71	5379.6	5352.52	5280.76	5232(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1421	-110	-1643	-755	0	37%	-0.65	-69.2	3.9%	0	-1.4	26	0
10	Feb_3_2017	7801.39	5826.37	5511.4	5418	5435.02	5359.13	5286(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1028	-90	-1182	-566	0	37%	-0.64	-64.6	3.92%	0	-1.4	36	0

11	Feb_2_2017	7851.8	5889.77	5577.14	5430	5480.77	5424.29	5376(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-940	-40	-1077	-529	0	37%	-0.72	-59.1	3.92%	0	-1.3	35	0
12	Feb_1_2017	7908.9	5941.34	5656.43	5464.8	5476.64	5510.91	5364(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-449	50	-502	-291	0	37%	-0.76	-52.1	3.94%	0	-1.5	39	0
13	Jan_31_2017	7969.5	5996.55	5730.78	5484	5498.44	5537.25	5640(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1156	60	1386	466	0	39%	-0.68	-48.6	3.93%	0	-1	41	0
14	Jan_30_2017	8024	6037.77	5800.17	5497.2	5474.82	5442.38	5424(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-831	-50	-953	-466	0	37%	-0.79	-44.8	3.88%	0	-1.7	35	0
15	Jan_27_2017	8088.2	6078.35	5868.37	5625.6	5567.82	5459.63	5346(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1646	-170	-1914	-841	0	37%	-0.65	-38.5	3.89%	0	-2.1	30	0

16	Jan_26_2017	8141.34	6124.23	5957.58	5748	5735.25	5507.26	5550(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2647	-280	-3094	-1305	0	37%	-0.62	-35.3	3.88%	0	-2	30	0
17	Jan_25_2017	8191.81	6143.61	6012.29	5878.8	5852.67	5676.01	5460(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-4241	-220	-4972	-2047	0	37%	-0.59	-36.9	3.87%	0	-2.6	33	0
18	Jan_24_2017	8240.8	6178.11	6084.15	6009.6	6013.92	5963.25	5706(-5.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-1399	-60	-1631	-701	0	36%	-0.32	-39.8	3.84%	0	-2.2	35	0
19	Jan_23_2017	8267.21	6203.78	6137.45	6145.2	6111.04	6029.33	6066(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-739	-110	-858	-380	0	39%	-0.51	-32.7	3.84%	0	-0.7	40	0
20	Jan_20_2017	8309.71	6213.38	6170.41	6148.8	6162.04	6064.58	5958(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1658	-100	-1941	-809	0	39%	-0.52	-45.5	3.83%	0	-1.4	47	0

21	Jan_19_2017	8352.77	6229.9	6229.77	6198	6195.75	6192.75	6204(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-888	-0	-1039	-433	0	40%	-0.51	-53.3	3.81%	0	-0.1	52	0
22	Jan_18_2017	8395.89	6240.66	6247.74	6168	6216.75	6259.5	6114(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	901	70	1063	416	0	39%	-0.52	-72.7	3.81%	0	-0.7	60	0
23	Jan_17_2017	8439.71	6265.42	6281.09	6169.2	6183	6198.75	6384(4.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	490	20	576	230	0	40%	-0.71	-79.4	3.8%	0	0.7	58	0
24	Jan_13_2017	8499.73	6266.01	6286.54	6133.2	6151.73	6174	6084(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-203	30	-239	-94	0	40%	-0.54	-85.6	3.72%	0	-0.9	50	0
25	Jan_12_2017	8545.69	6300.28	6299.3	6199.2	6191.85	6167.25	6204(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	2	-30	-0	9	0	40%		-81.5	3.76%	0	-0.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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