Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $5376.0000 (0.22%) ($5319.0000 - $5550.0000) on Thu. Feb. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.92% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $5376.0000(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    GDXJ(2%)    IPO(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.96% (StdDev 3.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $5889.77
5 Day Moving Average   $5430(-0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $5577.14(-3.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $5889.77(-8.72%)
To recent high   -45.6%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 6.48% (three month std-dev: 3.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 2.96%(54%) Average negative next day return: -2.27%(46%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 3.03%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.88%(38%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 6.36%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.63%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2017	7851.8	5889.77	5577.14	5430	5480.77	5424.29	5376(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-940	-40	-1077	-529	0	37%	-0.72	-59.1	3.92%	0	-1.3	35	0
2	Feb_1_2017	7908.9	5941.34	5656.43	5464.8	5476.64	5510.91	5364(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-449	50	-502	-291	0	37%	-0.76	-52.1	3.94%	0	-1.5	39	0
3	Jan_31_2017	7969.5	5996.55	5730.78	5484	5498.44	5537.25	5640(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1156	60	1386	466	0	39%	-0.68	-48.6	3.93%	0	-1	41	0
4	Jan_30_2017	8024	6037.77	5800.17	5497.2	5474.82	5442.38	5424(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-831	-50	-953	-466	0	37%	-0.79	-44.8	3.88%	0	-1.7	35	0
5	Jan_27_2017	8088.2	6078.35	5868.37	5625.6	5567.82	5459.63	5346(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1646	-170	-1914	-841	0	37%	-0.65	-38.5	3.89%	0	-2.1	30	0

6	Jan_26_2017	8141.34	6124.23	5957.58	5748	5735.25	5507.26	5550(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2647	-280	-3094	-1305	0	37%	-0.62	-35.3	3.88%	0	-2	30	0
7	Jan_25_2017	8191.81	6143.61	6012.29	5878.8	5852.67	5676.01	5460(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-4241	-220	-4972	-2047	0	37%	-0.59	-36.9	3.87%	0	-2.6	33	0
8	Jan_24_2017	8240.8	6178.11	6084.15	6009.6	6013.92	5963.25	5706(-5.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-1399	-60	-1631	-701	0	36%	-0.32	-39.8	3.84%	0	-2.2	35	0
9	Jan_23_2017	8267.21	6203.78	6137.45	6145.2	6111.04	6029.33	6066(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-739	-110	-858	-380	0	39%	-0.51	-32.7	3.84%	0	-0.7	40	0
10	Jan_20_2017	8309.71	6213.38	6170.41	6148.8	6162.04	6064.58	5958(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1658	-100	-1941	-809	0	39%	-0.52	-45.5	3.83%	0	-1.4	47	0

11	Jan_19_2017	8352.77	6229.9	6229.77	6198	6195.75	6192.75	6204(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-888	-0	-1039	-433	0	40%	-0.51	-53.3	3.81%	0	-0.1	52	0
12	Jan_18_2017	8395.89	6240.66	6247.74	6168	6216.75	6259.5	6114(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	901	70	1063	416	0	39%	-0.52	-72.7	3.81%	0	-0.7	60	0
13	Jan_17_2017	8439.71	6265.42	6281.09	6169.2	6183	6198.75	6384(4.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	490	20	576	230	0	40%	-0.71	-79.4	3.8%	0	0.7	58	0
14	Jan_13_2017	8499.73	6266.01	6286.54	6133.2	6151.73	6174	6084(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-203	30	-239	-94	0	40%	-0.54	-85.6	3.72%	0	-0.9	50	0
15	Jan_12_2017	8545.69	6300.28	6299.3	6199.2	6191.85	6167.25	6204(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	2	-30	-0	9	0	40%	-0.53	-81.5	3.76%	0	-0.5	50	0

16	Jan_11_2017	8591.52	6326.91	6299.89	6271.2	6254.1	6129.46	6054(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1599	-150	-1886	-736	0	44%	-0.52	-74.5	3.75%	0	-1.2	46	0
17	Jan_10_2017	8636.12	6373.23	6285.9	6339.6	6344.1	6216.46	6120(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2190	-140	-2580	-1018	0	44%	-0.53	-76.3	3.84%	0	-1.1	43	0
18	Jan_9_2017	8681.83	6409.29	6284.04	6405.6	6403.13	6378.75	6204(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1227	-30	-1446	-568	0	44%	-0.52	-79.1	3.85%	0	-0.7	40	0
19	Jan_6_2017	8726.86	6437.72	6281.83	6458.4	6433.13	6471.75	6414(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	831	30	974	402	0	44%	-0.52	-93.8	3.84%	0	-0.1	50	0
20	Jan_5_2017	8772.7	6462.26	6263.55	6410.4	6382.77	6427.5	6564(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	724	40	854	335	0	44%	-0.53	-100	3.83%	0	0.3	44	0

21	Jan_4_2017	8819.34	6499.68	6229.71	6334.8	6329.52	6394.5	6396(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1360	70	1608	614	0	44%	-0.55	-98	3.82%	0	-0.3	41	0
22	Jan_3_2017	8867.77	6561.71	6229.73	6223.2	6220.02	6338.05	6450(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	1552	130	1843	680	0	44%	-0.79	-83.6	3.82%	0	-0.3	37	0
23	Dec_30_2016	8938.06	6634.64	6241.62	6145.2	6108.65	6264.55	6468(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2049	160	2432	900	0	42%	-0.57	-54.8	3.84%	0	-0.3	42	0
24	Dec_29_2016	8989.43	6721.94	6232.98	6084	6069	6102	6174(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1867	30	2223	799	0	37%	-0.62	-40.8	3.81%	0	-0.8	37	0
25	Dec_28_2016	9045.2	6778.37	6291.27	6098.4	6035.25	5952.75	6186(5.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1444	-130	-1672	-761	0	37%		-39.9	3.83%	0	-0.9	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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