Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $6384.0000 (4.93%) ($6150.0000 - $6438.0000) on Tue. Jan. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.8% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $6384.0000(4.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    GDXJ(2%)    IPO(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.9% (StdDev 3.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $6169.2(3.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $6281.09(1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $6265.42(1.89%)
To recent high   -35.6%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 3.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.36%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.55%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2017	8439.71	6265.42	6281.09	6169.2	6183	6198.75	6384(4.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	490	20	576	230	0	40%	-0.71	-79.4	3.8%	0	0.7	58	0
2	Jan_13_2017	8499.73	6266.01	6286.54	6133.2	6151.73	6174	6084(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-203	30	-239	-94	0	40%	-0.54	-85.6	3.72%	0	-0.9	50	0
3	Jan_12_2017	8545.69	6300.28	6299.3	6199.2	6191.85	6167.25	6204(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	2	-30	-0	9	0	40%	-0.53	-81.5	3.76%	0	-0.5	50	0
4	Jan_11_2017	8591.52	6326.91	6299.89	6271.2	6254.1	6129.46	6054(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1599	-150	-1886	-736	0	44%	-0.52	-74.5	3.75%	0	-1.2	46	0
5	Jan_10_2017	8636.12	6373.23	6285.9	6339.6	6344.1	6216.46	6120(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2190	-140	-2580	-1018	0	44%	-0.53	-76.3	3.84%	0	-1.1	43	0

6	Jan_9_2017	8681.83	6409.29	6284.04	6405.6	6403.13	6378.75	6204(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1227	-30	-1446	-568	0	44%	-0.52	-79.1	3.85%	0	-0.7	40	0
7	Jan_6_2017	8726.86	6437.72	6281.83	6458.4	6433.13	6471.75	6414(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	831	30	974	402	0	44%	-0.52	-93.8	3.84%	0	-0.1	50	0
8	Jan_5_2017	8772.7	6462.26	6263.55	6410.4	6382.77	6427.5	6564(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	724	40	854	335	0	44%	-0.53	-100	3.83%	0	0.3	44	0
9	Jan_4_2017	8819.34	6499.68	6229.71	6334.8	6329.52	6394.5	6396(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1360	70	1608	614	0	44%	-0.55	-98	3.82%	0	-0.3	41	0
10	Jan_3_2017	8867.77	6561.71	6229.73	6223.2	6220.02	6338.05	6450(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	1552	130	1843	680	0	44%	-0.79	-83.6	3.82%	0	-0.3	37	0

11	Dec_30_2016	8938.06	6634.64	6241.62	6145.2	6108.65	6264.55	6468(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2049	160	2432	900	0	42%	-0.57	-54.8	3.84%	0	-0.3	42	0
12	Dec_29_2016	8989.43	6721.94	6232.98	6084	6069	6102	6174(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1867	30	2223	799	0	37%	-0.62	-40.8	3.81%	0	-0.8	37	0
13	Dec_28_2016	9045.2	6778.37	6291.27	6098.4	6035.25	5952.75	6186(5.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1444	-130	-1672	-761	0	37%	-0.58	-39.9	3.83%	0	-0.9	34	0
14	Dec_27_2016	9098.35	6829.65	6346.89	6114	6109.82	6036	5838(-3.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-1518	-90	-1755	-808	0	31%	-0.92	-41.7	3.74%	0	-1.5	19	0
15	Dec_23_2016	9183.17	6898.74	6464.98	6234	6191.09	6117.75	6060(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-1385	-100	-1598	-745	0	31%	-0.66	-43.7	3.76%	0	-1.4	19	0

16	Dec_22_2016	9244.38	6954.27	6546.46	6349.2	6280.34	6183.63	6162(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-1592	-140	-1839	-850	0	31%	-0.68	-44.8	3.79%	0	-1.4	17	0
17	Dec_21_2016	9308.02	7005.49	6611.5	6402	6377.46	6264.43	6246(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-1839	-140	-2122	-988	0	31%	-0.68	-51.7	3.79%	0	-1.4	16	0
18	Dec_20_2016	9371.35	7053.35	6683.64	6513.6	6456.72	6377.05	6264(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2134	-110	-2471	-1121	0	31%	-0.61	-58.8	3.82%	0	-1.5	40	0
19	Dec_19_2016	9428.81	7111.69	6797.49	6615.6	6581.29	6490.5	6438(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1126	-110	-1290	-634	0	31%	-0.59	-69.4	3.82%	0	-1.4	44	0
20	Dec_16_2016	9484.93	7167.92	6924.12	6732	6667.91	6536.4	6636(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2392	-170	-2786	-1209	0	31%	-0.55	-76.4	3.81%	0	-1.2	46	0

21	Dec_15_2016	9537.66	7221.48	7057.93	6777.01	6795.1	6672.08	6426(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1797	-120	-2093	-910	0	29%	-0.55	-93.2	3.78%	0	-1.7	44	0
22	Dec_14_2016	9590.62	7298.09	7247.58	6849.01	6845.84	6799.43	6804(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1454	-50	-1698	-720	0	31%	-0.51	-104.1	3.8%	0	-1.1	49	0
23	Dec_13_2016	9639.78	7367.6	7301.81	6879.01	6862.75	6918.12	6774(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-366	50	-420	-203	0	31%	-0.66	-103.9	3.81%	0	-1.3	48	0
24	Dec_12_2016	9704.26	7461.59	7350.2	7008.61	6958	6892.25	7020(2.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0	21	-90	31	-11	0	29%	-0.66	-89.1	3.82%	0	-0.8	47	0
25	Dec_9_2016	9768.69	7538.36	7367.57	7155.01	7094.1	6807.38	6861.06(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4148	-310	-4876	-1965	0	36%		-85.7	3.86%	0	-1.2	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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