Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ soxs: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $10542.0000 (-1.01%) ($10386.0000 - $10770.0000) on Thu. Aug. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.14% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $10542.0000(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(7%)    VIXM(7%)    TLT(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -2.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.07% (StdDev 4.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $11304.65
5 Day Moving Average   $10539.6(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10779.05(-2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11304.65(-6.75%)
To recent high   -48.8%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 5.61% (three month std-dev: 4.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.99%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.91%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.61%(78%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.82%(22%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160925

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2016	16960.91	11304.65	10779.05	10539.6	10537.42	10576.5	10542(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	902	30	1080	366	0	42%	-0.55	-69.3	4.14%	0	-1.2	30	0
2	Aug_24_2016	17054.12	11372.3	10871.1	10603.2	10565.54	10470	10650(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-993	-70	-1148	-529	0	39%	-0.57	-82.1	4.14%	0	-1.2	26	0
3	Aug_23_2016	17152.48	11426.33	10965.6	10690.8	10676.17	10498.34	10380(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-2788	-120	-3259	-1376	0	39%	-0.56	-94.2	4.19%	0	-1.8	17	0
4	Aug_22_2016	17249.82	11495.99	11070.37	10833.6	10859.26	10661.09	10554(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-2625	-120	-3066	-1302	0	39%	-0.52	-96.8	4.2%	0	-1.5	18	0
5	Aug_19_2016	17340.3	11623.24	11184.9	10896	10966.59	10854	10572(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2490	-50	-2908	-1236	0	36%	-0.54	-90.8	4.32%	0	-1.5	32	0

6	Aug_18_2016	17434.61	11761.67	11295.05	11049.6	11045.34	11057.44	10860(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-846	10	-975	-458	0	35%	-0.5	-85.6	4.33%	0	-1.2	34	0
7	Aug_17_2016	17523.09	11896.06	11418.51	11178	11148.99	11079.19	11088(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-151	-50	-161	-122	0	35%	-0.52	-84.2	4.36%	0	-1	40	0
8	Aug_16_2016	17615.09	12006.1	11550.01	11288.4	11248.28	11033.25	11094(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2577	-140	-3019	-1251	0	34%	-0.57	-81	4.37%	0	-1.1	44	0
9	Aug_15_2016	17715.39	12146.59	11688.73	11348.4	11378.4	11218.8	10866(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3028	-90	-3553	-1452	0	34%	-0.39	-80.3	4.38%	0	-1.4	40	0
10	Aug_12_2016	17785.29	12294.69	11805.3	11514	11488.65	11463.3	11340(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1032	-20	-1204	-515	0	36%	-0.55	-78.5	4.36%	0	-1	29	0

11	Aug_11_2016	17883.8	12447.52	11874.91	11574	11538.75	11538	11502(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-154	-10	-168	-111	0	36%	-0.54	-79.1	4.43%	0	-0.9	28	0
12	Aug_10_2016	17980.1	12592.8	11915.37	11697.6	11602.88	11514.01	11640(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1300	-80	-1513	-659	0	35%	-0.48	-82.5	4.44%	0	-0.9	28	0
13	Aug_9_2016	18066.86	12746.53	11924.37	11862	11783.44	11539.51	11394(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3097	-160	-3626	-1511	0	35%	-0.49	-87.1	4.43%	0	-1.2	29	0
14	Aug_8_2016	18155.33	12916.29	11961.02	12086.4	12063.94	11691.75	11694(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4271	-220	-5004	-2072	0	35%	-0.47	-89	4.43%	0	-1	27	0
15	Aug_5_2016	18241.9	13100.48	12098.73	12138	12243.19	12027.38	11640(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4230	-100	-4954	-2056	0	35%	-0.52	-87.2	4.43%	0	-1.1	28	0

16	Aug_4_2016	18337.9	13313.13	12267.34	12208.8	12293.06	12436.13	12120(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	247	100	314	44	0	35%	-0.52	-76.7	4.41%	0	-0.8	27	0
17	Aug_3_2016	18433.65	13567.75	12407.09	12156	12209.01	12459	12462(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4078	160	4825	1838	0	35%	-0.53	-68.4	4.44%	0	-0.6	28	0
18	Aug_2_2016	18532.41	13835.24	12485.34	11997.6	12010.81	12149.99	12516(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2882	80	3424	1256	0	35%	-0.52	-65.7	4.47%	0	-0.7	27	0
19	Aug_1_2016	18628.96	14106.63	12618.94	11828.4	11819.94	11959.01	11952(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	504	80	631	121	0	33%	-0.53	-72.2	4.42%	0	-1.1	18	0
20	Jul_29_2016	18729.06	14371.02	12805.49	12069.6	11871.32	11871.63	11994(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-153	-50	-141	-189	0	36%	-0.6	-71.3	4.45%	0	-1.2	16	0

21	Jul_28_2016	18842.45	14615.08	13050.98	12350.4	12208.68	11680.86	11856(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4352	-340	-5082	-2160	0	40%	-0.62	-68	4.57%	0	-1.4	12	0
22	Jul_27_2016	18960.93	14912.47	13316.91	12705.6	12664.09	11871	11670(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-10547	-450	-12370	-5078	0	40%	-0.66	-63.7	4.69%	0	-1.6	7	0
23	Jul_26_2016	19087.05	15274.26	13638.71	13039.2	13153.65	12736.5	11670(-11.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-8435	-200	-9883	-4091	0	40%	-0.58	-56.4	4.7%	0	-1.8	6	0
24	Jul_25_2016	19197.93	15714.71	13968.53	13504.8	13498.62	13457.18	13158(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-2160	-20	-2498	-1145	0	43%	-0.51	-42.6	4.52%	0	-1.2	8	0
25	Jul_22_2016	19296.01	15982.28	14197.45	13642.8	13684.94	13570.81	13398(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-214	-50	-207	-236	0	43%		-40.5	4.53%	0	-1.2	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.