Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $10866.0000 (-4.18%) ($10800.0000 - $11256.0000) on Mon. Aug. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.38% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $10866.0000(-4.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(7%)    VIXM(7%)    TLT(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -2.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.19% (StdDev 4.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.5%

Resistance Level   $12146.59
5 Day Moving Average   $11348.4(-4.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11688.73(-7.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12146.59(-10.54%)
To recent high   -52.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 7.42% (three month std-dev: 4.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 3.55%(58%) Average negative next day return: -4.25%(42%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 4.51%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6%(50%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 8.08%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.25%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2016	17715.39	12146.59	11688.73	11348.4	11378.4	11218.8	10866(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3028	-90	-3553	-1452	0	34%	-0.39	-80.3	4.38%	0	-1.4	40	0
2	Aug_12_2016	17785.29	12294.69	11805.3	11514	11488.65	11463.3	11340(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1032	-20	-1204	-515	0	36%	-0.55	-78.5	4.36%	0	-1	29	0
3	Aug_11_2016	17883.8	12447.52	11874.91	11574	11538.75	11538	11502(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-154	-10	-168	-111	0	36%	-0.54	-79.1	4.43%	0	-0.9	28	0
4	Aug_10_2016	17980.1	12592.8	11915.37	11697.6	11602.88	11514.01	11640(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1300	-80	-1513	-659	0	35%	-0.48	-82.5	4.44%	0	-0.9	28	0
5	Aug_9_2016	18066.86	12746.53	11924.37	11862	11783.44	11539.51	11394(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3097	-160	-3626	-1511	0	35%	-0.49	-87.1	4.43%	0	-1.2	29	0

6	Aug_8_2016	18155.33	12916.29	11961.02	12086.4	12063.94	11691.75	11694(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4271	-220	-5004	-2072	0	35%	-0.47	-89	4.43%	0	-1	27	0
7	Aug_5_2016	18241.9	13100.48	12098.73	12138	12243.19	12027.38	11640(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4230	-100	-4954	-2056	0	35%	-0.52	-87.2	4.43%	0	-1.1	28	0
8	Aug_4_2016	18337.9	13313.13	12267.34	12208.8	12293.06	12436.13	12120(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	247	100	314	44	0	35%	-0.52	-76.7	4.41%	0	-0.8	27	0
9	Aug_3_2016	18433.65	13567.75	12407.09	12156	12209.01	12459	12462(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4078	160	4825	1838	0	35%	-0.53	-68.4	4.44%	0	-0.6	28	0
10	Aug_2_2016	18532.41	13835.24	12485.34	11997.6	12010.81	12149.99	12516(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2882	80	3424	1256	0	35%	-0.52	-65.7	4.47%	0	-0.7	27	0

11	Aug_1_2016	18628.96	14106.63	12618.94	11828.4	11819.94	11959.01	11952(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	504	80	631	121	0	33%	-0.53	-72.2	4.42%	0	-1.1	18	0
12	Jul_29_2016	18729.06	14371.02	12805.49	12069.6	11871.32	11871.63	11994(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-153	-50	-141	-189	0	36%	-0.6	-71.3	4.45%	0	-1.2	16	0
13	Jul_28_2016	18842.45	14615.08	13050.98	12350.4	12208.68	11680.86	11856(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4352	-340	-5082	-2160	0	40%	-0.62	-68	4.57%	0	-1.4	12	0
14	Jul_27_2016	18960.93	14912.47	13316.91	12705.6	12664.09	11871	11670(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-10547	-450	-12370	-5078	0	40%	-0.66	-63.7	4.69%	0	-1.6	7	0
15	Jul_26_2016	19087.05	15274.26	13638.71	13039.2	13153.65	12736.5	11670(-11.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-8435	-200	-9883	-4091	0	40%	-0.58	-56.4	4.7%	0	-1.8	6	0

16	Jul_25_2016	19197.93	15714.71	13968.53	13504.8	13498.62	13457.18	13158(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-2160	-20	-2498	-1145	0	43%	-0.51	-42.6	4.52%	0	-1.2	8	0
17	Jul_22_2016	19296.01	15982.28	14197.45	13642.8	13684.94	13570.81	13398(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-214	-50	-207	-236	0	43%	-0.53	-40.5	4.53%	0	-1.2	21	0
18	Jul_21_2016	19399.05	16118.56	14451.64	13864.8	13766.34	13540.05	13632(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3884	-140	-4525	-1960	0	43%	-0.52	-43.3	4.53%	0	-1.2	28	0
19	Jul_20_2016	19500.65	16303.24	14818.89	14038.8	14017.03	13799.06	13338(-4.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-3214	-110	-3739	-1640	0	43%	-0.55	-43.9	4.52%	0	-1.5	21	0
20	Jul_19_2016	19609.08	16501.95	15285.98	14336.4	14256.36	13992.64	13998(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3341	-150	-3890	-1693	0	45%	-0.63	-44.1	4.5%	0	-1.4	20	0

21	Jul_18_2016	19733.61	16672.86	15697.23	14504.4	14435.1	14235	13848(-4.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-4194	-110	-4892	-2101	0	45%	-0.62	-45	4.53%	0	-1.7	16	0
22	Jul_15_2016	19857.59	16882.89	16050.78	14833.2	14697.23	14520.08	14508(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2636	-110	-3060	-1364	0	46%	-0.61	-41.7	4.5%	0	-1.5	34	0
23	Jul_14_2016	19979.18	17038.42	16295.76	15134.4	14963.1	14635.2	14502(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5056	-190	-5912	-2487	0	46%	-0.66	-36.7	4.52%	0	-1.7	50	0
24	Jul_13_2016	20111.85	17195.06	16633.03	15733.2	15452.63	14874.38	14826(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8074	-320	-9471	-3884	0	44%	-0.7	-25.4	4.52%	0	-1.7	46	0
25	Jul_12_2016	20253.34	17334.94	17043.39	16396.8	16182.57	15291	14838(-4.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11727	-420	-13780	-5569	0	44%		-9.8	4.59%	0	-2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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