Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $11994.0000 (1.16%) ($11738.1600 - $12156.0000) on Fri. Jul. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.45% (three month average)
RSI   16
Latest Price   $11994.0000(1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -9.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(7%)    TLT(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    DIA(1%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -2.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.225% (StdDev 4.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

Resistance Level   $14371.02
5 Day Moving Average   $12069.6(-0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12805.49(-6.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14371.02(-16.54%)
To recent high   -49.7%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 14.14% (three month std-dev: 4.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 6.6%(33%) Average negative next day return: -3.52%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -4.59%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.77%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.43%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2016	18729.06	14371.02	12805.49	12069.6	11871.32	11871.63	11994(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-153	-50	-141	-189	0	36%	-0.6	-71.3	4.45%	0	-1.2	16	0
2	Jul_28_2016	18842.45	14615.08	13050.98	12350.4	12208.68	11680.86	11856(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4352	-340	-5082	-2160	0	40%	-0.62	-68	4.57%	0	-1.4	12	0
3	Jul_27_2016	18960.93	14912.47	13316.91	12705.6	12664.09	11871	11670(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-10547	-450	-12370	-5078	0	40%	-0.66	-63.7	4.69%	0	-1.6	7	0
4	Jul_26_2016	19087.05	15274.26	13638.71	13039.2	13153.65	12736.5	11670(-11.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-8435	-200	-9883	-4091	0	40%	-0.58	-56.4	4.7%	0	-1.8	6	0
5	Jul_25_2016	19197.93	15714.71	13968.53	13504.8	13498.62	13457.18	13158(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-2160	-20	-2498	-1145	0	43%	-0.51	-42.6	4.52%	0	-1.2	8	0

6	Jul_22_2016	19296.01	15982.28	14197.45	13642.8	13684.94	13570.81	13398(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-214	-50	-207	-236	0	43%	-0.53	-40.5	4.53%	0	-1.2	21	0
7	Jul_21_2016	19399.05	16118.56	14451.64	13864.8	13766.34	13540.05	13632(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3884	-140	-4525	-1960	0	43%	-0.52	-43.3	4.53%	0	-1.2	28	0
8	Jul_20_2016	19500.65	16303.24	14818.89	14038.8	14017.03	13799.06	13338(-4.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-3214	-110	-3739	-1640	0	43%	-0.55	-43.9	4.52%	0	-1.5	21	0
9	Jul_19_2016	19609.08	16501.95	15285.98	14336.4	14256.36	13992.64	13998(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3341	-150	-3890	-1693	0	45%	-0.63	-44.1	4.5%	0	-1.4	20	0
10	Jul_18_2016	19733.61	16672.86	15697.23	14504.4	14435.1	14235	13848(-4.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-4194	-110	-4892	-2101	0	45%	-0.62	-45	4.53%	0	-1.7	16	0

11	Jul_15_2016	19857.59	16882.89	16050.78	14833.2	14697.23	14520.08	14508(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2636	-110	-3060	-1364	0	46%	-0.61	-41.7	4.5%	0	-1.5	34	0
12	Jul_14_2016	19979.18	17038.42	16295.76	15134.4	14963.1	14635.2	14502(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5056	-190	-5912	-2487	0	46%	-0.66	-36.7	4.52%	0	-1.7	50	0
13	Jul_13_2016	20111.85	17195.06	16633.03	15733.2	15452.63	14874.38	14826(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8074	-320	-9471	-3884	0	44%	-0.7	-25.4	4.52%	0	-1.7	46	0
14	Jul_12_2016	20253.34	17334.94	17043.39	16396.8	16182.57	15291	14838(-4.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11727	-420	-13780	-5569	0	44%	-0.63	-9.8	4.59%	0	-2	46	0
15	Jul_11_2016	20381.67	17475.01	17611.71	17074.8	17055.19	16030.88	15492(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13160	-420	-15480	-6200	0	44%	-0.66	8.1	4.57%	0	-1.8	47	0

16	Jul_8_2016	20517.22	17568.43	17928.53	17436	17673.2	17074.13	16014(-8.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10475	-200	-12327	-4919	0	44%	-0.65	21.3	4.56%	0	-1.6	47	0
17	Jul_7_2016	20651.73	17598.16	17950.09	17599.2	17870.63	18079.5	17496(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1330	130	-1567	-619	0	47%	-0.55	24.1	4.44%	0	-0.1	53	0
18	Jul_6_2016	20766.22	17546.69	17926.11	17658	17781	18272.26	18144(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6479	210	7620	3057	0	47%	-0.63	22.8	4.46%	0	0.6	55	0
19	Jul_5_2016	20897	17457.61	17820.03	17814	17665.02	17661.75	18228(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1766	-30	2073	843	0	47%	-0.79	23.2	4.47%	0	0.7	56	0
20	Jul_1_2016	21064.2	17386.18	17716.11	18286.8	17974.39	17289.74	17298(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7465	-320	-8792	-3482	0	44%	-0.95	34.8	4.4%	0	-0.1	53	0

21	Jun_30_2016	21266.36	17359.17	17772.53	18522	18632.14	17668.28	16830(-5.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-10678	-340	-12577	-4979	0	44%	-0.92	36.9	4.36%	0	-0.5	52	0
22	Jun_29_2016	21464.3	17365.45	17842.55	18310.8	18809.52	18659.03	17790(-5.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6463	30	-7618	-2996	0	46%	-0.84	26.4	4.33%	0	0.4	60	0
23	Jun_28_2016	21645.04	17318.17	17804.56	18176.4	18348	19596	18924(-8.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	9812	500	11527	4665	0	49%	-0.75	16.4	4.29%	0	1.6	66	0
24	Jun_27_2016	21807.89	17219.44	17637.98	17796	17761.13	18960	20592(11.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	23393	470	27507	11050	0	53%	-0.55	-5.7	4.17%	0	3.5	75	0
25	Jun_24_2016	21928.02	17039.53	17279.92	17113.2	17040.38	17100	18474(17.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	7424	10	8728	3513	0	47%		-62.1	3.95%	0	2.5	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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