Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $13632.0000 (2.2%) ($13284.0000 - $13761.0000) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.53% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $13632.0000(2.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -11.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(7%)    TLT(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    DIA(1%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -2.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.265% (StdDev 4.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

Resistance Level   $16118.56
5 Day Moving Average   $13864.8(-1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14451.64(-5.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16118.56(-15.43%)
To recent high   -42.8%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 12.48% (three month std-dev: 4.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.74%(63%) Average negative next day return: -2.99%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.75%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -4.3%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 10.37%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.35%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2016	19399.05	16118.56	14451.64	13864.8	13766.34	13540.05	13632(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3884	-140	-4525	-1960	0	43%	-0.52	-43.3	4.53%	0	-1.2	28	0
2	Jul_20_2016	19500.65	16303.24	14818.89	14038.8	14017.03	13799.06	13338(-4.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-3214	-110	-3739	-1640	0	43%	-0.55	-43.9	4.52%	0	-1.5	21	0
3	Jul_19_2016	19609.08	16501.95	15285.98	14336.4	14256.36	13992.64	13998(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3341	-150	-3890	-1693	0	45%	-0.63	-44.1	4.5%	0	-1.4	20	0
4	Jul_18_2016	19733.61	16672.86	15697.23	14504.4	14435.1	14235	13848(-4.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-4194	-110	-4892	-2101	0	45%	-0.62	-45	4.53%	0	-1.7	16	0
5	Jul_15_2016	19857.59	16882.89	16050.78	14833.2	14697.23	14520.08	14508(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2636	-110	-3060	-1364	0	46%	-0.61	-41.7	4.5%	0	-1.5	34	0

6	Jul_14_2016	19979.18	17038.42	16295.76	15134.4	14963.1	14635.2	14502(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5056	-190	-5912	-2487	0	46%	-0.66	-36.7	4.52%	0	-1.7	50	0
7	Jul_13_2016	20111.85	17195.06	16633.03	15733.2	15452.63	14874.38	14826(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8074	-320	-9471	-3884	0	44%	-0.7	-25.4	4.52%	0	-1.7	46	0
8	Jul_12_2016	20253.34	17334.94	17043.39	16396.8	16182.57	15291	14838(-4.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11727	-420	-13780	-5569	0	44%	-0.63	-9.8	4.59%	0	-2	46	0
9	Jul_11_2016	20381.67	17475.01	17611.71	17074.8	17055.19	16030.88	15492(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13160	-420	-15480	-6200	0	44%	-0.66	8.1	4.57%	0	-1.8	47	0
10	Jul_8_2016	20517.22	17568.43	17928.53	17436	17673.2	17074.13	16014(-8.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10475	-200	-12327	-4919	0	44%	-0.65	21.3	4.56%	0	-1.6	47	0

11	Jul_7_2016	20651.73	17598.16	17950.09	17599.2	17870.63	18079.5	17496(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1330	130	-1567	-619	0	47%	-0.55	24.1	4.44%	0	-0.1	53	0
12	Jul_6_2016	20766.22	17546.69	17926.11	17658	17781	18272.26	18144(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6479	210	7620	3057	0	47%	-0.63	22.8	4.46%	0	0.6	55	0
13	Jul_5_2016	20897	17457.61	17820.03	17814	17665.02	17661.75	18228(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1766	-30	2073	843	0	47%	-0.79	23.2	4.47%	0	0.7	56	0
14	Jul_1_2016	21064.2	17386.18	17716.11	18286.8	17974.39	17289.74	17298(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7465	-320	-8792	-3482	0	44%	-0.95	34.8	4.4%	0	-0.1	53	0
15	Jun_30_2016	21266.36	17359.17	17772.53	18522	18632.14	17668.28	16830(-5.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-10678	-340	-12577	-4979	0	44%	-0.92	36.9	4.36%	0	-0.5	52	0

16	Jun_29_2016	21464.3	17365.45	17842.55	18310.8	18809.52	18659.03	17790(-5.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6463	30	-7618	-2996	0	46%	-0.84	26.4	4.33%	0	0.4	60	0
17	Jun_28_2016	21645.04	17318.17	17804.56	18176.4	18348	19596	18924(-8.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	9812	500	11527	4665	0	49%	-0.75	16.4	4.29%	0	1.6	66	0
18	Jun_27_2016	21807.89	17219.44	17637.98	17796	17761.13	18960	20592(11.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	23393	470	27507	11050	0	53%	-0.55	-5.7	4.17%	0	3.5	75	0
19	Jun_24_2016	21928.02	17039.53	17279.92	17113.2	17040.38	17100	18474(17.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	7424	10	8728	3513	0	47%	-0.5	-62.1	3.95%	0	2.5	62	0
20	Jun_23_2016	22038.77	16991.09	17128.88	16983.6	16788	16562.25	15774(-7.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-8290	-130	-9760	-3881	0	35%	-0.7	-115.8	3.3%	0	-2.4	43	0

21	Jun_22_2016	22193.55	17101.23	17206.06	17305.2	17162.81	16980.75	17118(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1904	-100	-2251	-862	0	39%	-0.64	-144.8	3.21%	0	0	55	0
22	Jun_21_2016	22337.43	17152.87	17136.45	17354.4	17348.44	17013.75	17022(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4729	-140	-5574	-2192	0	39%	-0.52	-161.7	3.21%	0	-0.2	54	0
23	Jun_20_2016	22453.57	17274.41	17074.23	17421.6	17392.69	17344.88	17178(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5439	-20	-6409	-2530	0	39%	-0.53	-125.3	3.21%	0	-0.1	51	0
24	Jun_17_2016	22572.96	17407.26	17040	17455.2	17514.61	17683.13	17826(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4062	80	4770	1939	0	41%	-0.7	-111.9	3.22%	0	0.4	54	0
25	Jun_16_2016	22731.4	17597.68	16918.85	17307.6	17407.55	17440.5	17382(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2615	30	3073	1241	0	41%		-85	3.21%	0	-0.2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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