Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $17826.0000 (2.55%) ($17376.0000 - $18183.0000) on Fri. Jun. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.22% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $17826.0000(2.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(7%)    TLT(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    IWO(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.61% (StdDev 3.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $17455.2(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17040(4.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17407.26(2.41%)
To recent high   -25.2%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 5.63% (three month std-dev: 3.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.47%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 5.02%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.83%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2016	22572.96	17407.26	17040	17455.2	17514.61	17683.13	17826(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4062	80	4770	1939	0	41%	-0.7	-111.9	3.22%	0	0.4	54	0
2	Jun_16_2016	22731.4	17597.68	16918.85	17307.6	17407.55	17440.5	17382(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2615	30	3073	1241	0	41%	-0.7	-85	3.21%	0	-0.2	41	0
3	Jun_15_2016	22891.94	17797.54	16860.09	17090.4	17236.92	17346.1	17364(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	999	70	1179	459	0	41%	-0.65	-78.1	3.22%	0	-0.3	38	0
4	Jun_14_2016	23041.14	18051.33	16802.18	16882.8	17063.68	17374.6	17358(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5551	160	6542	2577	0	41%	-0.69	-68	3.22%	0	-0.3	34	0
5	Jun_13_2016	23200.32	18288.1	16768.67	16672.8	16773.76	17127.75	17346(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6426	170	7582	2956	0	41%	-0.62	-66.4	3.23%	0	-0.4	23	0

6	Jun_10_2016	23346.16	18578.3	16761.94	16569.6	16582.88	16752.76	17088(4.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4891	70	5785	2207	0	37%	-0.71	-60.7	3.29%	0	-0.6	18	0
7	Jun_9_2016	23513.06	18898.69	16814.56	16488	16503.76	16419.77	16296(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-122	-30	-98	-192	0	33%	-0.81	-56.5	3.23%	0	-1	3	0
8	Jun_8_2016	23704.2	19214.11	16974.16	16598.4	16525.13	16413.01	16326(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3556	-60	-4130	-1833	0	39%	-0.83	-56.7	3.23%	0	-1.1	8	0
9	Jun_7_2016	23902.14	19521.7	17164.81	16702.8	16678.09	16587.75	16308(-3.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-1852	-40	-2118	-1053	0	39%	-0.33	-57.2	3.35%	0	-1.2	7	0
10	Jun_6_2016	23980.43	19873.42	17490.45	16866	16831.46	16637.25	16830(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2766	-90	-3189	-1495	0	39%	-0.81	-54.5	3.34%	0	-1.1	13	0

11	Jun_3_2016	24177.32	20194.52	17802.34	16982.4	16967.43	16768.43	16680(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-5156	-80	-5996	-2637	0	39%	-0.64	-53.3	3.35%	0	-1.3	10	0
12	Jun_2_2016	24331.83	20531.82	18323.72	17196	17207.43	17025.68	16848(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3466	-70	-4007	-1842	0	39%	-0.71	-49.6	3.35%	0	-1.4	10	0
13	Jun_1_2016	24506.14	20871.73	18802.67	17413.2	17419.49	17166.44	16848(-1.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-4580	-100	-5319	-2363	0	35%	-0.58	-43	3.35%	0	-1.6	21	0
14	May_31_2016	24649.58	21179.6	19394.1	17698.8	17641.11	17389.19	17124(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-6587	-110	-7686	-3291	0	39%	-0.9	-38.7	3.4%	0	-1.7	24	0
15	May_27_2016	24873.22	21443.62	19926.82	18214.8	18038.06	17672.55	17412(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-6473	-170	-7558	-3218	0	35%	-0.54	-34.9	3.5%	0	-1.9	22	0

16	May_26_2016	25007.55	21713.05	20539.53	18756	18550.47	17893.04	17748(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-11569	-280	-13560	-5594	0	35%	-0.41	-27	3.52%	0	-2.1	24	0
17	May_25_2016	25110.22	21896.14	21152.98	19641.6	19287.57	18403.57	17934(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-17303	-370	-20317	-8259	0	35%	-0.31	-14.7	3.52%	0	-2.3	24	0
18	May_24_2016	25189.32	22002.09	21652.47	20410.8	20328.35	19207.91	18276(-7.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17789	-400	-20897	-8466	0	35%	-0.27	-5.4	3.54%	0	-2.4	25	0
19	May_23_2016	25257.01	22116.84	22104.55	21337.2	21185.19	20171.58	19704(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21320	-360	-25060	-10099	0	38%	-0.23	10.1	3.47%	0	-1.8	36	0
20	May_20_2016	25314.25	22191.74	22485.76	21886.8	21953.4	21448.8	20118(-9.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13103	-150	-15403	-6204	0	38%	-0.16	25.2	3.54%	0	-1.6	44	0

21	May_19_2016	25355.33	22227.75	22817.72	22576.8	22518.9	22198.8	22176(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5786	-110	-6804	-2732	0	44%	-0.04	43	3.39%	0	-0	51	0
22	May_18_2016	25365.47	22154.2	22934.47	22910.4	22854.79	22458	21780(-4.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6679	-130	-7864	-3125	0	44%	-0.03	52	3.38%	0	-0.3	59	0
23	May_17_2016	25372.65	22085.72	23114.85	23086.8	23105.29	22839	22908(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4906	-80	-5789	-2255	0	43%	-0.02	59.3	3.34%	0	0.6	73	0
24	May_16_2016	25377.04	21981.07	23100.66	22994.4	23062.42	23251.58	22452(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1234	70	-1474	-513	0	37%	-0.12	57.2	3.44%	0	0.3	66	0
25	May_13_2016	25407.51	21867.4	23073.32	23170.8	23030.92	23371.58	23568(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6522	90	7646	3149	0	39%		58.9	3.62%	0	1.2	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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