Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: soxs Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
soxs latest price $16848.0000 (-1.61%) ($16788.0000 - $17406.0000) on Wed. Jun. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.35% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $16848.0000(-1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxs declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxs declines -13.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxs advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(7%)    TLT(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting soxs price   soxs will decline at least -1.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    IWO(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.675% (StdDev 3.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

Resistance Level   $20871.73
5 Day Moving Average   $17413.2(-3.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18802.67(-10.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20871.73(-19.28%)
To recent high   -29.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxs is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxs price fluctuates within 11.94% (three month std-dev: 3.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.36%(20%) Average negative next day return: -2.99%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 5.81%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.68%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.93%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.44%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2016	24506.14	20871.73	18802.67	17413.2	17419.49	17166.44	16848(-1.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-4580	-100	-5319	-2363	0	35%	-0.58	-43	3.35%	0	-1.6	21	0
2	May_31_2016	24649.58	21179.6	19394.1	17698.8	17641.11	17389.19	17124(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-6587	-110	-7686	-3291	0	39%	-0.9	-38.7	3.4%	0	-1.7	24	0
3	May_27_2016	24873.22	21443.62	19926.82	18214.8	18038.06	17672.55	17412(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-6473	-170	-7558	-3218	0	35%	-0.54	-34.9	3.5%	0	-1.9	22	0
4	May_26_2016	25007.55	21713.05	20539.53	18756	18550.47	17893.04	17748(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-11569	-280	-13560	-5594	0	35%	-0.41	-27	3.52%	0	-2.1	24	0
5	May_25_2016	25110.22	21896.14	21152.98	19641.6	19287.57	18403.57	17934(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-17303	-370	-20317	-8259	0	35%	-0.31	-14.7	3.52%	0	-2.3	24	0

6	May_24_2016	25189.32	22002.09	21652.47	20410.8	20328.35	19207.91	18276(-7.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17789	-400	-20897	-8466	0	35%	-0.27	-5.4	3.54%	0	-2.4	25	0
7	May_23_2016	25257.01	22116.84	22104.55	21337.2	21185.19	20171.58	19704(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21320	-360	-25060	-10099	0	38%	-0.23	10.1	3.47%	0	-1.8	36	0
8	May_20_2016	25314.25	22191.74	22485.76	21886.8	21953.4	21448.8	20118(-9.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13103	-150	-15403	-6204	0	38%	-0.16	25.2	3.54%	0	-1.6	44	0
9	May_19_2016	25355.33	22227.75	22817.72	22576.8	22518.9	22198.8	22176(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5786	-110	-6804	-2732	0	44%	-0.04	43	3.39%	0	-0	51	0
10	May_18_2016	25365.47	22154.2	22934.47	22910.4	22854.79	22458	21780(-4.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6679	-130	-7864	-3125	0	44%	-0.03	52	3.38%	0	-0.3	59	0

11	May_17_2016	25372.65	22085.72	23114.85	23086.8	23105.29	22839	22908(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4906	-80	-5789	-2255	0	43%	-0.02	59.3	3.34%	0	0.6	73	0
12	May_16_2016	25377.04	21981.07	23100.66	22994.4	23062.42	23251.58	22452(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1234	70	-1474	-513	0	37%	-0.12	57.2	3.44%	0	0.3	66	0
13	May_13_2016	25407.51	21867.4	23073.32	23170.8	23030.92	23371.58	23568(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6522	90	7646	3149	0	39%	0.02	58.9	3.62%	0	1.2	65	0
14	May_12_2016	25402.07	21692	22957.73	23100	22939.01	22873.27	23844(5.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1690	-40	1958	887	0	36%	0.02	57	3.65%	0	1.5	68	0
15	May_11_2016	25396.44	21477.27	22667	22993.2	23006.13	22690.27	22662(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4779	-90	-5653	-2156	0	31%	-0.05	52.2	3.66%	0	0.8	64	0

16	May_10_2016	25408.51	21304.66	22364.28	23160	23171.24	23004.75	22446(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4405	-50	-5215	-1976	0	31%	-0.06	55	3.67%	0	0.8	65	0
17	May_9_2016	25423.88	21204.17	22133.01	23210.4	23280.38	23321.99	23334(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	661	20	745	408	0	33%	-0.08	57.9	3.67%	0	1.5	64	0
18	May_6_2016	25444.82	21048.22	21875.04	22941.6	23163.75	23337.73	23214(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3184	80	3716	1589	0	40%	-0.05	57.6	3.8%	0	1.7	67	0
19	May_5_2016	25458.01	20896.81	21591.93	22780.8	22858.51	23238.77	23310(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4943	130	5785	2415	0	47%	-0.01	62.6	3.83%	0	2	68	0
20	May_4_2016	25459.57	20751.36	21302.19	22286.4	22536.39	22989.78	23496(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10280	170	12070	4911	0	44%	-0.02	59.9	4.06%	0	2.5	71	0

21	May_3_2016	25465.19	20553.81	20953.05	21448.8	21758.1	22478.25	22698(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8446	270	9919	4025	0	44%	-0.1	47.5	4.08%	0	2.4	71	0
22	May_2_2016	25491.07	20426.37	20741.75	20892	21069.6	22083	21990(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	14556	360	17113	6883	0	50%	-0.11	36.7	4.05%	0	2.1	57	0
23	Apr_29_2016	25519.44	20320.52	20538.57	20650.8	20501.85	21037.95	22410(7.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	11778	160	13849	5565	0	44%	-0.04	24	4.22%	0	3.1	60	0
24	Apr_28_2016	25528.82	20167.59	20287.82	20252.4	20191.35	20056.2	20838(7.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	571	-60	669	276	0	40%	-0.12	-3.4	4.41%	0	1.4	53	0
25	Apr_27_2016	25559.19	20118.5	20163.84	20191.2	20244	19965.75	19308(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-4365	-90	-5135	-2055	0	35%		-16.8	4.28%	0	-1.7	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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