Trading Signals: soxl Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: soxl Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
soxl latest price $78.7800 (2.25%) ($77.0000 - $79.6100) on Mon. Mar. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.65% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $78.7800(2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   soxl advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   soxl advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support soxl advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IVW(81%)    IWF(81%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting soxl price   soxl will decline at least -1.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.325% (StdDev 2.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.9(2.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.97(5.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.15(7.7%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   40.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. soxl is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. soxl price fluctuates within 3.84% (three month std-dev: 2.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2017	61.26	73.15	74.97	76.9			78.78(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	31	-10000	6	106	0.22	57%	0.57	72.4	2.65%	0	2	78	0
2	Mar_17_2017	60.91	72.73	74.11	76.31			77.05(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	6	92	0.15	57%	0.54	80.3	2.66%	0	1.7	63	0
3	Mar_16_2017	60.58	72.36	73.42	75.71			76.63(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	10	85	0.2	57%	0.51	81.4	2.68%	0	1.8	67	0
4	Mar_15_2017	60.27	71.98	72.78	74.71			76.93(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	11	69	0.29	60%	0.53	73.2	2.72%	0	2.2	67	0
5	Mar_14_2017	59.95	71.52	72.29	73.58			75.11(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	9	45	0.28	60%	0.49	59.2	2.78%	0	1.7	52	0

6	Mar_13_2017	59.66	71.18	71.7	72.71			75.81(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13	-10000	11	20	0.31	60%	0.56	49.1	2.78%	0	2.3	53	0
7	Mar_10_2017	59.33	70.78	71.27	71.6			74.09(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	8	3	0.32	60%	0.53	37.4	2.79%	0	1.8	58	0
8	Mar_9_2017	59.02	70.47	70.84	70.82			71.62(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	3	-11	0.16	58%	0.49	29.6	2.79%	0	0.7	56	0
9	Mar_8_2017	58.73	70.38	70.7	70.55			71.28(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-10000	-3	-16	0.28	58%	0.46	33.3	2.8%	0	0.5	56	0
10	Mar_7_2017	58.46	70.3	70.92	70.8			70.76(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-10000	3	7	0.28	62%	0.5	53.1	2.81%	0	0.3	60	0

11	Mar_6_2017	58.17	70.21	71.2	70.51			70.27(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-4	13	0.23	64%	0.48	53.7	2.91%	0	0	56	0
12	Mar_3_2017	57.89	70.11	71.27	70.87			70.16(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	-10000	0	28	0.21	64%	0.5	59.8	2.95%	0	0	57	0
13	Mar_2_2017	57.6	69.97	71.25	70.85			70.29(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	0	33	0.28	64%	0.47	60.2	2.97%	0	0.2	57	0
14	Mar_1_2017	57.33	69.83	71.19	70.83			72.54(4.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	6	-10000	-3	31	0.32	55%	0.51	59.6	2.96%	0	1.4	56	0
15	Feb_28_2017	57.04	69.42	70.73	71.09			69.29(-3.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-7	25	0.31	53%	0.4	58.2	3.48%	0	-0.1	50	0

16	Feb_27_2017	56.81	69.3	70.68	72			72.08(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	2	41	0.22	55%	0.42	81.8	3.44%	0	1.2	60	0
17	Feb_24_2017	56.57	69.08	70.28	71.75			70.06(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	10	-10000	1	38	0.35	55%	0.41	96.9	3.43%	0	0.4	58	0
18	Feb_23_2017	56.34	68.85	70.11	71.67			70.18(-4.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	-10000	1	40	0.5	55%	0.41	104.4	3.45%	0	0.6	62	0
19	Feb_22_2017	56.11	68.67	70.09	71.52			73.85(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	20	-10000	10	50	0.18	61%	0.5	116.4	3.38%	0	2.2	76	0
20	Feb_21_2017	55.83	68.16	69.62	70.29			73.84(4.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	18	-10000	9	45	0.32	61%	0.65	120	3.41%	0	2.5	82	0

21	Feb_17_2017	55.47	67.48	69.08	69.22			70.8(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	5	35	0.24	59%	0.45	87.7	3.36%	0	1.2	63	0
22	Feb_16_2017	55.22	67.02	68.8	68.65			69.68(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	3	27	0.18	59%	0.47	76.1	3.37%	0	0.9	56	0
23	Feb_15_2017	54.96	66.51	68.54	68.34			69.42(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10000	-1	25	0.24	62%	0.49	66.7	3.39%	0	0.9	63	0
24	Feb_14_2017	54.69	66.05	68.32	68.45			67.73(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-3	28	0.21	62%	0.48	60.8	3.45%	0	0.5	55	0
25	Feb_13_2017	54.43	65.56	68	68.83			68.45(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-1	36	0.31	62%		61.4	3.45%	0	0.8	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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