Trading Signals: YELP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: YELP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 2, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Yelp Inc.)
YELP latest price $26.3100 (2.33%) ($25.2000 - $27.4000) on Thu. Sep. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.7% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $26.3100(2.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   YELP advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   YELP advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support YELP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(47%)    PEJ(47%)    XLY(45%)    SPY(42%)    XAR(41%)
Factors Impacting YELP price   YELP will decline at least -2.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.85% (StdDev 5.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.73(2.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.46(3.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.71(10.97%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   47.2%
Market Cap   $1.924b

Yelp, Inc. engages in the provision of an one-stop local platform for consumers to discover, connect, and transact with local businesses of all sizes. It operates through the following segments: Advertising, Transactions, and Other services. The Advertising segment offers a range of free and paid advertising products to businesses of all sizes, including the ability to deliver targeted search advertising to large local audiences through website and mobile app. The Transactions segment comprises several features and consumer-interactive tools to facilitate transactions between consumers and the local businesses can find on Yelp. The Other Services segment consists revenue through subscription services, licensing payments for access to Yelp data, and other non-advertising, non-transaction arrangements. The company was founded by Jeremy Stoppelman and Russell Simmons in July 2004 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. YELP price fluctuates within 11.6% (three month std-dev: 5.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.64%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.92%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -13.04%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.01%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -17.39%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2012	21.59	23.71	25.46	25.73	25.6	25.89	26.31(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	60	13	44	1.82	62%	0.14	55.1	5.7%	0	0.9	70	0
2	Sep_19_2012	21.56	23.3	25.46	25.26	25.39	25.31	25.71(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10	1	41	2.07	62%	0.14	39.9	5.7%	0	0.8	64	0
3	Sep_18_2012	21.53	22.97	25.38	25.28	25.19	25.3	24.77(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	20	-7	71	1.1	62%	0.09	34.4	5.68%	0	0.6	75	0
4	Sep_17_2012	21.51	22.75	25.34	25.57	25.46	25.48	25.7(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10	6	109	0.5	62%	0.19	31.6	5.66%	0	1	73	0
5	Sep_14_2012	21.47	22.52	25	25.44	25.43	25.07	26.18(9.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-100	1	118	1.73	63%	0.23	24.3	5.7%	0	1.2	72	0

6	Sep_13_2012	21.42	22.28	24.57	25.17	25.36	25.45	23.95(-7.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	27	50	-8	131	1.64	61%	0.14	16.3	5.6%	0	0.6	72	0
7	Sep_12_2012	21.39	22.18	24.44	25.49	25.43	25.79	25.8(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	90	5	177	1.76	64%	0.19	12.6	5.51%	0	1.3	79	0
8	Sep_11_2012	21.35	21.98	23.73	25.48	25.32	25.28	26.2(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	-30	8	185	1.54	64%	0.19	7.1	5.52%	0	1.6	73	0
9	Sep_10_2012	21.31	21.98	23.03	25.09	25.2	25.07	25.07(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	51	-20	9	175	0.85	64%	0.09	0.3	5.53%	0	1.3	65	0
10	Sep_7_2012	21.29	21.83	22.48	24.48	24.72	25.37	24.82(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	210	14	148	1.1	67%	0.05	-2.2	5.72%	0	1.2	59	0

11	Sep_6_2012	21.28	21.83	21.83	23.85	23.9	25.33	25.55(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	430	25	120	1.64	68%	0.05	-2.5	5.74%	0	1.4	60	0
12	Sep_5_2012	21.27	21.84	21.05	23.22	22.99	24.07	25.77(6.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	300	44	90	3.17	68%	0	3.6	5.81%	0	1.5	59	0
13	Sep_4_2012	21.27	21.8	20.33	21.71	21.74	22.48	24.25(10.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	240	28	25	2.34	67%	-0.33	-2.2	5.77%	0	0.9	55	0
14	Aug_31_2012	21.34	21.82	19.88	20.69	20.61	21.91	22(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	430	20	-25	1.38	63%	-0.19	-4.9	5.69%	0	0.1	44	0
15	Aug_30_2012	21.38	21.88	19.79	20.18	19.96	21.01	21.69(-3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	340	31	-54	2.24	63%	-0.19	-3.6	5.69%	0	-0.1	37	0

16	Aug_29_2012	21.42	21.9	19.75	19.48	19.23	19.31	22.37(22.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10	23	-93	8.65	62%	-0.14	-6.8	5.68%	0	0.2	39	0
17	Aug_28_2012	21.45	21.74	19.67	18.58	18.73	18.91	18.26(-4.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-44	90	-5	-162	1.35	57%	-0.33	-19.4	5.04%	0	-1.2	16	0
18	Aug_27_2012	21.52	21.86	20.07	18.73	18.69	19.15	19.11(-1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	170	1	-170	0.93	57%	-0.14	-22.8	5.05%	0	-1	21	0
19	Aug_24_2012	21.55	21.95	20.52	18.95	18.76	18.56	19.48(7.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-100	-8	-174	1.75	57%	-0.23	-25.2	5.06%	0	-0.9	25	0
20	Aug_23_2012	21.6	21.98	21.12	19.36	19.2	18.23	18.19(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-61	-380	-27	-164	0.92	55%	-0.37	-28.7	5%	0	-1.4	31	0

21	Aug_22_2012	21.68	22.09	21.87	20.07	20.15	18.96	17.87(-5.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-400	-34	-133	1.24	53%	-0.41	-30.2	5%	0	-1.6	38	0
22	Aug_21_2012	21.77	22.3	22.73	20.92	21.03	20.16	19(-6.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-270	-28	-76	1.1	55%	-0.37	-25.6	5.02%	0	-1.4	58	0
23	Aug_20_2012	21.85	22.5	23.43	21.58	21.7	21.33	20.22(-5.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-100	-23	-31	1.24	57%	-0.32	-20.3	4.97%	0	-1	56	0
24	Aug_17_2012	21.92	22.66	23.98	22.31	22.3	21.91	21.5(-1.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-12	-120	-20	12	0.91	55%	-0.32	-8.5	5.16%	0	-0.5	57	0
25	Aug_16_2012	21.99	22.78	24.2	23.18	23.03	22.06	21.76(-1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-310	-24	55	0.89	55%		7.1	5.16%	0	-0.5	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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