Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $43.4008 (-1.41%) ($43.3713 - $44.2454) on Tue. Dec. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $43.4008(-1.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(77%)    IWM(74%)    IWO(73%)    VT(73%)    IWC(72%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.7(-0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.45(-0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.11(3.07%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 3.75% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2017	39.99	42.11	43.45	43.7			43.4(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-10000	1	162	8	62%	0.13	78.7	1.1%	0	0.8	73	0
2	Dec_11_2017	39.94	41.9	43.34	43.67			44.02(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	3	174	5.04	65%	0.1	73.8	1.1%	0	1.3	72	0
3	Dec_8_2017	39.9	41.67	43.04	43.61			44.13(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	-10000	11	176	6.35	65%	0.13	74.8	1.1%	0	1.5	75	0
4	Dec_7_2017	39.85	41.41	42.71	43.34			43.62(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	-10000	6	170	5.41	63%	0.1	70.9	1.1%	0	1.3	78	0
5	Dec_6_2017	39.81	41.15	42.45	43.2			43.32(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	-10000	1	184	7.76	65%	0.1	66.7	1.1%	0	1.3	80	0

6	Dec_5_2017	39.77	40.9	42.2	43.17			43.28(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	-10000	10	212	8.75	65%	0.1	64.7	1.1%	0	1.4	80	0
7	Dec_4_2017	39.73	40.7	42	42.94			43.72(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	78	-10000	25	235	17.95	65%	0.13	65.3	1.1%	0	1.9	85	0
8	Dec_1_2017	39.68	40.46	41.72	42.36			42.74(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	-10000	17	219	10.56	64%	0.1	60.1	1.07%	0	1.5	75	0
9	Nov_30_2017	39.64	40.28	41.44	41.97			42.95(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	-10000	18	205	12.76	64%	0.1	54	1.07%	0	1.9	79	0
10	Nov_29_2017	39.6	40.06	41.06	41.57			43.16(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	64	-10000	21	191	18.4	64%	0.15	47.2	1.07%	0	2.4	83	0

11	Nov_28_2017	39.54	39.83	40.65	41.11			42.1(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	48	-10000	7	170	10.79	61%	0.1	38.7	1.03%	0	2.1	81	0
12	Nov_27_2017	39.5	39.66	40.34	40.96			40.86(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	41	-10000	-1	165	6.39	57%	0.05	33.3	0.97%	0	1.3	63	0
13	Nov_24_2017	39.48	39.58	40.2	40.98			40.78(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	52	-10000	9	179	4.98	57%	0.05	33.5	0.98%	0	1.3	63	0
14	Nov_22_2017	39.46	39.53	40.02	40.81			40.96(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	18	167	3.92	59%	0.05	33.5	0.97%	0	1.7	63	0
15	Nov_21_2017	39.44	39.47	39.77	40.45			40.84(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	18	131	6.18	59%	0.03	25.1	0.98%	0	1.7	66	0

16	Nov_20_2017	39.43	39.42	39.52	40.1			41.35(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	44	-10000	25	100	4.86	61%	0.03	18.7	0.97%	0	2.5	71	0
17	Nov_17_2017	39.42	39.34	39.28	39.63			41(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	28	-10000	16	63	11.86	58%	0.05	9.2	0.97%	0	2.6	69	0
18	Nov_16_2017	39.4	39.28	39.08	39.32			39.88(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	10	31	4.35	54%	0	0	0.94%	0	1.2	53	0
19	Nov_15_2017	39.4	39.25	39.01	39.14			39.17(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	9	4	3.85	46%	0	-6.9	0.92%	0	-0.2	40	0
20	Nov_14_2017	39.4	39.27	38.98	38.98			39.09(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	8	-24	4.02	46%	-0.03	-16.9	0.98%	0	-0.4	41	0

21	Nov_13_2017	39.41	39.28	38.95	38.83			38.99(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-2	-61	5.41	46%	0.03	-33.8	0.98%	0	-0.6	37	0
22	Nov_10_2017	39.4	39.29	38.93	38.87			39.46(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-17	-10000	3	-76	6.75	43%	0.03	-41.5	0.97%	0	0.3	42	0
23	Nov_9_2017	39.39	39.28	38.92	38.81			39(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-10000	-3	-86	7.9	41%	0.03	-59.2	1.03%	0	-0.5	39	0
24	Nov_8_2017	39.38	39.29	39.01	38.88			38.37(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-5	-77	5.04	37%	0	-73.1	1.02%	0	-1.8	39	0
25	Nov_7_2017	39.38	39.36	39.16	38.98			38.3(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-20	-10000	-5	-66	5.28	37%		-80.3	1.02%	0	-2.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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