Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $40.4642 (0.76%) ($39.8847 - $40.4838) on Fri. Sep. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $40.4642(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWC(72%)    IWN(72%)    IWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.11(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.65(2.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.81(4.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2017	39.58	38.81	39.65	40.11			40.46(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	-10000	11	131	3.83	40%	-0.05	52.7	1.17%	0	1.6	74	0
2	Sep_14_2017	39.6	38.65	39.43	39.86			40.16(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	6	116	2.54	40%	-0.08	43.5	1.17%	0	1.6	76	0
3	Sep_13_2017	39.63	38.54	39.23	39.72			40.46(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	-10000	10	117	4.62	40%	-0.03	33.8	1.17%	0	2.1	83	0
4	Sep_12_2017	39.64	38.4	38.99	39.49			40.04(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	11	109	4.78	40%	-0.05	16.5	1.16%	0	2.1	81	0
5	Sep_11_2017	39.66	38.33	38.8	39.23			39.44(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	5	105	3.54	38%	-0.05	-1.6	1.15%	0	1.6	82	0

6	Sep_8_2017	39.68	38.28	38.7	39.11			39.19(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	8	112	2.33	40%	-0.08	-16.9	1.16%	0	1.4	75	0
7	Sep_7_2017	39.71	38.28	38.58	38.93			39.47(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	36	-10000	12	109	4.44	40%	-0.05	-34.5	1.16%	0	2	76	0
8	Sep_6_2017	39.73	38.24	38.39	38.66			39.29(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	11	84	4.48	38%	-0.05	-46.5	1.16%	0	1.6	62	0
9	Sep_5_2017	39.75	38.27	38.22	38.41			38.78(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	4	62	2.29	36%	-0.05	-51	1.17%	0	0.7	62	0
10	Sep_1_2017	39.77	38.34	38.05	38.31			38.82(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	4	34	2.36	39%	-0.05	-43.3	1.17%	0	0.5	48	0

11	Aug_31_2017	39.79	38.39	37.9	38.23			38.3(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	3	11	1.65	37%	-0.05	-45.1	1.19%	0	-0.1	43	0
12	Aug_30_2017	39.81	38.46	37.82	38.16			38.12(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	-10000	4	-6	2.16	37%	-0.1	-48.7	1.19%	0	-0.3	45	0
13	Aug_29_2017	39.85	38.54	37.81	38.07			38.04(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	-10000	4	-33	2.21	37%	-0.08	-48.4	1.19%	0	-0.5	34	0
14	Aug_28_2017	39.88	38.66	37.77	37.98			38.26(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	11	-66	3.15	37%	-0.05	-47.9	1.2%	0	-0.4	32	0
15	Aug_25_2017	39.9	38.75	37.81	37.74			38.43(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	9	-105	2.45	37%	-0.05	-46.7	1.19%	0	-0.3	31	0

16	Aug_24_2017	39.92	38.84	37.83	37.53			37.98(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-32	-10000	5	-141	6.37	37%	-0.05	-47.1	1.19%	0	-0.7	29	0
17	Aug_23_2017	39.94	38.96	37.87	37.43			37.63(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-45	-10000	-4	-168	2.93	35%	-0.05	-47.7	1.19%	0	-1.1	32	0
18	Aug_22_2017	39.96	39.08	38.07	37.52			37.6(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-1	-163	2.76	35%	-0.08	-46.2	1.21%	0	-1.3	31	0
19	Aug_21_2017	39.99	39.2	38.31	37.54			37.09(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-54	-10000	-15	-172	3.54	33%	-0.1	-45.5	1.2%	0	-1.9	22	0
20	Aug_18_2017	40.03	39.3	38.64	37.88			37.34(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-13	-149	3.65	33%	-0.12	-43.6	1.2%	0	-1.9	25	0

21	Aug_17_2017	40.08	39.42	38.93	38.17			37.47(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-10000	-9	-132	4.27	31%	-0.1	-38.6	1.2%	0	-2.2	25	0
22	Aug_16_2017	40.12	39.54	39.17	38.38			38.09(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-14	-128	4.44	33%	-0.05	-33.5	1.21%	0	-1.9	27	0
23	Aug_15_2017	40.14	39.63	39.36	38.71			37.73(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-44	-10000	-21	-111	6.25	33%	-0.07	-15.4	1.2%	0	-2.6	32	0
24	Aug_14_2017	40.17	39.71	39.63	39.2			38.78(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-14	-73	2.4	35%	-0.02	14.4	1.16%	0	-1.6	39	0
25	Aug_11_2017	40.18	39.75	39.78	39.53			38.77(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-10000	-12	-34	3.31	31%		42.7	1.18%	0	-1.7	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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