Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $44.7320 (1.38%) ($44.2096 - $44.8384) on Mon. Dec. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $44.7320(1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWC(72%)    IWN(72%)    IWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.32(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.56(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.68(2.41%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 3.25% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2016	42.69	43.68	44.56	44.32			44.73(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	1	26	2.96	62%	0.05	72.3	1.05%	0	0.7	61	0
2	Dec_2_2016	42.67	43.45	44.48	44.29			44.12(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-9	30	3.15	60%	0.05	60.3	1.04%	0	0.4	64	0
3	Dec_1_2016	42.65	43.24	44.5	44.49			44.03(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-11	68	8.47	60%	0.05	56.3	1.05%	0	0.4	69	0
4	Nov_30_2016	42.63	43.06	44.49	44.74			44.22(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-8	122	5.8	57%	0.05	54.9	1.04%	0	0.6	77	0
5	Nov_29_2016	42.61	42.86	44.44	44.92			44.51(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	48	-10000	4	179	3.84	57%	0.05	53	1.06%	0	0.8	83	0

6	Nov_28_2016	42.59	42.68	44.37	44.82			44.57(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	-10000	6	219	5.67	57%	0.07	50.1	1.06%	0	1	82	0
7	Nov_25_2016	42.56	42.49	44.22	44.68			45.12(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	-10000	8	257	1.47	59%	0.14	47	1.05%	0	1.4	89	0
8	Nov_23_2016	42.5	42.25	43.94	44.5			45.3(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	81	-10000	13	286	4.66	57%	0.12	45	1.05%	0	1.7	90	0
9	Nov_22_2016	42.45	42.04	43.54	44.2			45.08(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	80	-10000	12	282	9.9	57%	0.07	43.1	1.06%	0	1.8	83	0
10	Nov_21_2016	42.42	41.85	43.08	43.91			44.05(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	71	-10000	3	276	4.6	54%	0.07	42.7	1.02%	0	1.4	81	0

11	Nov_18_2016	42.39	41.72	42.74	43.85			43.83(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	75	-10000	8	277	7.41	54%	0.07	46	1.02%	0	1.4	71	0
12	Nov_17_2016	42.36	41.6	42.34	43.68			44.25(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	79	-10000	18	261	7.5	54%	0.09	45.3	1.02%	0	1.9	75	0
13	Nov_16_2016	42.32	41.44	41.89	43.29			43.8(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	75	-10000	24	227	4.22	53%	0.12	40.7	1.02%	0	1.9	74	0
14	Nov_15_2016	42.27	41.32	41.52	42.77			43.59(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	-10000	30	176	7.62	53%	0.12	30.1	1.02%	0	2	63	0
15	Nov_14_2016	42.22	41.2	41.16	42.12			43.78(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	51	-10000	31	109	11.74	53%	0.09	12.9	1.03%	0	2.6	63	0

16	Nov_11_2016	42.18	41.06	40.84	41.45			42.96(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	35	-10000	31	45	4.82	54%	0.07	-13.7	1%	0	2.3	55	0
17	Nov_10_2016	42.15	40.98	40.59	40.81			42.29(2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	14	-10000	25	-20	10.94	51%	0.05	-44.9	1.03%	0	1.8	53	0
18	Nov_9_2016	42.13	40.95	40.59	40.29			41.2(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-13	-10000	11	-85	7.06	44%	0.02	-68.8	0.97%	0	0.3	45	0
19	Nov_8_2016	42.12	40.99	40.39	40.08			40.35(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	-10000	1	-116	3.27	40%	0	-76.8	0.95%	0	-0.9	32	0
20	Nov_7_2016	42.12	41.07	40.49	40.05			40.47(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-34	-10000	-4	-122	4.04	40%	0.02	-75	0.95%	0	-0.8	40	0

21	Nov_4_2016	42.11	41.17	40.62	40.13			39.73(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-10000	-11	-114	3.36	40%	0	-68	0.94%	0	-1.8	31	0
22	Nov_3_2016	42.11	41.31	40.8	40.33			39.7(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-9	-100	3.02	40%	-0.02	-63.4	0.94%	0	-2.1	27	0
23	Nov_2_2016	42.12	41.45	40.99	40.5			40.18(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-32	-10000	-12	-93	4.77	38%	0.02	-57.3	0.94%	0	-1.8	29	0
24	Nov_1_2016	42.11	41.57	41.15	40.73			40.18(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-13	-78	2.76	38%	0.02	-48.7	0.99%	0	-2.1	26	0
25	Oct_31_2016	42.1	41.67	41.28	40.99			40.85(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-10	-66	1.56	40%		-45.5	0.97%	0	-1.5	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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