Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $42.6256 (0.77%) ($42.3845 - $42.7413) on Tue. Jul. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $42.6256(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWC(72%)    IWN(72%)    IWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.66(2.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.97(4.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.42(5.46%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 2.35% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2016	41.76	40.42	40.97	41.66			42.63(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	-10000	18	118	3.95	47%	0.05	34.9	1.34%	0	2.3	64	0
2	Jul_11_2016	41.74	40.26	40.58	41.17			42.3(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	11	69	4.8	47%	0.07	16.4	1.35%	0	2.5	60	0
3	Jul_8_2016	41.71	40.13	40.3	40.87			41.84(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	10	48	5.96	47%	0.05	1.2	1.34%	0	2.6	61	0
4	Jul_7_2016	41.69	40.06	40.14	40.6			40.77(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	5	39	2.46	41%	0.02	-17.5	1.3%	0	1.3	57	0
5	Jul_6_2016	41.68	40.08	40.05	40.47			40.77(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	11	32	4.42	41%	0.02	-19	1.35%	0	1.2	55	0

6	Jul_5_2016	41.67	40.09	39.98	40.16			40.17(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	11	20	5.1	39%	0.07	-27.4	1.34%	0	0.1	56	0
7	Jul_1_2016	41.64	40.09	40	39.86			40.82(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	9	10	3.36	41%	0.1	-36.6	1.33%	0	1	59	0
8	Jun_30_2016	41.6	40.13	39.9	39.86			40.46(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	5.2	41%	0.1	-39.5	1.31%	0	0.5	52	0
9	Jun_29_2016	41.56	40.16	39.82	39.63			40.12(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	1	-19	3.9	41%	0.07	-31.6	1.3%	0	-0.1	45	0
10	Jun_28_2016	41.53	40.19	39.8	39.6			39.22(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-7	-39	5.35	38%	0.05	-25.9	1.28%	0	-1.4	34	0

11	Jun_27_2016	41.51	40.26	39.84	39.78			38.7(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-10000	-14	-50	8.5	36%	0.05	-10.1	1.27%	0	-2.3	29	0
12	Jun_24_2016	41.49	40.37	39.94	40.13			39.63(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-2	-38	7.1	38%	0.02	12.5	1.25%	0	-1.3	38	0
13	Jun_23_2016	41.48	40.4	39.94	40.19			40.49(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	6	-42	2.46	40%	0.05	25.7	1.23%	0	0.2	44	0
14	Jun_22_2016	41.46	40.38	39.99	40.19			39.94(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	0	-63	3.19	38%	0.02	29.5	1.22%	0	-0.8	34	0
15	Jun_21_2016	41.45	40.37	40.11	40.04			40.12(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	5	-57	2.5	38%	0.02	32.6	1.22%	0	-0.4	43	0

16	Jun_20_2016	41.44	40.33	40.21	39.91			40.46(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	7	-59	3.87	38%	0.02	21.2	1.22%	0	0.2	48	0
17	Jun_17_2016	41.43	40.29	40.26	39.73			39.95(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-10000	-1	-72	6.19	35%	0.05	15.1	1.22%	0	-0.5	42	0
18	Jun_16_2016	41.41	40.26	40.35	39.76			39.72(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-7	-65	5.33	35%	0.02	9.4	1.22%	0	-0.8	47	0
19	Jun_15_2016	41.4	40.21	40.51	39.94			39.95(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-10000	-11	-43	6.65	35%	0.02	6.2	1.22%	0	-0.3	51	0
20	Jun_14_2016	41.39	40.18	40.6	40.21			39.46(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-15	-14	5.45	33%	0.05	-0.5	1.21%	0	-0.9	53	0

21	Jun_13_2016	41.37	40.18	40.73	40.57			39.58(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-11	27	4.64	33%	0.02	-0.5	1.21%	0	-0.8	59	0
22	Jun_10_2016	41.36	40.18	40.85	40.85			40.07(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-7	60	6.65	37%	0.05	-1.5	1.22%	0	-0.2	58	0
23	Jun_9_2016	41.34	40.2	40.87	41.03			40.65(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-5	87	4.79	39%	0.07	-2	1.21%	0	0.6	71	0
24	Jun_8_2016	41.31	40.16	40.83	41.15			41.28(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	4	120	1.97	41%	0.1	-9.5	1.2%	0	1.4	84	0
25	Jun_7_2016	41.27	40.18	40.66	41.05			41.26(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	5	122	4.11	41%		-13.6	1.2%	0	1.3	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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