Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $41.2198 (-2.05%) ($41.1718 - $42.0747) on Thu. May. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $41.2198(-2.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWC(72%)    IWN(72%)    IWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.97(-5.46%)
Resistance Level   $42.94
5 Day Moving Average   $42.17(-2.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.77(-3.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.94(-4.01%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2016	41.36	42.94	42.77	42.17			41.22(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-10000	-14	-91	10.32	61%	-0.02	-44	1.2%	0	-2.3	32	0
2	May_4_2016	41.37	43.01	42.98	42.52			42.08(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-15	-69	3.88	65%	0	-50.3	1.22%	0	-1.4	42	0
3	May_3_2016	41.37	43.08	43.15	42.9			42.23(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-12	-42	5.11	65%	0.02	-42.4	1.22%	0	-1.4	40	0
4	May_2_2016	41.36	43.14	43.3	43.21			42.84(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3	-10000	-1	-7	3.42	64%	0.05	-38.1	1.21%	0	-0.5	56	0
5	Apr_29_2016	41.34	43.18	43.39	43.25			42.46(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-8	13	9.2	67%	0	-33.8	1.22%	0	-1.1	59	0

6	Apr_28_2016	41.34	43.27	43.51	43.45			43.01(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-2	42	5.02	69%	0.02	-19.6	1.25%	0	-0.4	59	0
7	Apr_27_2016	41.33	43.34	43.54	43.5			43.99(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	2	58	3.1	75%	0.05	-9.3	1.22%	0	0.9	65	0
8	Apr_26_2016	41.31	43.35	43.49	43.45			43.75(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	1	55	2.8	77%	0.02	-6.6	1.23%	0	0.6	50	0
9	Apr_25_2016	41.3	43.37	43.35	43.42			43.06(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-5	42	2.76	71%	0.02	-5.4	1.25%	0	-0.4	49	0
10	Apr_22_2016	41.29	43.37	43.24	43.55			43.45(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-1	33	3.04	72%	0.05	-3	1.27%	0	0.1	47	0

11	Apr_21_2016	41.27	43.37	43.12	43.58			43.24(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	-10000	0	13	3.55	72%	0	-4.8	1.29%	0	-0.2	41	0
12	Apr_20_2016	41.27	43.37	43.04	43.57			43.76(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10000	2	-5	3.05	72%	0.02	-6	1.28%	0	0.5	43	0
13	Apr_19_2016	41.26	43.4	43.01	43.52			43.58(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	9	-14	3.69	72%	0.02	-8.3	1.28%	0	0.2	42	0
14	Apr_18_2016	41.25	43.41	42.96	43.28			43.75(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	15	-38	3.8	72%	0.02	-15.9	1.28%	0	0.5	44	0
15	Apr_15_2016	41.24	43.43	42.94	42.88			43.55(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	10	-64	4.95	68%	0.05	-27.2	1.29%	0	0.2	48	0

16	Apr_14_2016	41.22	43.44	43	42.6			43.22(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	-10000	6	-74	5.01	68%	0	-32.6	1.32%	0	-0.3	49	0
17	Apr_13_2016	41.22	43.45	43.1	42.43			43.51(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-19	-10000	-0	-77	8.32	63%	0	-36.6	1.31%	0	0.1	53	0
18	Apr_12_2016	41.22	43.46	43.17	42.44			42.35(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-6	-71	7.87	60%	0	-30.9	1.35%	0	-1.5	39	0
19	Apr_11_2016	41.22	43.53	43.37	42.62			41.78(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-10000	-14	-63	7.16	58%	0	-23.3	1.34%	0	-2.5	31	0
20	Apr_8_2016	41.22	43.63	43.58	43.01			42.13(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-23	-10000	-15	-46	8.62	54%	0.02	-4.4	1.34%	0	-2.5	32	0

21	Apr_7_2016	41.21	43.69	43.73	43.44			42.36(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-16	-10000	-13	-24	9.48	54%	0	21.9	1.39%	0	-2.7	38	0
22	Apr_6_2016	41.21	43.73	43.83	43.84			43.57(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-6	-2	2.83	54%	0.07	58.2	1.34%	0	-0.4	54	0
23	Apr_5_2016	41.18	43.73	43.85	44.01			43.25(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-3	-10000	-7	8	4.52	54%	0.07	70.4	1.37%	0	-0.9	46	0
24	Apr_4_2016	41.15	43.69	43.93	44.01			43.73(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	7	-10000	0	26	2.77	54%	0.07	98.2	1.36%	0	0.1	52	0
25	Apr_1_2016	41.12	43.66	43.97	44.23			44.3(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	6	33	3.31	54%		106	1.36%	0	1.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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