Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $44.3034 (-0.13%) ($43.8423 - $44.3610) on Fri. Apr. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $44.3034(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWC(72%)    IWN(72%)    IWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.23(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.97(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.66(1.47%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   20.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2016	41.12	43.66	43.97	44.23			44.3(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	6	33	3.31	54%	0.05	106	1.36%	0	1.3	58	0
2	Mar_31_2016	41.1	43.58	43.92	44.05			44.36(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	8	32	3.95	54%	0.05	107.6	1.37%	0	1.5	67	0
3	Mar_30_2016	41.08	43.48	43.82	43.82			44.42(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	5	22	3.74	54%	0.02	103.2	1.37%	0	1.7	68	0
4	Mar_29_2016	41.07	43.36	43.75	43.68			44.32(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	3	23	3.03	54%	0.02	108.4	1.38%	0	1.7	68	0
5	Mar_28_2016	41.06	43.23	43.67	43.6			43.74(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-3	21	3.03	54%	-0.1	98.7	1.37%	0	0.8	58	0

6	Mar_24_2016	41.1	43.12	43.66	43.69			43.41(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	33	3.9	54%	-0.02	95.7	1.37%	0	0.4	58	0
7	Mar_23_2016	41.11	43.03	43.63	43.77			43.19(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-1	42	4.97	54%	-0.02	95.3	1.38%	0	0.2	59	0
8	Mar_22_2016	41.12	42.92	43.62	43.77			43.73(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	0	52	2.24	57%	-0.02	88.7	1.37%	0	0.8	71	0
9	Mar_21_2016	41.13	42.76	43.53	43.81			43.94(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	2	59	4.87	57%	0	87.1	1.39%	0	1	76	0
10	Mar_18_2016	41.13	42.58	43.45	43.75			44.17(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	3	73	4.03	55%	0.02	87.7	1.39%	0	1.2	84	0

11	Mar_17_2016	41.12	42.36	43.32	43.65			43.81(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	-10000	5	82	4.77	52%	0	94.2	1.4%	0	1.1	82	0
12	Mar_16_2016	41.12	42.17	43.21	43.49			43.39(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	3	85	4.53	54%	0.02	100.9	1.42%	0	0.9	81	0
13	Mar_15_2016	41.11	42	43.11	43.39			43.73(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	-10000	6	96	4.61	54%	0.02	104.4	1.43%	0	1.2	90	0
14	Mar_14_2016	41.1	41.77	42.95	43.21			43.63(-0.09%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.3	28	-10000	3	103	3.25	54%	0	111.3	1.43%	0	1.3	92	0
15	Mar_11_2016	41.1	41.48	42.74	43.11			43.67(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	5	112	5.06	52%	0	98.4	1.43%	0	1.4	93	0

16	Mar_10_2016	41.1	41.15	42.53	42.96			43.01(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	32	-10000	2	122	3.98	50%	0	81.3	1.44%	0	1	93	0
17	Mar_9_2016	41.1	40.85	42.37	42.9			42.92(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	37	-10000	4	137	3.2	50%	-0.05	70.5	1.44%	0	1.1	85	0
18	Mar_8_2016	41.12	40.56	42.17	42.78			42.83(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	5	143	4.52	50%	-0.02	61.8	1.44%	0	1.1	83	0
19	Mar_7_2016	41.13	40.27	41.93	42.64			43.13(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-10000	11	152	4.03	50%	-0.02	53.4	1.44%	0	1.4	91	0
20	Mar_4_2016	41.14	39.98	41.65	42.31			42.91(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	-10000	9	162	5.8	52%	0	46	1.44%	0	1.4	93	0

21	Mar_3_2016	41.14	39.75	41.32	42.03			42.7(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-10000	8	175	4.95	50%	-0.02	45.4	1.46%	0	1.5	94	0
22	Mar_2_2016	41.15	39.53	41.04	41.77			42.33(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	-10000	10	193	3.88	50%	-0.02	45.4	1.47%	0	1.5	92	0
23	Mar_1_2016	41.16	39.33	40.79	41.47			42.14(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	-10000	12	212	3.6	50%	-0.05	43.7	1.47%	0	1.6	91	0
24	Feb_29_2016	41.18	39.18	40.49	41.12			41.48(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	-10000	8	216	2.58	46%	-0.05	46.2	1.47%	0	1.5	88	0
25	Feb_26_2016	41.2	39.06	40.13	40.88			41.5(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	-10000	13	212	5.05	46%		46.7	1.47%	0	1.6	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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