Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $43.0073 (0.2%) ($42.4711 - $43.4381) on Thu. Mar. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $43.0073(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWC(72%)    IWN(72%)    IWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.96(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.53(1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.15(4.51%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   17%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 4.33% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2016	41.1	41.15	42.53	42.96			43.01(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	32	-10000	2	122	3.98	50%	0	81.3	1.44%	0	1	93	0
2	Mar_9_2016	41.1	40.85	42.37	42.9			42.92(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	37	-10000	4	137	3.2	50%	-0.05	70.5	1.44%	0	1.1	85	0
3	Mar_8_2016	41.12	40.56	42.17	42.78			42.83(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	5	143	4.52	50%	-0.02	61.8	1.44%	0	1.1	83	0
4	Mar_7_2016	41.13	40.27	41.93	42.64			43.13(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-10000	11	152	4.03	50%	-0.02	53.4	1.44%	0	1.4	91	0
5	Mar_4_2016	41.14	39.98	41.65	42.31			42.91(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	-10000	9	162	5.8	52%	0	46	1.44%	0	1.4	93	0

6	Mar_3_2016	41.14	39.75	41.32	42.03			42.7(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-10000	8	175	4.95	50%	-0.02	45.4	1.46%	0	1.5	94	0
7	Mar_2_2016	41.15	39.53	41.04	41.77			42.33(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	-10000	10	193	3.88	50%	-0.02	45.4	1.47%	0	1.5	92	0
8	Mar_1_2016	41.16	39.33	40.79	41.47			42.14(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	-10000	12	212	3.6	50%	-0.05	43.7	1.47%	0	1.6	91	0
9	Feb_29_2016	41.18	39.18	40.49	41.12			41.48(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	-10000	8	216	2.58	46%	-0.05	46.2	1.47%	0	1.5	88	0
10	Feb_26_2016	41.2	39.06	40.13	40.88			41.5(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	-10000	13	212	5.05	46%	-0.07	46.7	1.47%	0	1.6	81	0

11	Feb_25_2016	41.23	38.89	39.67	40.49			41.41(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	-10000	10	175	3.5	46%	-0.05	43.7	1.48%	0	1.8	68	0
12	Feb_24_2016	41.25	38.72	39.22	40.19			40.84(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	6	145	6.61	46%	-0.07	44	1.48%	0	1.7	65	0
13	Feb_23_2016	41.28	38.6	38.82	40.02			40.36(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	8	121	5.38	46%	-0.07	49.7	1.48%	0	1.5	60	0
14	Feb_22_2016	41.31	38.47	38.49	39.78			40.27(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	18	89	3.94	46%	-0.07	47.7	1.48%	0	1.7	52	0
15	Feb_19_2016	41.34	38.38	38.19	39.25			39.59(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	19	41	5.79	47%	-0.05	37.9	1.49%	0	1.2	50	0

16	Feb_18_2016	41.36	38.29	38.06	38.69			39.9(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	21	11	3.47	48%	-0.07	21.1	1.49%	0	1.7	60	0
17	Feb_17_2016	41.39	38.17	37.89	38.08			39.97(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	11	-10000	22	-22	4.91	48%	-0.05	-6.4	1.51%	0	2	60	0
18	Feb_16_2016	41.41	38.04	37.89	37.46			39.16(4.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.1	-4	-10000	16	-63	7.02	48%	-0.12	-38.5	1.48%	0	1.4	51	0
19	Feb_12_2016	41.46	37.96	37.73	37.03			37.65(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-20	-10000	1	-81	4.07	40%	-0.14	-65	1.47%	0	-0.4	49	0
20	Feb_11_2016	41.52	38	37.88	36.99			36.76(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-13	-86	3.93	35%	-0.17	-77.6	1.44%	0	-1.6	37	0

21	Feb_10_2016	41.59	38.09	38.04	37.33			36.87(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-12	-64	2.83	35%	-0.17	-85.2	1.46%	0	-1.7	44	0
22	Feb_9_2016	41.66	38.23	38.19	37.65			36.89(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-13	-41	4.19	34%	-0.17	-82.5	1.46%	0	-1.8	48	0
23	Feb_8_2016	41.73	38.35	38.39	38.02			37(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-15	-10000	-17	-8	4.75	34%	-0.17	-84.3	1.48%	0	-1.9	50	0
24	Feb_5_2016	41.8	38.47	38.5	38.51			37.44(-2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-4	-10000	-13	25	4.19	34%	-0.19	-84.5	1.48%	0	-1.5	50	0
25	Feb_4_2016	41.88	38.62	38.63	38.88			38.46(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10000	1	57	6.05	36%		-70.6	1.45%	0	-0.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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