Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $38.3734 (-3.31%) ($38.3542 - $39.7903) on Wed. Jan. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $38.3734(-3.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWN(72%)    IWO(72%)    VT(71%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.75(-9.44%)
Resistance Level   $40.96
5 Day Moving Average   $39.42(-2.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.29(-4.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.96(-6.31%)
To recent high   -14.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2016	42.78	40.96	40.29	39.42			38.37(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-10000	-16	-141	3.44	33%	-0.09	-59.1	1.37%	0	-2.4	27	0
2	Jan_12_2016	42.82	41.13	40.67	39.87			39.69(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-13	-108	5.22	36%	-0.05	-62.1	1.32%	0	-1.6	43	0
3	Jan_11_2016	42.84	41.22	40.88	40.23			39.36(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-13	-81	3.25	36%	-0.09	-62.7	1.31%	0	-2.2	40	0
4	Jan_8_2016	42.88	41.37	41.13	40.58			39.24(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-27	-10000	-16	-59	6.11	38%	-0.14	-59.2	1.31%	0	-3	35	0
5	Jan_7_2016	42.94	41.52	41.44	41.02			40.46(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-10	-34	5.84	41%	-0.14	-62.4	1.28%	0	-2	35	0

6	Jan_6_2016	43	41.61	41.57	41.29			40.6(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10000	-11	-16	4.42	41%	-0.14	-58.4	1.29%	0	-2.1	44	0
7	Jan_5_2016	43.06	41.69	41.62	41.59			41.48(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-2	0	4.55	46%	-0.12	-49.5	1.27%	0	-0.5	51	0
8	Jan_4_2016	43.11	41.75	41.57	41.64			41.14(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-10000	-5	-3	4.34	46%	-0.19	-53.3	1.28%	0	-1.4	49	0
9	Dec_31_2015	43.19	41.79	41.61	41.77			41.4(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-6	-3	2.77	49%	-0.09	-61.1	1.3%	0	-0.9	43	0
10	Dec_30_2015	43.23	41.85	41.7	41.92			41.83(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	1	12	2.12	51%	-0.12	-53.6	1.29%	0	-0	48	0

11	Dec_29_2015	43.28	41.89	41.68	41.89			42.13(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	9	8	1.8	51%	-0.09	-50	1.3%	0	0.5	49	0
12	Dec_28_2015	43.32	41.9	41.6	41.64			41.69(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	6	-16	2.87	47%	-0.16	-59.7	1.3%	0	-0.4	44	0
13	Dec_24_2015	43.39	41.99	41.58	41.49			41.79(-0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	3	-37	0.56	47%	-0.12	-41.2	1.35%	0	-0.3	42	0
14	Dec_23_2015	43.44	42.07	41.62	41.42			42.15(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-11	-10000	-1	-41	3.06	47%	-0.11	-27.7	1.34%	0	0.1	52	0
15	Dec_22_2015	43.49	42.1	41.59	41.42			41.69(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	0	-45	3.22	46%	-0.09	-12.9	1.33%	0	-0.6	42	0

16	Dec_21_2015	43.53	42.14	41.63	41.46			40.89(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-4	-53	2.56	43%	-0.14	-4.1	1.32%	0	-1.7	35	0
17	Dec_18_2015	43.59	42.21	41.77	41.56			40.92(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-4	-51	4.51	41%	-0.14	11.7	1.32%	0	-2	37	0
18	Dec_17_2015	43.65	42.24	41.95	41.66			41.47(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-6	-54	4.05	43%	-0.11	12.2	1.33%	0	-1.2	33	0
19	Dec_16_2015	43.7	42.26	41.99	41.82			42.35(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-10000	3	-59	4.83	47%	-0.09	12.5	1.31%	0	0.1	37	0
20	Dec_15_2015	43.74	42.19	42.01	41.75			41.65(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-4	-70	4.93	45%	-0.09	-9.3	1.31%	0	-0.8	38	0

21	Dec_14_2015	43.78	42.17	42.12	41.86			41.43(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-21	-10000	-6	-64	4.39	45%	-0.11	-18.1	1.31%	0	-1	41	0
22	Dec_11_2015	43.83	42.14	42.23	42.02			41.43(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-9	-53	4	45%	-0.14	-31.6	1.31%	0	-0.9	46	0
23	Dec_10_2015	43.89	42.17	42.43	42.26			42.24(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-10000	3	-14	4.12	47%	-0.11	-38.4	1.29%	0	0.1	61	0
24	Dec_9_2015	43.94	42.18	42.55	42.19			42(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-5	-3	4.76	45%	-0.11	-50.3	1.29%	0	-0.2	56	0
25	Dec_8_2015	43.99	42.26	42.65	42.32			42.19(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-4	25	4.97	48%		-49.7	1.3%	0	-0.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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