Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $42.9357 (0.94%) ($42.0915 - $43.0502) on Tue. Nov. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $42.9357(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    IWN(72%)    IWO(72%)    VT(71%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.1(1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.77(2.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.81(0.29%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2015	44.49	42.81	41.77	42.1			42.94(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	14	-78	4.45	53%	-0.09	-22.8	1.38%	0	0.1	40	0
2	Nov_23_2015	44.53	42.79	41.8	41.69			42.53(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-20	-10000	10	-111	5.38	53%	-0.04	-37.4	1.42%	0	-0.2	35	0
3	Nov_20_2015	44.55	42.82	41.84	41.4			42.13(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-24	-10000	12	-133	6.95	47%	-0.11	-47.3	1.47%	0	-0.5	37	0
4	Nov_19_2015	44.6	42.87	42.02	41.05			41.29(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-10000	-5	-156	6.21	45%	-0.13	-58.6	1.47%	0	-1.3	36	0
5	Nov_18_2015	44.66	42.98	42.33	41.2			41.61(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-10000	-6	-144	5.7	45%	-0.13	-58.4	1.47%	0	-1.1	39	0

6	Nov_17_2015	44.72	43.09	42.58	41.39			40.89(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-10000	-18	-138	8.52	43%	-0.13	-53.3	1.45%	0	-1.9	33	0
7	Nov_16_2015	44.78	43.27	42.97	41.93			41.05(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-14	-93	8.32	43%	-0.16	-42.4	1.46%	0	-2.1	44	0
8	Nov_13_2015	44.85	43.43	43.3	42.36			40.43(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-35	-10000	-24	-67	11.24	41%	-0.18	-35.6	1.45%	0	-3.2	37	0
9	Nov_12_2015	44.93	43.61	43.67	43.11			42.03(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-16	-19	6.12	45%	-0.13	-22.1	1.37%	0	-2.4	47	0
10	Nov_11_2015	44.99	43.7	43.84	43.6			42.57(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-6	-10000	-12	11	8.27	45%	-0.13	-6.8	1.37%	0	-1.9	45	0

11	Nov_10_2015	45.05	43.7	43.98	43.95			43.56(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-8	33	3.53	48%	-0.09	6.6	1.34%	0	-0.3	50	0
12	Nov_9_2015	45.09	43.73	43.9	44.19			43.22(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	3	-10000	-7	34	4.02	48%	-0.11	22.3	1.35%	0	-1	43	0
13	Nov_6_2015	45.14	43.77	43.91	44.39			44.15(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	3	42	2.96	48%	-0.07	36.4	1.33%	0	0.7	50	0
14	Nov_5_2015	45.17	43.76	43.8	44.31			44.52(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	6	31	2.41	49%	-0.07	43.8	1.34%	0	1.4	55	0
15	Nov_4_2015	45.2	43.74	43.69	44.12			44.28(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	4	19	3.08	49%	-0.07	54.4	1.35%	0	1.1	56	0

16	Nov_3_2015	45.23	43.7	43.62	44.01			44.76(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16	-10000	14	23	3.65	48%	-0.07	59.6	1.35%	0	2.1	65	0
17	Nov_2_2015	45.26	43.61	43.55	43.59			44.22(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	8	4	2.81	48%	-0.07	53.5	1.34%	0	1.4	56	0
18	Oct_30_2015	45.29	43.57	43.55	43.37			43.78(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	-10000	6	-8	4.31	48%	-0.07	58.4	1.34%	0	0.5	47	0
19	Oct_29_2015	45.32	43.53	43.55	43.37			43.55(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	-10000	0	-23	2.61	48%	-0.09	37.7	1.34%	0	0	44	0
20	Oct_28_2015	45.36	43.47	43.52	43.2			43.74(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	1	-29	2.92	48%	-0.07	24.1	1.34%	0	0.5	45	0

21	Oct_27_2015	45.39	43.4	43.45	43.18			42.65(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-11	-41	3.39	45%	-0.09	12.3	1.3%	0	-1.1	43	0
22	Oct_26_2015	45.43	43.37	43.54	43.5			43.16(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-7	-18	3.17	45%	-0.09	11.9	1.3%	0	-0.3	53	0
23	Oct_23_2015	45.47	43.32	43.62	43.69			42.93(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-10000	-6	-3	8.7	42%	-0.09	4.1	1.31%	0	-0.5	46	0
24	Oct_22_2015	45.51	43.32	43.74	43.86			43.53(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	-10000	-0	22	3.13	43%	-0.09	6	1.31%	0	0.3	58	0
25	Oct_21_2015	45.55	43.33	43.81	43.87			43.66(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	5	44	3.14	43%		-1.8	1.31%	0	0.5	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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