Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $47.1147 (-0.3%) ($46.9153 - $47.3615) on Fri. May. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $47.1147(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(74%)    VT(71%)    VYM(68%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.13(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.94(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.8(0.67%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2015	46.45	46.8		47.13			47.11(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	3	48	5.29	50%	0.02	-20	0.75%	0	0.7	54	0
2	May_21_2015	46.44	46.83	46.94	47.07			47.26(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	10	53	3	50%	0.04	-12.8	0.76%	0	0.8	57	0
3	May_20_2015	46.42	46.86	46.88	46.89			47(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	4	47	2.86	50%	0.02	-21.2	0.76%	0	0.3	63	0
4	May_19_2015	46.41	46.88	46.8	46.82			46.97(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	2	38	6.34	50%	0.04	-27	0.76%	0	0.2	57	0
5	May_18_2015	46.39	46.9	46.73	46.79			47.29(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	2	20	5.49	50%	0.04	-30.8	0.76%	0	0.7	49	0

6	May_15_2015	46.37	46.89	46.67	46.75			46.83(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-3	4	3.61	47%	0	-40.9	0.74%	0	-0.1	43	0
7	May_14_2015	46.37	46.9	46.65	46.8			46.36(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-4	-12	7.58	44%	0.04	-46.7	0.74%	0	-0.9	34	0
8	May_13_2015	46.35	46.97	46.61	46.86			46.67(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	6	-32	5.83	44%	0.02	-45.5	0.74%	0	-0.5	37	0
9	May_12_2015	46.34	47.02	46.58	46.76			46.81(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10000	7	-61	3.61	44%	0.04	-51.6	0.74%	0	-0.4	42	0
10	May_11_2015	46.32	47.07	46.62	46.64			47.07(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	3	-78	2.2	44%	0.06	-54.4	0.75%	0	0	46	0

11	May_8_2015	46.29	47.12	46.64	46.58			47.08(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	5	-83	6.13	44%	0.04	-54.9	0.75%	0	-0.1	47	0
12	May_7_2015	46.27	47.17	46.71	46.49			46.69(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	9	-76	5.22	41%	0.06	-56.8	0.75%	0	-0.7	49	0
13	May_6_2015	46.24	47.23	46.81	46.34			46.16(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-2	-96	7.28	37%	0.06	-60	0.74%	0	-1.5	36	0
14	May_5_2015	46.21	47.34	46.95	46.37			46.19(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-12	-102	6.14	37%	0.06	-61.3	0.74%	0	-1.7	36	0
15	May_4_2015	46.18	47.42	47.08	46.58			46.79(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-8	-90	2.69	40%	0.07	-59.4	0.72%	0	-1	40	0

16	May_1_2015	46.15	47.49	47.14	46.71			46.62(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-15	-92	3.97	47%	0.09	-50.4	0.75%	0	-1.4	34	0
17	Apr_30_2015	46.11	47.56	47.17	46.98			45.92(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-40	-10000	-22	-93	6.81	36%	0.07	-34.9	0.73%	0	-2.7	26	0
18	Apr_29_2015	46.08	47.66	47.37	47.36			46.34(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-23	-10000	-13	-54	16.07	39%	0.07	-19.6	0.77%	0	-2.9	32	0
19	Apr_28_2015	46.05	47.75	47.52	47.6			47.25(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-2	-37	4.11	39%	0.09	-8.2	0.73%	0	-1.4	37	0
20	Apr_27_2015	46.01	47.8	47.58	47.64			47.43(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-7	-10000	1	-32	3.4	39%	0.09	-4.2	0.76%	0	-1.1	46	0

21	Apr_24_2015	45.97	47.81	47.65	47.62			47.94(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	12	-30	2.24	42%	0.09	-10.1	0.75%	0	0.4	45	0
22	Apr_23_2015	45.93	47.78	47.66	47.41			47.86(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-12	-10000	1	-52	2.34	42%	0.09	-30.7	0.76%	0	0.2	47	0
23	Apr_22_2015	45.89	47.75	47.67	47.4			47.54(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-10000	-2	-52	3.22	49%	0.09	-31.2	0.76%	0	-0.6	49	0
24	Apr_21_2015	45.85	47.78	47.73	47.44			47.43(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-4	-45	2.5	49%	0.09	-18.2	0.79%	0	-0.9	44	0
25	Apr_20_2015	45.81	47.81	47.77	47.51			47.33(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-10	-48	3.5	45%		-1.3	0.79%	0	-1.3	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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