Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $46.8015 (-0.39%) ($46.5365 - $47.0948) on Fri. Mar. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $46.8015(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(75%)    VT(71%)    VYM(68%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.49(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.52(0.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.51(0.63%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 0.49% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2015	44.47	46.51	46.52	46.49			46.8(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	-10000	5	-5	2.66	57%	0.16	89.8	1%	0	1.3	53	0
2	Mar_12_2015	44.4	46.48	46.51	46.37			46.99(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.6	0	-10000	4	-12	3.01	57%	0.16	84.6	1.01%	0	2.1	56	0
3	Mar_11_2015	44.33	46.41	46.46	46.28			46.18(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-3	-19	2.63	56%	0.14	77.6	0.99%	0	-0.9	49	0
4	Mar_10_2015	44.27	46.39	46.51	46.35			46.03(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-5	-12	4.12	53%	0.14	79.7	1%	0	-1.1	46	0
5	Mar_9_2015	44.21	46.36	46.56	46.47			46.45(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-10000	-4	-1	2.24	53%	0.18	84.9	1.02%	0	0.2	55	0

6	Mar_6_2015	44.13	46.31	46.57	46.56			46.23(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-4	8	3.97	53%	0.18	96.9	1.01%	0	-0.2	48	0
7	Mar_5_2015	44.05	46.27	46.61	46.56			46.54(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	0	22	1.6	53%	0.16	100	1.02%	0	0.6	66	0
8	Mar_4_2015	43.98	46.21	46.6	46.66			46.48(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-1	30	2.86	53%	0.18	96.6	1.02%	0	0.5	73	0
9	Mar_3_2015	43.9	46.14	46.58	46.69			46.65(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	1	42	2.35	53%	0.18	89.1	1.02%	0	0.9	79	0
10	Mar_2_2015	43.82	46.02	46.55	46.66			46.91(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	16	-10000	3	54	2.49	53%	0.18	66.2	1.02%	0	1.3	92	0

11	Feb_27_2015	43.74	45.88	46.5	46.59			46.7(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	16	-10000	1	60	2.8	49%	0.16	51.1	1.05%	0	1	81	0
12	Feb_26_2015	43.67	45.79	46.44	46.57			46.57(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	2	67	2.34	49%	0.16	51.4	1.06%	0	1	79	0
13	Feb_25_2015	43.6	45.69	46.36	46.52			46.61(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	-10000	2	72	3.83	49%	0.16	52.5	1.06%	0	1.1	84	0
14	Feb_24_2015	43.53	45.62	46.26	46.46			46.5(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	1	75	2.81	51%	0.14	62.4	1.06%	0	1.1	84	0
15	Feb_23_2015	43.47	45.56	46.14	46.43			46.58(-0.01%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	23	-10000	2	86	2.65	51%	0.14	71.3	1.07%	0	1.3	91	0

16	Feb_20_2015	43.41	45.48	46.02	46.39			46.59(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	-10000	4	102	2.32	53%	0.16	83.5	1.07%	0	1.5	92	0
17	Feb_19_2015	43.34	45.38	45.9	46.29			46.32(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	5	103	3.31	53%	0.14	84.9	1.09%	0	1.4	67	0
18	Feb_18_2015	43.28	45.26	45.78	46.16			46.31(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	6	103	2.7	53%	0.14	71.7	1.09%	0	1.5	70	0
19	Feb_17_2015	43.22	45.13	45.66	46.02			46.33(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	9	94	1.65	52%	0.21	55.4	1.09%	0	1.6	59	0
20	Feb_13_2015	43.13	45.02	45.45	45.8			46.38(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	8	66	4.02	52%	0.14	43.8	1.1%	0	1.9	57	0

21	Feb_12_2015	43.07	44.88	45.21	45.6			46.1(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	6	42	5.2	54%	0.12	23.1	1.1%	0	1.7	59	0
22	Feb_11_2015	43.02	44.8	45.08	45.46			45.68(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	4	34	3.43	54%	0.12	14.7	1.11%	0	1.4	59	0
23	Feb_10_2015	42.97	44.75	44.96	45.35			45.62(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	4	34	2.81	54%	0.09	15.4	1.11%	0	1.4	65	0
24	Feb_9_2015	42.93	44.72	44.91	45.24			45.21(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	8	46	3.91	54%	0.09	14.6	1.11%	0	0.8	65	0
25	Feb_6_2015	42.89	44.71	44.93	45.03			45.4(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	12	48	3.8	56%		4.6	1.11%	0	1.2	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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