Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $46.5886 (0.57%) ($46.1154 - $46.6501) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $46.5886(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(75%)    VT(71%)    VYM(68%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.39(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.02(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.48(2.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2015	43.41	45.48	46.02	46.39			46.59(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	-10000	4	102	2.32	53%	0.16	83.5	1.07%	0	1.5	92	0
2	Feb_19_2015	43.34	45.38	45.9	46.29			46.32(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	5	103	3.31	53%	0.14	84.9	1.09%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Feb_18_2015	43.28	45.26	45.78	46.16			46.31(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	6	103	2.7	53%	0.14	71.7	1.09%	0	1.5	70	0
4	Feb_17_2015	43.22	45.13	45.66	46.02			46.33(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	9	94	1.65	52%	0.21	55.4	1.09%	0	1.6	59	0
5	Feb_13_2015	43.13	45.02	45.45	45.8			46.38(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	8	66	4.02	52%	0.14	43.8	1.1%	0	1.9	57	0

6	Feb_12_2015	43.07	44.88	45.21	45.6			46.1(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	6	42	5.2	54%	0.12	23.1	1.1%	0	1.7	59	0
7	Feb_11_2015	43.02	44.8	45.08	45.46			45.68(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	4	34	3.43	54%	0.12	14.7	1.11%	0	1.4	59	0
8	Feb_10_2015	42.97	44.75	44.96	45.35			45.62(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	4	34	2.81	54%	0.09	15.4	1.11%	0	1.4	65	0
9	Feb_9_2015	42.93	44.72	44.91	45.24			45.21(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	8	46	3.91	54%	0.09	14.6	1.11%	0	0.8	65	0
10	Feb_6_2015	42.89	44.71	44.93	45.03			45.4(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	12	48	3.8	56%	0.07	4.6	1.11%	0	1.2	60	0

11	Feb_5_2015	42.86	44.72	44.88	44.74			45.42(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	4	42	3.71	56%	0.09	-5	1.12%	0	1.1	64	0
12	Feb_4_2015	42.82	44.71	44.81	44.64			45.12(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	5	37	5.04	56%	0.07	-12.5	1.12%	0	0.7	53	0
13	Feb_3_2015	42.79	44.66	44.69	44.52			45.03(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	3	-10000	-2	18	7.38	56%	0.09	-29.2	1.12%	0	0.6	51	0
14	Feb_2_2015	42.75	44.64	44.56	44.57			44.19(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-10000	-10	2	12.01	54%	0.05	-31.4	1.1%	0	-0.7	43	0
15	Jan_30_2015	42.73	44.68	44.57	44.81			43.95(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-4	-10000	-9	10	6.81	55%	0.05	-20.4	1.12%	0	-1.2	42	0

16	Jan_29_2015	42.71	44.76	44.55	45.03			44.89(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10000	1	4	3.91	59%	0.07	-9	1.16%	0	0.2	41	0
17	Jan_28_2015	42.68	44.78	44.52	45			44.54(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	3	-10000	5	-4	6.51	60%	0.07	-4.3	1.16%	0	-0.4	45	0
18	Jan_27_2015	42.65	44.84	44.54	44.87			45.26(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-10000	13	-3	3.86	63%	0.09	-2.1	1.15%	0	0.7	58	0
19	Jan_26_2015	42.61	44.83	44.51	44.55			45.41(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	9	-20	3.49	63%	0.07	-13.6	1.15%	0	0.9	55	0
20	Jan_23_2015	42.58	44.83	44.46	44.31			45.03(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	11	-36	6.39	64%	0.07	-17.9	1.15%	0	0.3	49	0

21	Jan_22_2015	42.55	44.83	44.53	44.02			44.74(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-13	-10000	1	-53	4.2	63%	0.07	-16	1.17%	0	-0.1	45	0
22	Jan_21_2015	42.52	44.81	44.57	43.99			43.92(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-7	-63	3.39	62%	0.05	-10	1.16%	0	-1.3	39	0
23	Jan_20_2015	42.5	44.85	44.6	44.16			43.64(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-12	-70	3.86	64%	0.05	3.5	1.17%	0	-1.9	36	0
24	Jan_16_2015	42.48	44.85	44.71	44.47			44.21(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-6	-56	6.25	66%	0.05	32.8	1.17%	0	-1.3	44	0
25	Jan_15_2015	42.46	44.92	44.81	44.64			43.58(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-26	-10000	-18	-51	5.75	65%		55.1	1.16%	0	-2.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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