Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $45.1219 (0.2%) ($44.5475 - $45.3301) on Wed. Feb. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $45.1219(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(76%)    IWM(75%)    VT(71%)    VYM(68%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.64(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.81(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.71(0.92%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2015	42.82	44.71	44.81	44.64			45.12(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	5	37	5.04	56%	0.07	-12.5	1.12%	0	0.7	53	0
2	Feb_3_2015	42.79	44.66	44.69	44.52			45.03(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	3	-10000	-2	18	7.38	56%	0.09	-29.2	1.12%	0	0.6	51	0
3	Feb_2_2015	42.75	44.64	44.56	44.57			44.19(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-10000	-10	2	12.01	54%	0.05	-31.4	1.1%	0	-0.7	43	0
4	Jan_30_2015	42.73	44.68	44.57	44.81			43.95(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-4	-10000	-9	10	6.81	55%	0.05	-20.4	1.12%	0	-1.2	42	0
5	Jan_29_2015	42.71	44.76	44.55	45.03			44.89(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10000	1	4	3.91	59%	0.07	-9	1.16%	0	0.2	41	0

6	Jan_28_2015	42.68	44.78	44.52	45			44.54(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	3	-10000	5	-4	6.51	60%	0.07	-4.3	1.16%	0	-0.4	45	0
7	Jan_27_2015	42.65	44.84	44.54	44.87			45.26(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-10000	13	-3	3.86	63%	0.09	-2.1	1.15%	0	0.7	58	0
8	Jan_26_2015	42.61	44.83	44.51	44.55			45.41(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	9	-20	3.49	63%	0.07	-13.6	1.15%	0	0.9	55	0
9	Jan_23_2015	42.58	44.83	44.46	44.31			45.03(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	11	-36	6.39	64%	0.07	-17.9	1.15%	0	0.3	49	0
10	Jan_22_2015	42.55	44.83	44.53	44.02			44.74(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-13	-10000	1	-53	4.2	63%	0.07	-16	1.17%	0	-0.1	45	0

11	Jan_21_2015	42.52	44.81	44.57	43.99			43.92(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-7	-63	3.39	62%	0.05	-10	1.16%	0	-1.3	39	0
12	Jan_20_2015	42.5	44.85	44.6	44.16			43.64(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-12	-70	3.86	64%	0.05	3.5	1.17%	0	-1.9	36	0
13	Jan_16_2015	42.48	44.85	44.71	44.47			44.21(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-6	-56	6.25	66%	0.05	32.8	1.17%	0	-1.3	44	0
14	Jan_15_2015	42.46	44.85	44.81	44.64			43.58(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-26	-10000	-18	-51	5.75	65%	0.05	55.1	1.16%	0	-2.5	40	0
15	Jan_14_2015	42.44	44.92	45	45.1			44.61(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-10000	-5	-14	7.84	70%	0.05	90.2	1.11%	0	-0.7	47	0

16	Jan_13_2015	42.42	44.88	45.09	45.23			44.77(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	6	-10000	5	7	5.1	66%	0.07	76.1	1.12%	0	-0.2	51	0
17	Jan_12_2015	42.39	44.83	45.09	45.1			45.16(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	4	10	5.18	66%	0.09	63.8	1.14%	0	0.5	57	0
18	Jan_9_2015	42.35	44.74	45.18	44.99			45.07(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	-10000	-0	5	5.96	63%	0.09	53.4	1.14%	0	0.5	53	0
19	Jan_8_2015	42.31	44.63	45.19	45			45.89(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	3	16	7.85	67%	0.12	41.9	1.15%	0	1.6	66	0
20	Jan_7_2015	42.26	44.51	45.1	44.91			45.28(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-10000	-2	29	5.04	63%	0.09	35.1	1.15%	0	0.9	71	0

21	Jan_6_2015	42.22	44.41	45.05	44.96			44.12(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-12	42	5.13	59%	0.07	35.6	1.13%	0	-0.3	57	0
22	Jan_5_2015	42.19	44.39	45.11	45.27			44.6(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-5	77	4.14	59%	0.12	39.9	1.13%	0	0.2	63	0
23	Jan_2_2015	42.14	44.36	45.14	45.39			45.11(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	0	106	3.73	64%	0.19	42	1.13%	0	0.8	70	0
24	Dec_31_2014	42.06	44.3	45.06	45.38			45.42(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	-10000	3	124	2.69	61%	0.12	42.2	1.14%	0	1.3	78	0
25	Dec_30_2014	42.01	44.21	44.84	45.31			45.56(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	6	119	1.5	60%		38.9	1.15%	0	1.6	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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