Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $43.6666 (0.21%) ($43.3000 - $44.1861) on Mon. Dec. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $43.6666(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XRT declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(77%)    IWM(75%)    VT(71%)    VYM(68%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.35(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.52(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.6(0.15%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2014	41.49	43.6	43.52	43.35			43.67(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	2	-47	9.06	54%	0.1	19.7	1.14%	0	0.1	42	0
2	Dec_12_2014	41.45	43.57	43.51	43.29			43.58(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-0	-56	10	54%	0.1	21	1.14%	0	0	49	0
3	Dec_11_2014	41.41	43.57	43.6	43.3			43.31(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	-4	-48	7.07	55%	0.07	27	1.14%	0	-0.4	47	0
4	Dec_10_2014	41.38	43.55	43.68	43.4			42.76(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-11	-34	5.25	53%	0.07	44.4	1.14%	0	-1.4	51	0
5	Dec_9_2014	41.35	43.54	43.84	43.66			43.47(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	-2	5	4.37	54%	0.1	63.2	1.12%	0	-0.1	61	0

6	Dec_8_2014	41.31	43.5	43.92	43.71			43.32(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-2	27	3.6	54%	0.07	65.5	1.12%	0	-0.3	61	0
7	Dec_5_2014	41.28	43.46	43.98	43.76			43.65(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-7	36	4.12	54%	0.1	71.1	1.12%	0	0.3	57	0
8	Dec_4_2014	41.24	43.4	43.99	43.94			43.79(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-3	59	7.03	54%	0.1	74.5	1.12%	0	0.6	59	0
9	Dec_3_2014	41.2	43.3	43.92	44.01			44.09(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-1	63	5.51	54%	0.1	73.9	1.12%	0	1	60	0
10	Dec_2_2014	41.16	43.18	43.79	44.04			43.71(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-5	69	5.7	54%	0.07	72.3	1.11%	0	0.6	65	0

11	Dec_1_2014	41.13	43.09	43.69	44.17			43.56(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	20	-10000	-2	84	6.99	54%	0.07	79.4	1.11%	0	0.5	64	0
12	Nov_28_2014	41.1	43	43.66	44.21			44.54(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	7	102	5.08	57%	0.1	84.9	1.08%	0	1.7	74	0
13	Nov_26_2014	41.06	42.89	43.5	44.05			44.14(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	10	103	3.67	57%	0.07	89.6	1.07%	0	1.4	73	0
14	Nov_25_2014	41.03	42.73	43.4	43.82			44.27(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	14	108	5.9	57%	0.07	89.6	1.07%	0	1.7	80	0
15	Nov_24_2014	41	42.58	43.22	43.5			44.34(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	36	-10000	15	97	4.25	57%	0.07	83.3	1.07%	0	1.9	82	0

16	Nov_21_2014	40.97	42.4	43.02	43.15			43.77(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	24	-10000	5	79	5.47	56%	0.05	79.7	1.06%	0	1.5	76	0
17	Nov_20_2014	40.95	42.24	42.89	43.03			43.71(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	6	81	4.33	56%	0.07	84.8	1.06%	0	1.7	74	0
18	Nov_19_2014	40.92	42.09	42.75	42.89			42.99(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-2	69	4.09	54%	0.05	86	1.05%	0	1	56	0
19	Nov_18_2014	40.9	41.94	42.63	42.94			42.67(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10000	2	86	4.06	57%	0.05	89.1	1.04%	0	0.8	68	0
20	Nov_17_2014	40.88	41.83	42.53	42.89			42.63(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	2	83	2.36	57%	0.02	89.3	1.1%	0	0.8	64	0

21	Nov_14_2014	40.87	41.69	42.44	42.84			43.12(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	5	96	3.14	58%	0.07	84.2	1.09%	0	1.3	73	0
22	Nov_13_2014	40.84	41.5	42.3	42.72			43.03(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	6	103	4.61	58%	0.05	77.4	1.1%	0	1.3	73	0
23	Nov_12_2014	40.82	41.3	42.23	42.59			43.23(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	13	119	7.81	58%	0.07	72	1.1%	0	1.6	74	0
24	Nov_11_2014	40.79	41.1	42.01	42.28			42.44(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	7	111	2.45	56%	0.05	62.7	1.09%	0	1.1	75	0
25	Nov_10_2014	40.77	40.94	41.9	42.11			42.38(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	6	111	1.73	56%		54.3	1.09%	0	1.2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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