Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: XRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Retail sector ETF)
XRT latest price $40.1935 (1.48%) ($39.6411 - $40.2311) on Tue. Apr. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $40.1935(1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XRT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(77%)    IWM(75%)    VT(71%)    XLI(68%)    PEJ(67%)
Factors Impacting XRT price   XRT will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.49(1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.82(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $0(0%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XRT price fluctuates within 0% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2014	40.23		39.82	39.49			40.19(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	4	2	6.07	24%	0	0	1.35%	0	50.9	42	0
2	Mar_31_2014	40.23		39.86	39.38			39.61(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-4	-2	11	0%	-0.12	0	1.31%	0	48.9	33	0
3	Mar_28_2014	40.28		39.94	39.47			39.41(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-8	-3	6.72	0%	-0.15	0	1.33%	0	48.1	17	0
4	Mar_27_2014	40.34		40.03	39.67			39.07(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-10	-4	11.68	0%	-0.22	0	1.31%	0	47.6	50	0
5	Mar_26_2014	40.43		40.15	39.94			39.18(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-9	-4	12.51	0%	-0.27	0	1.36%	0	50.9	50	0

6	Mar_25_2014	40.54		40.3	40.19			39.63(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-7	-3	9.3	0%	-0.2	0	1.42%	0	56.6	50	0
7	Mar_24_2014	40.62		40.41	40.4			40.04(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-10000	-3	-1	3.82	0%	-0.15	0	1.48%	0	58.9	50	0
8	Mar_21_2014	40.68		40.66	40.48			40.44(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	1	0	7.97	0%	-0.07	0	1.56%	0	59.5	50	0
9	Mar_20_2014	40.71		40.66	40.44			40.39(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	1	0	3.61	0%	-0.1	0	1.63%	0	56.1	50	0
10	Mar_19_2014	40.75		40.66	40.4			40.42(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10000	-1	-0	3.34	0%	-0.1	0	1.72%	0	53.9	50	0

11	Mar_18_2014	40.79		40.66	40.4			40.68(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10000	0	0	3.91	0%	-0.05	0	1.86%	0	51.5	50	0
12	Mar_17_2014	40.81		40.66	40.44			40.49(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-11	-4	3.44	0%	-0.17	0	1.94%	0	47.6	50	0
13	Mar_14_2014	40.88		40.66	40.88			40.23(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.7	212	-10000	249	100	6.39	0%	-0.39	0	1.97%	0	43.7	50	0
14	Mar_13_2014	41.04		40.66	32.83			40.17(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	7.6	276	-10000	324	130	5.99	0%	-0.7	0	2%	0	41.4	50	0
15	Mar_12_2014	41.33		40.66	24.8			40.65(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	16.7	351	-10000	413	165	5.21	0%	-0.82	0	2.36%	0	42.8	50	0

16	Mar_11_2014	41.67		40.66	16.67			40.66(-4.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	23.8	0	-10000	0	0	5.07	0%	-2.34	0	0%	0	40.3	50	0
17	Mar_10_2014	42.67		40.66	8.53			42.67(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	4.06	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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