Trading Signals: XPEV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 2, 2022

Trading Signals: XPEV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Aug. 27, 2020 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(XPeng Inc. )
XPEV latest price $11.4500 (14.84%) ($10.0800 - $12.8800) on Fri. Dec. 2, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.88% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $11.4500(14.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XPEV advances 10.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XPEV advances 6.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XPEV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(54%)    VT(43%)    VUG(39%)    XLC(39%)    XLY(39%)
Factors Impacting XPEV price   XPEV will decline at least -4.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    VXX(-13%)    UUP(-13%)    TBT(-4%)    UNG(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.44% (StdDev 8.88%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend 11.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $9.29(23.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $8.37(36.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $8.16(40.32%)
To recent high   -31.6%
To recent low   78.6%
Market Cap   $8.135b

XPeng, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicle. It produce environmental friendly vehicles, namely an SUV (the G3), and a four-door sports sedan (the P7). The company was founded by Xiao Peng He, Heng Xia, and Tao He in 2015 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

$. XPEV price fluctuates within 15.56% (three month std-dev: 8.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 4.47%(48%) Average negative next day return: -4.7%(52%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 9.86%(26%) Average negative next three day return: -7.94%(74%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 15.86%(26%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.33%(74%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2022	14.85	8.16	8.37	9.29	9.56	10.58	11.45(14.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	38	830	31	59	94.65	51%	-1.26	57.6	8.88%	0.9	2.6	65	0.6
2	Dec_1_2022	15.04	7.91	7.99	8.42	8.52	9.87	9.97(-7.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	1140	26	23	45.06	47%	-1.31	41.7	8.68%	0.5	2	69	0.8
3	Nov_30_2022	15.24	7.74	7.77	7.88	7.77	8.55	10.81(47.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	29	660	35	12	171.29	47%	-1.23	21	8.6%	1.6	3.2	74	0.9
4	Nov_29_2022	15.43	7.51	7.54	7.13	7.16	7.18	7.34(6.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	30	2	-42	34.7	35%	-1.41	-11.7	6.14%	0.7	-0.2	49	1.4
5	Nov_28_2022	15.65	7.51	7.67	7.12	7.09	7	6.89(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-100	-10	-39	18.27	32%	-1.57	-14.8	6.06%	-1.4	-0.8	45	1.4

6	Nov_25_2022	15.9	7.48	7.83	7.3	7.18	7.15	7.07(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-80	-9	-21	11.98	32%	-2.51	-15.8	6.06%	0	-0.6	47	1.3
7	Nov_23_2022	16.31	7.5	7.84	7.48	7.4	7.17	7.31(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-250	-8	-6	22.67	31%	-1.45	-12.7	6.04%	1.2	-0.3	58	1.4
8	Nov_22_2022	16.55	7.54	7.8	7.63	7.55	7.21	7.03(-3.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-16	-350	-21	0	20.78	31%	-0.6	-4.2	6.11%	-1.1	-0.7	59	1.3
9	Nov_21_2022	16.65	7.54	7.89	8.03	7.87	7.62	7.32(-5.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-280	-15	49	25.66	31%	-1.36	7.4	6.1%	-1.1	-0.4	62	1.6
10	Nov_18_2022	16.88	7.59	7.95	8.29	8.32	7.89	7.76(-3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-350	-9	91	26.47	31%	-1.4	8.5	6.09%	-1.1	0.2	63	2.1

11	Nov_17_2022	17.12	7.6	7.97	8.44	8.32	8.12	8(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	33	-310	3	124	46.11	31%	-1.44	12.7	6.09%	-0.6	0.5	62	2.4
12	Nov_16_2022	17.37	7.59	7.86	8.24	8.55	8.76	8.03(-10.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	280	11	108	40.94	31%	-1.42	-2	6.09%	-1.5	0.6	57	2.5
13	Nov_15_2022	17.62	7.57	7.73	7.97	8.27	8.98	9.02(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	710	19	73	53.3	32%	-1.4	-22.8	5.97%	0.7	1.9	55	1.8
14	Nov_14_2022	17.87	7.54	7.47	7.73	7.72	8.34	8.64(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	560	14	34	56.38	32%	-1.49	-37.6	5.93%	1.1	1.5	55	2.3
15	Nov_11_2022	18.14	7.53	7.26	7.59	7.45	7.56	8.49(20.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	50	9	14	63.2	35%	-1.36	-49.9	5.92%	1.8	1.4	60	2.6

16	Nov_10_2022	18.39	7.51	7.09	7.46	7.52	7.09	7.04(5.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-380	-2	-17	37.22	28%	-1.29	-59.3	5.36%	-0.4	-0.6	44	0.9
17	Nov_9_2022	18.63	7.61	7.11	7.43	7.69	7.34	6.67(-14.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-210	-4	-30	27.54	25%	-1.22	-60.7	5.3%	-1.8	-1.1	43	-0.8
18	Nov_8_2022	18.86	7.75	7.11	7.41	7.62	7.96	7.82(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	400	17	-17	23.45	28%	-0.63	-66.1	5.04%	-0.5	0.1	52	-1.2
19	Nov_7_2022	18.98	7.82	7.26	7.13	7.33	8.04	7.91(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	760	25	-47	48.35	28%	-1.04	-78.9	5.04%	0.5	0.1	46	-0.2
20	Nov_4_2022	19.18	7.89	7.18	6.87	6.94	7.27	7.88(14.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	360	20	-91	60.17	28%	-0.93	-86	5.04%	1.2	-0	45	-0.6

21	Nov_3_2022	19.36	7.98	7.19	6.68	6.62	6.61	6.86(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-40	-6	-130	23.65	21%	-1.07	-87	4.67%	1.4	-1	39	0.5
22	Nov_2_2022	19.57	8.16	7.3	6.78	6.64	6.6	6.6(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-100	-21	-146	48.9	21%	-1.01	-82.9	4.63%	0.6	-1.2	32	0.5
23	Nov_1_2022	19.77	8.38	7.41	7.09	6.9	6.64	6.41(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-340	-22	-147	38.44	21%	-0.85	-76.1	4.59%	-1.6	-1.4	28	1.2
24	Oct_31_2022	19.94	8.65	7.63	7.41	7.27	6.68	6.62(-3.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-620	-13	-128	27.59	21%	-0.99	-74.1	4.6%	-0.8	-1.4	30	2.2
25	Oct_28_2022	20.14	8.9	7.83	7.52	7.52	7.16	6.89(-6.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-340	-22	-134	37.87	21%		-77	4.6%	-1	-1.3	31	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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