Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 8, 2022

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $167.7000 (-0.86%) ($166.0900 - $170.6200) on Wed. Jun. 8, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.73% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $167.7000(-0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 8.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(95%)    USO(69%)    VFMO(67%)    VYM(63%)    XLB(58%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-27%)    VXX(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    BNDX(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.365% (StdDev 2.73%)
Hourly BBV 0.5 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $164.24(2.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $159.55(5.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $148.41(13%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   41.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 8.66% (three month std-dev: 2.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 3.24%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.57%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.02%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -5.18%(36%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.73%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.5%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2022	128.85	148.41	159.55	164.24	164.43	167.19	167.7(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	121	120	86	224	6.28	62%	0.47	60.4	2.73%	0.5	1.5	90	0.9
2	Jun_7_2022	128.25	146.41	157.04	162.64	162.15	164.23	169.15(3.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	114	80	79	217	4.69	62%	0.33	54.1	2.72%	2	1.8	80	1.2
3	Jun_6_2022	127.83	144.27	154.35	159.74	160.49	161.66	163.03(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	87	70	50	197	4.63	60%	0.42	48.2	2.69%	1.4	1.6	80	1.1
4	Jun_3_2022	127.3	143.11	151.78	158.6	159.16	160.08	161.62(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	80	50	42	192	4.33	62%	0.44	53.8	2.73%	1.6	1.7	82	1.4
5	Jun_2_2022	126.74	141.93	149.24	156.48	157.45	159.33	159.72(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	92	100	57	197	6.48	62%	0.4	55.1	2.73%	0.4	1.7	84	1.3

6	Jun_1_2022	126.23	141.04	146.87	154.06	155.16	158.24	159.68(3.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	131	160	104	211	6.97	62%	0.42	59.8	2.74%	1.4	2	83	1.5
7	May_31_2022	125.7	139.87	144.86	150.51	151.64	155.57	154.63(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	142	200	120	207	10.76	61%	0.58	60.5	2.77%	-0.2	1.8	82	1.4
8	May_27_2022	124.97	138.69	143.02	148.06	147.52	152.08	157.35(4.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	156	210	137	211	5.72	63%	0.43	57.8	2.77%	1.5	2.4	86	1.8
9	May_26_2022	124.43	137.33	140.56	143.95	144.09	147.71	151.01(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	146	180	139	166	6.67	61%	0.4	50.4	2.76%	1.2	2.1	57	1.8
10	May_25_2022	123.93	136.48	138.26	140.94	140.62	142.97	147.64(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	89	110	85	101	6.33	61%	0.36	38.8	2.77%	2	2	56	1.7

11	May_24_2022	123.49	135.61	136.33	138.62	138.07	140.46	141.93(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	110	49	45	6.2	59%	0.35	17.6	2.73%	1.2	1.2	46	2.1
12	May_23_2022	123.06	134.98	134.93	138.37	137.37	138.28	142.39(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	20	55	30	6.51	59%	0.38	4.2	2.73%	2	1.5	54	2.2
13	May_20_2022	122.59	134.37	133.39	137.22	137.29	135.68	136.78(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-80	-10	-14	5.45	57%	0.34	-15.9	2.7%	-0.2	0.5	56	2
14	May_19_2022	122.18	134.18	133.77	136.59	137.17	136.46	135.97(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-20	-30	-13	6.15	57%	0.32	-27.9	2.72%	-0.3	0.4	56	1.7
15	May_18_2022	121.79	134.3	134.09	135.04	136.6	138.91	136.03(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	150	56	14	6.55	57%	0.32	-36.4	2.74%	-1.7	0.3	52	2

16	May_17_2022	121.4	134.7	134.79	133.53	133.97	137.88	140.66(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	90	210	106	40	6.3	60%	0.35	-37.2	2.7%	1.3	1	60	1.8
17	May_16_2022	120.98	134.75	134.44	130.97	131.74	134.3	136.68(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	92	150	112	31	8.52	58%	0.13	-42.4	2.69%	1	0.3	59	2.4
18	May_13_2022	120.82	135.14	133.97	129.08	129.76	130.06	133.63(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	30	7	-27	6.12	58%	0.32	-46.2	2.66%	1	-0.2	55	1.6
19	May_12_2022	120.43	135.57	133.82	130.73	129.78	129.19	128.19(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-50	-56	-39	7.48	56%	0.28	-34	2.64%	-0.8	-1.2	47	1.6
20	May_11_2022	120.09	136.3	134.59	133.1	133.11	129.45	128.47(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-190	-65	-26	7.57	58%	0.28	-19.7	2.66%	0.1	-1.2	41	1.8

21	May_10_2022	119.75	136.86	134.97	136.25	135.8	130.37	127.86(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-141	-290	-168	-59	8.64	58%	0.32	-4.1	2.69%	-0.8	-1.5	36	2.4
22	May_9_2022	119.37	137.37	135.25	138.32	139.23	136.77	127.24(-10.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-81	-100	-97	-33	12.53	58%	0.29	4.4	2.69%	-1.8	-1.8	38	2
23	May_6_2022	119.02	138.05	135.73	139.27	140	141.24	141.88(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	80	36	6	6.44	64%	0.4	11.2	2.33%	0.6	0.7	45	1.4
24	May_5_2022	118.54	137.78	134.81	137.26	137.37	141.7	140.05(-2.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	68	220	93	-9	8.94	64%	0.39	2.4	2.35%	-0.1	0.4	46	1.7
25	May_4_2022	118.08	137.55	134.6	136.31	135.44	138.76	144.23(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	127	150	168	4	10.19	66%		-3.5	2.33%	1.6	1.3	50	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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