Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $143.4800 (2.87%) ($139.6800 - $143.8800) on Tue. Apr. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $143.4800(2.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    IWN(64%)    VYM(64%)    USO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IBUY(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $139.85(2.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $136.6(5.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $129.79(10.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   52%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 6.47% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2016	114.94	129.79	136.6	139.85			143.48(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	7	113	4.16	64%	0.14	64.9	3.02%	0	1.6	81	0
2	Apr_25_2016	114.78	128.57	135.58	138.4			139.48(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	6	125	5.18	60%	0.02	61.1	3.1%	0	1.4	82	0
3	Apr_22_2016	114.76	127.49	134.23	137.08			141.48(3.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	10	124	4.12	62%	0.01	55.3	3.24%	0	1.8	83	0
4	Apr_21_2016	114.75	126.33	132.63	134.83			136.68(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	4	115	4.68	63%	-0.06	48.1	3.25%	0	1.4	77	0
5	Apr_20_2016	114.82	125.36	131.13	134.01			138.12(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	5	108	5.83	63%	-0.1	44	3.35%	0	1.8	74	0

6	Apr_19_2016	114.94	124.57	129.42	132.87			136.24(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	2	103	4.82	60%	-0.11	48.7	3.35%	0	1.9	74	0
7	Apr_18_2016	115.07	123.85	127.52	132.41			132.88(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	7	99	5.44	60%	-0.14	57.4	3.42%	0	1.6	71	0
8	Apr_15_2016	115.23	123.33	126.05	130.92			130.24(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	4	87	4.2	59%	0.14	58.5	3.44%	0	1.3	71	0
9	Apr_14_2016	115.07	122.97	124.98	129.99			132.56(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	10	84	4.5	60%	-0.17	65.8	3.47%	0	1.9	73	0
10	Apr_13_2016	115.27	122.38	123.8	127.7			132.44(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	11	72	6.2	58%	-0.17	67.3	3.49%	0	2.3	74	0

11	Apr_12_2016	115.47	121.59	122.44	125.39			133.92(6.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	25	-10000	16	51	7.94	58%	-0.12	68.2	3.52%	0	3.2	62	0
12	Apr_11_2016	115.61	120.7	120.9	121.99			125.44(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	7	17	4.25	54%	-0.17	56.4	3.43%	0	1.7	52	0
13	Apr_8_2016	115.81	120.37	120.14	120.49			125.6(3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	4	-10000	6	-2	5.49	54%	-0.22	51	3.47%	0	2.1	52	0
14	Apr_7_2016	116.06	119.79	119.43	119.25			121.12(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10000	-0	-21	4.35	53%	-0.28	41.4	3.44%	0	0.5	43	0
15	Apr_6_2016	116.39	119.48	119.08	119.3			120.88(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	1	-26	5.31	51%	-0.26	52.3	3.46%	0	0.5	48	0

16	Apr_5_2016	116.69	119	119.29	119.04			116.92(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-3	-21	4.75	51%	-0.32	55.3	3.55%	0	-0.6	52	0
17	Apr_4_2016	117.07	119.17	119.91	119.6			117.92(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	-0	-9	4.87	51%	-0.26	91.5	3.55%	0	-0.4	54	0
18	Apr_1_2016	117.37	119.09	120.47	119.63			119.4(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-10000	0	-3	4.52	51%	-0.24	114.6	3.54%	0	0.1	52	0
19	Mar_31_2016	117.65	118.73	120.89	119.58			121.4(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	4	10	4.35	51%	-0.25	122.8	3.56%	0	0.7	66	0
20	Mar_30_2016	117.95	118.02	120.92	118.82			119.56(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	-4	11	6.36	51%	-0.33	108.2	3.57%	0	0.3	63	0

21	Mar_29_2016	118.34	117.16	120.74	119.64			119.72(1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-10000	-3	27	5.12	51%	-0.32	95.2	3.59%	0	0.4	69	0
22	Mar_28_2016	118.72	116.18	120.54	120.34			118.08(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-5	28	3.61	49%	-0.66	82.1	3.59%	0	0.3	48	0
23	Mar_24_2016	119.51	115.29	120.69	121.45			119.12(1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-4	42	4.92	49%	-0.33	73.6	3.62%	0	0.4	56	0
24	Mar_23_2016	119.9	114.24	120.26	122.39			117.64(-4.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-4	55	5.8	52%	-0.34	72	3.62%	0	0.4	60	0
25	Mar_22_2016	120.31	113.25	120.03	123.22			123.64(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	6	76	4.45	54%		67.8	3.7%	0	1	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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