Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $133.9200 (6.76%) ($126.2000 - $134.8200) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.52% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $133.9200(6.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    IWN(64%)    VYM(64%)    USO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.76% (StdDev 3.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $125.39(6.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.44(9.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $121.59(10.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   41.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.18% (three month std-dev: 3.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2016	115.47	121.59	122.44	125.39			133.92(6.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	25	-10000	16	51	7.94	58%	-0.12	68.2	3.52%	0	3.2	62	0
2	Apr_11_2016	115.61	120.7	120.9	121.99			125.44(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	7	17	4.25	54%	-0.17	56.4	3.43%	0	1.7	52	0
3	Apr_8_2016	115.81	120.37	120.14	120.49			125.6(3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	4	-10000	6	-2	5.49	54%	-0.22	51	3.47%	0	2.1	52	0
4	Apr_7_2016	116.06	119.79	119.43	119.25			121.12(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10000	-0	-21	4.35	53%	-0.28	41.4	3.44%	0	0.5	43	0
5	Apr_6_2016	116.39	119.48	119.08	119.3			120.88(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	1	-26	5.31	51%	-0.26	52.3	3.46%	0	0.5	48	0

6	Apr_5_2016	116.69	119	119.29	119.04			116.92(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-3	-21	4.75	51%	-0.32	55.3	3.55%	0	-0.6	52	0
7	Apr_4_2016	117.07	119.17	119.91	119.6			117.92(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	-0	-9	4.87	51%	-0.26	91.5	3.55%	0	-0.4	54	0
8	Apr_1_2016	117.37	119.09	120.47	119.63			119.4(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-10000	0	-3	4.52	51%	-0.24	114.6	3.54%	0	0.1	52	0
9	Mar_31_2016	117.65	118.73	120.89	119.58			121.4(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	4	10	4.35	51%	-0.25	122.8	3.56%	0	0.7	66	0
10	Mar_30_2016	117.95	118.02	120.92	118.82			119.56(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	-4	11	6.36	51%	-0.33	108.2	3.57%	0	0.3	63	0

11	Mar_29_2016	118.34	117.16	120.74	119.64			119.72(1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-10000	-3	27	5.12	51%	-0.32	95.2	3.59%	0	0.4	69	0
12	Mar_28_2016	118.72	116.18	120.54	120.34			118.08(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-5	28	3.61	49%	-0.66	82.1	3.59%	0	0.3	48	0
13	Mar_24_2016	119.51	115.29	120.69	121.45			119.12(1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-4	42	4.92	49%	-0.33	73.6	3.62%	0	0.4	56	0
14	Mar_23_2016	119.9	114.24	120.26	122.39			117.64(-4.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-4	55	5.8	52%	-0.34	72	3.62%	0	0.4	60	0
15	Mar_22_2016	120.31	113.25	120.03	123.22			123.64(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	6	76	4.45	54%	-0.25	67.8	3.7%	0	1	72	0

16	Mar_21_2016	120.61	111.82	118.77	121.94			123.24(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	5	81	4.15	54%	-0.22	64	3.71%	0	1.1	75	0
17	Mar_18_2016	120.87	110.64	118.4	120.74			123.6(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	4	102	7.4	54%	-0.2	61.3	3.71%	0	1.3	77	0
18	Mar_17_2016	121.11	109.23	117.58	119.84			123.84(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	-10000	9	123	6.97	52%	-0.18	60.5	3.72%	0	1.5	77	0
19	Mar_16_2016	121.33	107.87	116.32	117.88			121.76(3.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	-10000	7	130	7.58	52%	-0.16	58.1	3.74%	0	1.5	77	0
20	Mar_15_2016	121.52	106.8	114.8	116.42			117.28(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	39	-10000	6	136	5.08	51%	-0.23	57.9	3.72%	0	1.2	76	0

21	Mar_14_2016	121.8	105.76	113.26	115.08			117.24(-1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	32	-10000	-3	135	5.3	51%	-0.26	51.8	3.73%	0	1.3	77	0
22	Mar_11_2016	122.12	104.77	111.47	115.69			119.08(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	3	146	7.16	49%	-0.25	52.5	3.74%	0	1.7	69	0
23	Mar_10_2016	122.43	103.55	109.47	115.03			114.04(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	2	151	7.36	48%	-0.29	45.6	3.74%	0	1.3	70	0
24	Mar_9_2016	122.78	102.69	107.79	114.52			114.48(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-10000	8	153	7.7	48%	-0.32	38.3	3.75%	0	1.5	67	0
25	Mar_8_2016	123.18	101.84	106.01	112.86			110.56(-8.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	-10000	9	136	9.64	48%		29.9	3.72%	0	1.2	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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