Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $115.8000 (3.88%) ($110.9600 - $119.1600) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.65% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $115.8000(3.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    IWN(64%)    USO(63%)    VYM(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.825% (StdDev 3.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.54(8.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.25(13.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.49(15.24%)
To recent high   -15.8%
To recent low   22.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 5.37% (three month std-dev: 3.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2016	124	100.49	102.25	106.54			115.8(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	36	-10000	18	88	12.21	46%	-0.35	-6.9	3.65%	0	2.8	68	0
2	Mar_3_2016	124.43	100.03	100.11	103.14			111.48(4.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	26	-10000	16	57	8.2	44%	-0.34	-28	3.62%	0	2.5	67	0
3	Mar_2_2016	124.85	99.84	98.57	100.18			106.2(5.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	11	27	6.78	41%	-0.38	-42.6	3.56%	0	1.4	60	0
4	Mar_1_2016	125.32	99.73	97.95	98.22			100.8(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	8	12	6.56	39%	-0.44	-54.7	3.51%	0	0.2	53	0
5	Feb_29_2016	125.87	100.14	97.53	96.94			98.4(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-2	-13	6.43	39%	-0.51	-45.9	3.47%	0	-0.4	44	0

6	Feb_26_2016	126.51	100.86	97.48	97.26			98.84(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	4	-19	5.59	39%	-0.52	-32.4	3.48%	0	-0.4	41	0
7	Feb_25_2016	127.17	101.33	97.15	96.58			96.64(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-1	-49	5.16	39%	-0.49	-29.5	3.48%	0	-0.8	34	0
8	Feb_24_2016	127.79	101.76	97.25	96.68			96.44(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-10000	-6	-70	4.82	40%	-0.48	-22.1	3.48%	0	-0.9	33	0
9	Feb_23_2016	128.41	102.19	97.45	97.66			94.4(-5.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-3	-71	4.9	40%	-0.43	-11.3	3.51%	0	-1.4	38	0
10	Feb_22_2016	128.97	102.45	98.24	98.13			100(4.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	2	-78	4.96	42%	-0.33	-11.4	3.46%	0	-0.4	38	0

11	Feb_19_2016	129.4	102.74	98.66	97.74			95.4(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-0	-98	7.21	40%	-0.3	-12.3	3.39%	0	-1.3	28	0
12	Feb_18_2016	129.79	103.1	99.99	97.78			97.16(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-0	-98	7.06	40%	-0.28	-12	3.4%	0	-1.1	38	0
13	Feb_17_2016	130.15	103.07	101.22	97.86			101.32(4.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	4	-89	7.31	41%	-0.21	-19.1	3.39%	0	-0.3	47	0
14	Feb_16_2016	130.43	102.83	101.6	97.28			96.76(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-7	-101	3.81	41%	-0.26	-29.6	3.32%	0	-1.1	42	0
15	Feb_12_2016	130.77	103.07	102.91	98.41			98.04(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-8	-75	5.6	40%	-0.3	-32.9	3.35%	0	-0.9	53	0

16	Feb_11_2016	131.16	103.42	104.46	99.82			95.6(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-10000	-16	-54	7.17	39%	-0.3	-31.3	3.34%	0	-1.5	42	0
17	Feb_10_2016	131.56	103.74	105.85	102.58			97.6(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-14	-17	3.86	39%	-0.33	-28.7	3.37%	0	-1.2	49	0
18	Feb_9_2016	131.99	104.12	106.71	105.07			98.4(-3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	0	-10000	-8	24	5.06	39%	-0.32	-31.1	3.37%	0	-1.2	57	0
19	Feb_8_2016	132.42	104.53	107.45	106.48			102.4(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-9	52	5.07	40%	-0.3	-38.5	3.35%	0	-0.4	60	0
20	Feb_5_2016	132.82	104.91	107.19	108.02			105.12(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-10	65	4.54	40%	-0.32	-38.5	3.34%	0	0	56	0

21	Feb_4_2016	133.25	105.12	107.3	109.78			109.36(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	1	92	7.28	41%	-0.29	-35.5	3.32%	0	0.8	55	0
22	Feb_3_2016	133.64	105.23	106.56	109.68			110.08(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	6	97	6.82	43%	-0.24	-42.5	3.32%	0	0.9	58	0
23	Feb_2_2016	133.96	105.66	105.12	108.67			105.44(-4.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	19	-10000	1	72	5.3	41%	-0.26	-39.5	3.29%	0	-0	52	0
24	Feb_1_2016	134.31	106.39	104.21	108.5			110.08(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	14	60	5.09	42%	-0.24	-37.4	3.28%	0	0.5	53	0
25	Jan_29_2016	134.63	106.83	103.22	106.12			113.96(4.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	9	19	6.63	43%		-48.2	3.27%	0	1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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