Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $105.0400 (0.46%) ($102.7200 - $108.9200) on Wed. Jan. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.21% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $105.0400(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    IWN(64%)    USO(64%)    VYM(64%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.605% (StdDev 3.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

Resistance Level   $107.49
5 Day Moving Average   $103.07(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.25(3.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.49(-2.28%)
To recent high   -33.2%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 7.58% (three month std-dev: 3.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20160227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2016	135.31	107.49	101.25	103.07			105.04(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	12	-39	7.19	41%	-0.32	-48.8	3.21%	0	-0.3	42	0
2	Jan_26_2016	135.75	108.17	101.12	101.06			104.56(6.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	11	-85	4.31	41%	-0.24	-50.2	3.22%	0	-0.4	36	0
3	Jan_25_2016	136.07	109.1	101.19	99.25			98.2(-7.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-3	-136	4.96	37%	-0.36	-51.3	3.11%	0	-1.2	28	0
4	Jan_22_2016	136.56	110.43	102.36	99.74			105.88(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-37	-10000	2	-153	7.55	40%	-0.31	-49.9	2.99%	0	-0.5	33	0
5	Jan_21_2016	136.99	110.94	102.66	99.45			101.68(7.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-43	-10000	1	-174	6.37	36%	-0.34	-52.3	2.93%	0	-1	32	0

6	Jan_20_2016	137.46	111.62	103.68	99.3			95(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-61	-10000	-13	-205	9.56	31%	-0.38	-55.1	2.79%	0	-1.7	19	0
7	Jan_19_2016	137.98	112.74	106.23	101.19			95.48(-5.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-58	-10000	-15	-186	5.59	29%	-0.5	-60.2	2.79%	0	-1.9	23	0
8	Jan_15_2016	138.68	113.95	108.82	103.33			100.64(-3.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-53	-10000	-14	-171	5.22	31%	-0.32	-71.3	2.75%	0	-1.7	23	0
9	Jan_14_2016	139.13	115.08	110.83	105.3			104.44(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-7	-156	6.42	33%	-0.23	-76.1	2.76%	0	-1.5	24	0
10	Jan_13_2016	139.45	116.13	112.21	106.4			100.92(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-10000	-16	-150	5.6	29%	-0.22	-78.1	2.72%	0	-2.3	36	0

11	Jan_12_2016	139.76	117.28	114.33	108.77			104.48(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-10000	-22	-119	6.34	29%	-0.21	-82.1	2.7%	0	-2.1	42	0
12	Jan_11_2016	140.06	118.39	115.91	112.09			106.16(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-10000	-20	-80	4.56	29%	-0.26	-86.9	2.72%	0	-2.3	42	0
13	Jan_8_2016	140.42	119.7	117.76	115.15			110.48(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-10000	-13	-38	3.23	34%	-0.27	-89.2	2.69%	0	-1.9	43	0
14	Jan_7_2016	140.8	120.68	119.25	117.23			109.96(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-10	-10	4.3	34%	-0.3	-83.8	2.74%	0	-2.1	38	0
15	Jan_6_2016	141.22	121.65	119.99	118.86			112.76(-6.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-11	-9	5.6	38%	-0.32	-97.3	2.73%	0	-1.8	37	0

16	Jan_5_2016	141.67	122.44	120.32	120.62			121.08(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	2	0	3.7	46%	-0.26	-110.3	2.69%	0	-0.3	48	0
17	Jan_4_2016	142.04	123.19	119.82	120.32			121.48(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-3	-21	4.36	46%	-0.36	-117.8	2.78%	0	-0.3	44	0
18	Dec_31_2015	142.56	124.1	119.49	120.86			120.88(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-5	-38	2.28	49%	-0.29	-88.2	2.88%	0	-0.5	37	0
19	Dec_30_2015	142.98	125.14	119.6	121.71			118.08(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-9	-10000	2	-40	2.99	49%	-0.29	-79.2	2.87%	0	-0.9	37	0
20	Dec_29_2015	143.39	126.64	120.27	121.29			121.56(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	8	-48	3.88	49%	-0.26	-68.2	2.87%	0	-0.5	42	0

21	Dec_28_2015	143.77	127.91	120.36	119.89			119.6(-3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	-10000	5	-71	2.36	46%	-0.28	-64.6	2.86%	0	-0.8	41	0
22	Dec_24_2015	144.17	129.27	120.94	119.12			124.2(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	7	-95	1.48	48%	-0.16	-63.8	2.88%	0	-0.5	35	0
23	Dec_23_2015	144.4	130.54	121.61	117.93			125.12(7.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-28	-10000	3	-120	5.06	47%	-0.17	-62.9	2.88%	0	-0.5	33	0
24	Dec_22_2015	144.64	131.81	121.98	117.39			115.96(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-10000	-11	-159	4.46	42%	-0.23	-60.1	2.72%	0	-1.3	19	0
25	Dec_21_2015	144.97	133.37	123.29	119.25			114.56(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-51	-10000	-10	-173	4.61	42%		-60.3	2.72%	0	-1.5	14	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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