Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $152.9600 (0.82%) ($150.2400 - $155.5200) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.01% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $152.9600(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWN(64%)    VYM(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.505% (StdDev 3.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $154.37(-0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $155.38(-1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $146.74(4.24%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 7.67% (three month std-dev: 3.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2015	161.61	146.74	155.38	154.37			152.96(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	2	76	1.89	47%	-0.28	27.9	3.01%	0	0.6	74	0
2	Oct_19_2015	162.06	146.04	155.69	153.94			151.72(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10000	-2	106	2.63	47%	-0.28	26.2	3.04%	0	0.5	75	0
3	Oct_16_2015	162.52	145.49	155.47	154.43			157.6(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	34	-10000	-2	142	3.42	48%	-0.25	28.9	3.02%	0	1.1	82	0
4	Oct_15_2015	162.92	144.58	153.92	154.83			157(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	37	-10000	-4	159	3.54	46%	-0.26	30.6	3.02%	0	1.2	70	0
5	Oct_14_2015	163.34	143.98	151.71	155.86			152.56(1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	41	-10000	-3	171	2.73	48%	-0.29	35.8	3.03%	0	0.8	66	0

6	Oct_13_2015	163.81	143.67	149.77	156.62			150.84(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	42	-10000	-4	178	2.61	48%	-0.08	41.1	3.06%	0	0.7	66	0
7	Oct_12_2015	163.94	143.15	147.66	157.6			154.16(-3.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	49	-10000	5	182	2.78	48%	-0.3	41.7	3.05%	0	1.1	63	0
8	Oct_9_2015	164.44	142.33	145.04	156.42			159.6(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	-10000	16	165	4.04	50%	-0.27	37	3.02%	0	1.8	65	0
9	Oct_8_2015	164.89	141.35	142.39	152.7			162.12(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	53	-10000	26	132	4.08	48%	-0.24	25.7	3.03%	0	2.3	67	0
10	Oct_7_2015	165.28	140.34	139.54	146.92			156.4(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	-10000	23	70	5.4	48%	-0.27	7.8	3.03%	0	2.1	55	0

11	Oct_6_2015	165.72	139.59	137.2	141.91			155.72(5.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	24	-10000	27	14	5	47%	-0.31	-12	3.05%	0	2.3	54	0
12	Oct_5_2015	166.23	139.05	135.27	136.34			148.28(5.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	8	-10000	22	-36	4.72	45%	-0.34	-41.4	2.99%	0	1.5	55	0
13	Oct_2_2015	166.8	138.79	134.32	132.05			141(5.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-14	-10000	7	-76	3.27	43%	-0.39	-64.5	2.94%	0	0.4	52	0
14	Oct_1_2015	167.45	139.07	134.13	130.62			133.2(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	-2	-98	2.92	39%	-0.45	-66.2	2.83%	0	-0.9	40	0
15	Sep_30_2015	168.2	139.75	135.38	131.08			131.36(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	-4	-93	3.09	39%	-0.47	-57	2.85%	0	-1.3	35	0

16	Sep_29_2015	168.99	140.44	136.97	131.74			127.84(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-12	-87	2.65	38%	-0.47	-47.7	2.82%	0	-2	32	0
17	Sep_28_2015	169.79	141.71	138.37	133.95			126.84(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-10000	-15	-79	3.4	38%	-0.49	-25.4	2.83%	0	-2.5	28	0
18	Sep_25_2015	170.63	142.85	139.69	136.78			133.88(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-7	-63	1.83	40%	-0.43	-8.6	2.77%	0	-1.8	38	0
19	Sep_24_2015	171.36	143.4	140.56	138.1			135.48(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-12	-63	2.68	40%	-0.45	-4.1	2.77%	0	-1.8	36	0
20	Sep_23_2015	172.13	143.49	141.51	140.38			134.68(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-13	-48	2.43	40%	-0.45	-5.7	2.77%	0	-2	36	0

21	Sep_22_2015	172.91	143.43	142.46	143.01			138.88(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-2	-24	3.07	41%	-0.46	-13.5	2.77%	0	-0.9	44	0
22	Sep_21_2015	173.71	143.23	143.32	143.45			140.96(0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-5	-10000	2	-27	2.4	41%	-0.45	-29.5	2.76%	0	-0.4	37	0
23	Sep_18_2015	174.5	143.28	143.72	142.98			140.52(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-2	-38	2.72	41%	-0.47	-44.7	2.77%	0	-0.5	43	0
24	Sep_17_2015	175.32	143.6	144.43	143.28			146.84(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	2	-30	3.11	43%	-0.42	-52.4	2.72%	0	0.6	54	0
25	Sep_16_2015	176.06	143.74	144.37	142.86			147.84(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	4	-18	3.21	43%		-61.9	2.73%	0	0.7	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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