Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $159.6000 (-1.55%) ($157.1200 - $163.2000) on Fri. Oct. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $159.6000(-1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWN(64%)    IWD(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $156.42(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $145.04(10.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.33(12.13%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   25.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 6.89% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2015	164.44	142.33	145.04	156.42			159.6(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	-10000	16	165	4.04	50%	-0.27	37	3.02%	0	1.8	65	0
2	Oct_8_2015	164.89	141.35	142.39	152.7			162.12(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	53	-10000	26	132	4.08	48%	-0.24	25.7	3.03%	0	2.3	67	0
3	Oct_7_2015	165.28	140.34	139.54	146.92			156.4(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	-10000	23	70	5.4	48%	-0.27	7.8	3.03%	0	2.1	55	0
4	Oct_6_2015	165.72	139.59	137.2	141.91			155.72(5.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	24	-10000	27	14	5	47%	-0.31	-12	3.05%	0	2.3	54	0
5	Oct_5_2015	166.23	139.05	135.27	136.34			148.28(5.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	8	-10000	22	-36	4.72	45%	-0.34	-41.4	2.99%	0	1.5	55	0

6	Oct_2_2015	166.8	138.79	134.32	132.05			141(5.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-14	-10000	7	-76	3.27	43%	-0.39	-64.5	2.94%	0	0.4	52	0
7	Oct_1_2015	167.45	139.07	134.13	130.62			133.2(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	-2	-98	2.92	39%	-0.45	-66.2	2.83%	0	-0.9	40	0
8	Sep_30_2015	168.2	139.75	135.38	131.08			131.36(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	-4	-93	3.09	39%	-0.47	-57	2.85%	0	-1.3	35	0
9	Sep_29_2015	168.99	140.44	136.97	131.74			127.84(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-12	-87	2.65	38%	-0.47	-47.7	2.82%	0	-2	32	0
10	Sep_28_2015	169.79	141.71	138.37	133.95			126.84(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-10000	-15	-79	3.4	38%	-0.49	-25.4	2.83%	0	-2.5	28	0

11	Sep_25_2015	170.63	142.85	139.69	136.78			133.88(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-7	-63	1.83	40%	-0.43	-8.6	2.77%	0	-1.8	38	0
12	Sep_24_2015	171.36	143.4	140.56	138.1			135.48(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-12	-63	2.68	40%	-0.45	-4.1	2.77%	0	-1.8	36	0
13	Sep_23_2015	172.13	143.49	141.51	140.38			134.68(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-13	-48	2.43	40%	-0.45	-5.7	2.77%	0	-2	36	0
14	Sep_22_2015	172.91	143.43	142.46	143.01			138.88(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-2	-24	3.07	41%	-0.46	-13.5	2.77%	0	-0.9	44	0
15	Sep_21_2015	173.71	143.23	143.32	143.45			140.96(0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-5	-10000	2	-27	2.4	41%	-0.45	-29.5	2.76%	0	-0.4	37	0

16	Sep_18_2015	174.5	143.28	143.72	142.98			140.52(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-2	-38	2.72	41%	-0.47	-44.7	2.77%	0	-0.5	43	0
17	Sep_17_2015	175.32	143.6	144.43	143.28			146.84(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	2	-30	3.11	43%	-0.42	-52.4	2.72%	0	0.6	54	0
18	Sep_16_2015	176.06	143.74	144.37	142.86			147.84(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	4	-18	3.21	43%	-0.37	-61.9	2.73%	0	0.7	63	0
19	Sep_15_2015	176.72	144.1	144.02	142			141.08(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-7	-12	1.98	41%	-0.41	-60.9	2.66%	0	-0.5	63	0
20	Sep_14_2015	177.44	144.81	145.15	143.3			138.64(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-7	27	2.16	41%	-0.43	-53.8	2.64%	0	-0.9	59	0

21	Sep_11_2015	178.2	145.68	146.2	144.54			142(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-6	50	2.55	41%	-0.41	-42.6	2.63%	0	-0.5	52	0
22	Sep_10_2015	178.94	146.43	146.48	145.65			144.76(0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-2	59	2.51	41%	-0.38	-34.1	2.63%	0	-0.2	49	0
23	Sep_9_2015	179.62	147.24	145.66	146.06			143.52(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-1	42	3.22	41%	-0.39	-21.7	2.64%	0	-0.5	44	0
24	Sep_8_2015	180.32	147.95	144.61	146.31			147.56(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10000	-6	6	1.91	42%	-0.6	-15.4	2.62%	0	-0	42	0
25	Sep_4_2015	181.41	148.47	143.25	147.38			144.84(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-4	-16	2.03	42%		-6.3	2.6%	0	-0.4	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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