Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $198.8000 (1.49%) ($195.6400 - $198.8800) on Tue. Jun. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $198.8000(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    VYM(64%)    IVE(62%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $198.14(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $197.73(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $198.59(0.11%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2015	203.23	198.59	197.73	198.14			198.8(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1	-10000	1	1	1.47	56%	0.06	-81.3	1.83%	0	0.1	50	0
2	Jun_15_2015	203.1	198.9	197.84	198			195.88(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-1	1	1.26	56%	0.07	-70.4	1.82%	0	-1.1	46	0
3	Jun_12_2015	202.96	199.32	197.96	198.25			196.16(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-10000	-2	-6	1.11	56%	0.07	-72.7	1.82%	0	-1.1	39	0
4	Jun_11_2015	202.82	199.73	198.18	198.62			198.8(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	4	-10	1.2	56%	0.09	-69.4	1.82%	0	-0.3	40	0
5	Jun_10_2015	202.64	200.09	197.99	197.86			201.04(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	3	-22	1.32	56%	0.13	-74.8	1.82%	0	0.3	52	0

6	Jun_9_2015	202.37	200.42	197.72	197.31			198.12(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-2	-30	1.69	56%	-0.02	-73.3	1.84%	0	-0.6	47	0
7	Jun_8_2015	202.42	200.81	197.75	197.74			197.12(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	0	-37	1.7	56%	0.1	-79.9	1.84%	0	-0.9	37	0
8	Jun_5_2015	202.22	201.41	198.3	197.66			198(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-0	-40	2.63	56%	0.14	-84.7	1.86%	0	-0.8	40	0
9	Jun_4_2015	201.93	201.78	198.86	197.69			195(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-2	-41	1.59	56%	0.09	-101.4	1.86%	0	-1.6	36	0
10	Jun_3_2015	201.74	202.55	199.37	198.06			198.32(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-1	-49	1.37	56%	0.14	-107.6	1.85%	0	-1	36	0

11	Jun_2_2015	201.46	203.21	199.53	198.16			200.28(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	2	-60	1.55	56%	0.14	-102.2	1.85%	0	-0.6	35	0
12	Jun_1_2015	201.17	203.96	199.99	197.81			196.72(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-7	-69	1.23	56%	0.08	-86.5	1.85%	0	-1.4	34	0
13	May_29_2015	201.01	205.05	200.78	199.07			198.12(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-7	-66	2.29	56%	0.09	-68.4	1.86%	0	-1.2	31	0
14	May_28_2015	200.82	206.12	201.4	200.29			196.88(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-3	-56	1.65	56%	0.12	-54	1.87%	0	-1.4	39	0
15	May_27_2015	200.58	207.23	202.38	200.83			198.8(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-1	-56	0.79	56%	0.12	-46.4	1.89%	0	-1.3	35	0

16	May_26_2015	200.34	207.97	203.35	201.03			198.52(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-7	-62	1.36	56%	0.12	-46.5	1.89%	0	-1.5	33	0
17	May_22_2015	200.09	208.64	204.16	202.45			203.04(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-64	1.27	59%	0.01	-49.5	1.87%	0	-0.9	32	0
18	May_21_2015	200.06	209.17	204.78	202.77			204.2(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-0	-74	1.21	59%	0.07	-51.6	1.88%	0	-0.8	31	0
19	May_20_2015	199.93	209.69	204.9	202.8			199.6(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-30	-10000	-7	-98	2.38	56%	0.04	-58.1	1.87%	0	-1.7	22	0
20	May_19_2015	199.85	210.35	205.99	204.2			199.8(-2.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-32	-10000	-9	-100	2.39	56%	0.03	-65.9	1.88%	0	-2	24	0

21	May_18_2015	199.8	211.01	207.22	205.97			205.6(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-88	1.36	60%	0.06	-63.6	1.84%	0	-1.1	41	0
22	May_15_2015	199.69	211.65	208.24	206.1			204.64(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-5	-82	1.47	60%	0.03	-55.2	1.85%	0	-1.4	44	0
23	May_14_2015	199.64	212.28	209.61	207.1			204.36(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-1	-65	0.98	60%	0.05	-43.2	1.87%	0	-1.6	40	0
24	May_13_2015	199.55	213.12	211.18	207.3			206.6(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-4	-58	1.45	60%	0.04	-31.2	1.88%	0	-1.3	41	0
25	May_12_2015	199.48	213.9	212.42	208.06			208.64(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-3	-42	1.25	60%		-12.7	1.91%	0	-1.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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