Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $200.2800 (1.81%) ($196.5200 - $201.7200) on Tue. Jun. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $200.2800(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(85%)    USO(65%)    VYM(64%)    IVE(62%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $195.95(-2.16%)
Resistance Level   $203.21
5 Day Moving Average   $198.16(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $199.53(0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $203.21(-1.44%)
To recent high   -10%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150702

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2015	201.46	203.21	199.53	198.16			200.28(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	2	-60	1.55	56%	0.14	-102.2	1.85%	0	-0.6	35	0
2	Jun_1_2015	201.17	203.96	199.99	197.81			196.72(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-7	-69	1.23	56%	0.08	-86.5	1.85%	0	-1.4	34	0
3	May_29_2015	201.01	205.05	200.78	199.07			198.12(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-7	-66	2.29	56%	0.09	-68.4	1.86%	0	-1.2	31	0
4	May_28_2015	200.82	206.12	201.4	200.29			196.88(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-3	-56	1.65	56%	0.12	-54	1.87%	0	-1.4	39	0
5	May_27_2015	200.58	207.23	202.38	200.83			198.8(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-1	-56	0.79	56%	0.12	-46.4	1.89%	0	-1.3	35	0

6	May_26_2015	200.34	207.97	203.35	201.03			198.52(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-7	-62	1.36	56%	0.12	-46.5	1.89%	0	-1.5	33	0
7	May_22_2015	200.09	208.64	204.16	202.45			203.04(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-64	1.27	59%	0.01	-49.5	1.87%	0	-0.9	32	0
8	May_21_2015	200.06	209.17	204.78	202.77			204.2(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-0	-74	1.21	59%	0.07	-51.6	1.88%	0	-0.8	31	0
9	May_20_2015	199.93	209.69	204.9	202.8			199.6(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-30	-10000	-7	-98	2.38	56%	0.04	-58.1	1.87%	0	-1.7	22	0
10	May_19_2015	199.85	210.35	205.99	204.2			199.8(-2.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-32	-10000	-9	-100	2.39	56%	0.03	-65.9	1.88%	0	-2	24	0

11	May_18_2015	199.8	211.01	207.22	205.97			205.6(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-88	1.36	60%	0.06	-63.6	1.84%	0	-1.1	41	0
12	May_15_2015	199.69	211.65	208.24	206.1			204.64(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-5	-82	1.47	60%	0.03	-55.2	1.85%	0	-1.4	44	0
13	May_14_2015	199.64	212.28	209.61	207.1			204.36(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-1	-65	0.98	60%	0.05	-43.2	1.87%	0	-1.6	40	0
14	May_13_2015	199.55	213.12	211.18	207.3			206.6(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-4	-58	1.45	60%	0.04	-31.2	1.88%	0	-1.3	41	0
15	May_12_2015	199.48	213.9	212.42	208.06			208.64(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-3	-42	1.25	60%	0.08	-12.7	1.91%	0	-1.1	48	0

16	May_11_2015	199.33	214.23	212.92	208.71			206.28(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-10	-38	2.29	60%	0.03	-5.4	1.92%	0	-1.7	45	0
17	May_8_2015	199.27	214.39	213.51	210.74			209.64(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-9	-31	2.95	60%	0.1	4.7	1.9%	0	-1	40	0
18	May_7_2015	199.07	214.44	213.94	212.62			205.32(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-15	-24	2.76	58%	0.08	22.3	1.9%	0	-2	36	0
19	May_6_2015	198.91	214.69	214.96	215.62			210.4(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8	-10000	-9	-6	2.91	62%	0.19	48.6	1.89%	0	-0.9	36	0
20	May_5_2015	198.54	214.69	215.19	217.39			211.92(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-1	-10000	-1	-2	3	62%	0.21	58.6	1.89%	0	-0.6	36	0

21	May_4_2015	198.12	214.49	215.24	217.65			216.44(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	-10000	5	-1	1.9	66%	0.22	72.9	1.9%	0	0.4	53	0
22	May_1_2015	197.69	214.18	215.4	216.58			219(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	5	4	1.53	74%	0.22	81.5	2.11%	0	1	64	0
23	Apr_30_2015	197.26	213.42	215.14	215.48			220.36(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	5	5	2.36	74%	0.22	73.6	2.12%	0	1.3	62	0
24	Apr_29_2015	196.83	212.46	215.08	214.3			219.24(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	7	11	3	74%	0.17	66.4	2.13%	0	1.2	62	0
25	Apr_28_2015	196.5	211.82	215.29	212.82			213.2(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	1	19	1.51	64%		73.2	2.11%	0	0.3	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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