Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $231.5200 (-4.39%) ($231.3600 - $246.8400) on Wed. Oct. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.05% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $231.5200(-4.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    XLB(62%)    IWM(60%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -1.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.025% (StdDev 2.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.9%

Resistance Level   $248.92
5 Day Moving Average   $235.28(-1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $231.94(-0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $248.92(-6.99%)
To recent high   -27.5%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 8.48% (three month std-dev: 2.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2014	297.75	248.92	231.94	235.28			231.52(-4.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-30	-10000	4	-130	4.61	28%	-0.25	-55.5	2.05%	0	-0.8	33	0
2	Oct_21_2014	298.51	251.46	234.12	234.3			242.16(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	22	-148	3.86	30%	-0.21	-59.2	1.99%	0	-0.4	36	0
3	Oct_20_2014	299.15	253.29	234.93	229.38			234.24(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-45	-10000	12	-214	3.13	27%	-0.25	-67.3	1.94%	0	-0.9	27	0
4	Oct_17_2014	299.89	255.58	237.3	226.78			231.16(-2.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.2	-68	-10000	-3	-263	5.96	27%	-0.27	-71.5	1.94%	0	-1.1	23	0
5	Oct_16_2014	300.7	258.46	240.24	227.54			237.32(4.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-73	-10000	-4	-281	7.56	30%	-0.23	-71.3	1.93%	0	-0.9	27	0

6	Oct_15_2014	301.39	261.22	242.89	228.43			226.6(4.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-98	-10000	-27	-312	6	25%	-0.25	-70.3	1.84%	0	-1.5	22	0
7	Oct_14_2014	302.16	264.82	246.94	234.24			217.56(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-102	-10000	-33	-309	7.33	22%	-0.28	-66	1.76%	0	-2.1	12	0
8	Oct_13_2014	303.02	269.01	252.81	241.34			221.24(-5.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-93	-10000	-35	-268	6.34	22%	-0.26	-65.1	1.77%	0	-2.3	16	0
9	Oct_10_2014	303.82	272.8	259.22	249.15			235(-2.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-76	-10000	-26	-226	5.79	22%	-0.22	-66.6	1.64%	0	-2.1	19	0
10	Oct_9_2014	304.49	275.84	263.93	254.57			241.76(-5.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-67	-10000	-23	-199	4.23	23%	-0.2	-68.9	1.62%	0	-2.1	18	0

11	Oct_8_2014	305.11	278.8	267.65	259.38			255.64(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-58	-10000	-12	-194	5.67	26%	-0.14	-70.3	1.5%	0	-1.6	20	0
12	Oct_7_2014	305.54	280.93	270.45	261.73			253.04(-2.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-67	-10000	-22	-201	2.45	25%	-0.15	-74.4	1.49%	0	-2	16	0
13	Oct_6_2014	306.01	283.19	273.32	266.18			260.32(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-67	-10000	-24	-194	2.28	26%	-0.12	-77.8	1.48%	0	-1.8	18	0
14	Oct_3_2014	306.39	285.23	275.43	271			262.08(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-10000	-19	-174	2.67	26%	-0.11	-76.4	1.49%	0	-1.9	26	0
15	Oct_2_2014	306.74	287.49	278.17	274.82			265.84(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-10000	-11	-149	4.26	26%	-0.11	-76.6	1.49%	0	-1.9	28	0

16	Oct_1_2014	307.09	289.42	280.94	277.14			267.36(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-10000	-16	-142	3.27	26%	-0.12	-76.6	1.49%	0	-2	25	0
17	Sep_30_2014	307.46	291.61	284.03	280.4			275.32(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-5	-117	3.84	27%	-0.08	-74.5	1.45%	0	-1.6	31	0
18	Sep_29_2014	307.72	293.36	286.36	281.42			284.4(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	4	-106	1.81	29%	-0.04	-77.1	1.41%	0	-0.9	38	0
19	Sep_26_2014	307.85	294.89	287.27	280.62			281.2(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-8	-128	1.75	29%	-0.06	-69.2	1.4%	0	-1.3	31	0
20	Sep_25_2014	308.03	296.44	288.51	282.22			277.44(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-10000	-16	-139	2.36	31%	-0.1	-63.5	1.38%	0	-1.8	22	0

21	Sep_24_2014	308.33	298.13	290.73	285.43			283.64(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-15	-121	2.6	30%	-0.08	-57.5	1.38%	0	-1.4	31	0
22	Sep_23_2014	308.57	299.57	292.12	288.34			280.4(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-42	-10000	-18	-113	2.16	30%	-0.09	-47.9	1.44%	0	-1.9	22	0
23	Sep_22_2014	308.86	301.15	293.83	292.06			280.44(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-35	-10000	-13	-101	2.62	30%	-0.09	-37.4	1.44%	0	-2.3	23	0
24	Sep_19_2014	309.15	302.5	295.91	294.76			289.2(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-28	-10000	-4	-101	1.79	32%	-0.06	-31.5	1.41%	0	-1.7	24	0
25	Sep_18_2014	309.33	303.46	297.63	295.6			293.48(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-6	-104	1.92	34%		-24	1.4%	0	-1.4	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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