Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $310.6800 (0.69%) ($308.3200 - $312.5000) on Wed. Apr. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $310.6800(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    XLB(62%)    IWM(60%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $307.78(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $300.4(3.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $294.22(5.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.15% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140523

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2014	275.11	294.22	300.4	307.78			310.68(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	-10000	13	156	0.61	64%	0.15	77.5	1.24%	0	1.8	66	0
2	Apr_22_2014	274.7	292.73	298.32	305.24			308.56(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	-10000	16	138	0.98	66%	0.14	74.9	1.25%	0	1.8	68	0
3	Apr_21_2014	274.31	291.27	295.94	302.15			309.24(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	-10000	23	110	1.24	67%	0.15	71.6	1.27%	0	2.2	70	0
4	Apr_17_2014	273.91	289.84	294.01	297.7			307.44(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	-10000	19	75	1.29	67%	0.14	67.5	1.3%	0	2.4	69	0
5	Apr_16_2014	273.54	288.46	292.49	294.03			302.96(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	-10000	10	57	0.99	66%	0.1	68.3	1.3%	0	2.2	71	0

6	Apr_15_2014	273.26	287.21	291.31	292.03			298(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	8	62	1.3	65%	0.09	71.9	1.29%	0	1.9	71	0
7	Apr_14_2014	273.01	286.32	290.34	290.47			293.12(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	9	61	1.1	65%	0.06	72.9	1.27%	0	1.2	62	0
8	Apr_11_2014	272.85	285.46	289.76	288.8			287(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-4	51	0.81	60%	0.04	60.9	1.31%	0	0.3	60	0
9	Apr_10_2014	272.73	284.93	289.78	289.64			289.08(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-5	66	0.92	60%	0.08	55.5	1.32%	0	0.7	59	0
10	Apr_9_2014	272.51	284.12	289.16	290.6			292.96(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	0	81	0.85	61%	0.1	52.9	1.31%	0	1.4	65	0

11	Apr_8_2014	272.25	283.21	287.7	290.5			290.2(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	1	81	1.05	61%	0.08	50	1.31%	0	1.1	65	0
12	Apr_7_2014	272.03	282.37	286.87	290.25			284.76(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	18	-10000	-3	81	1.15	60%	0.03	43.8	1.29%	0	0.4	56	0
13	Apr_4_2014	271.95	282.08	286.48	290.76			291.2(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	5	101	1.09	63%	0.06	47.5	1.25%	0	1.5	72	0
14	Apr_3_2014	271.8	281.52	285.51	289.83			293.88(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	13	107	1.25	63%	0.08	48.5	1.25%	0	2.2	76	0
15	Apr_2_2014	271.59	280.79	284.17	287.46			292.44(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	38	-10000	17	102	0.73	60%	0.08	46.9	1.26%	0	2.3	78	0

16	Apr_1_2014	271.36	280.09	282.74	284.5			288.96(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	8	76	0.51	60%	0.06	38.2	1.28%	0	2.1	69	0
17	Mar_31_2014	271.2	279.71	281.87	283.04			287.32(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	8	75	0.64	60%	0.06	34.8	1.29%	0	2	70	0
18	Mar_28_2014	271.04	279.2	280.7	281.58			286.56(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	5	56	0.74	58%	0.08	20.8	1.3%	0	2.2	58	0
19	Mar_27_2014	270.82	278.77	279.57	280.61			282.04(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	1	39	0.99	56%	0.03	19	1.3%	0	1.1	50	0
20	Mar_26_2014	270.73	278.49	278.62	280.41			277.64(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-1	25	0.82	54%	-0.01	19.4	1.29%	0	-0.3	45	0

21	Mar_25_2014	270.75	278.46	278.4	280.62			281.64(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	1	21	0.56	56%	-0.01	24	1.28%	0	1.1	52	0
22	Mar_24_2014	270.78	278.39	277.56	280.46			280(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	5	7	0.51	56%	0.01	28	1.29%	0	0.5	44	0
23	Mar_21_2014	270.75	278.51	277.42	279.59			281.72(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	7	1	0.8	56%	0.01	34.3	1.28%	0	1.1	55	0
24	Mar_20_2014	270.71	278.22	277.25	278.36			281.04(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	-10000	10	-6	1.25	56%	-0	31.8	1.29%	0	0.9	53	0
25	Mar_19_2014	270.72	277.94	277.14	276.58			278.72(-0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	4	-19	1.16	56%		28	1.29%	0	0.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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