Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $293.8800 (0.49%) ($292.8000 - $296.2800) on Thu. Apr. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $293.8800(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    XLB(62%)    IWM(60%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $289.83(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $285.51(2.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $281.52(4.39%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2014	271.8	281.52	285.51	289.83			293.88(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	13	107	1.25	63%	0.08	48.5	1.25%	0	2.2	76	0
2	Apr_2_2014	271.59	280.79	284.17	287.46			292.44(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	38	-10000	17	102	0.73	60%	0.08	46.9	1.26%	0	2.3	78	0
3	Apr_1_2014	271.36	280.09	282.74	284.5			288.96(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	8	76	0.51	60%	0.06	38.2	1.28%	0	2.1	69	0
4	Mar_31_2014	271.2	279.71	281.87	283.04			287.32(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	8	75	0.64	60%	0.06	34.8	1.29%	0	2	70	0
5	Mar_28_2014	271.04	279.2	280.7	281.58			286.56(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	5	56	0.74	58%	0.08	20.8	1.3%	0	2.2	58	0

6	Mar_27_2014	270.82	278.77	279.57	280.61			282.04(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	1	39	0.99	56%	0.03	19	1.3%	0	1.1	50	0
7	Mar_26_2014	270.73	278.49	278.62	280.41			277.64(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-1	25	0.82	54%	-0.01	19.4	1.29%	0	-0.3	45	0
8	Mar_25_2014	270.75	278.46	278.4	280.62			281.64(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	1	21	0.56	56%	-0.01	24	1.28%	0	1.1	52	0
9	Mar_24_2014	270.78	278.39	277.56	280.46			280(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	5	7	0.51	56%	0.01	28	1.29%	0	0.5	44	0
10	Mar_21_2014	270.75	278.51	277.42	279.59			281.72(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	7	1	0.8	56%	0.01	34.3	1.28%	0	1.1	55	0

11	Mar_20_2014	270.71	278.22	277.25	278.36			281.04(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	-10000	10	-6	1.25	56%	-0	31.8	1.29%	0	0.9	53	0
12	Mar_19_2014	270.72	277.94	277.14	276.58			278.72(-0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	4	-19	1.16	56%	-0.03	28	1.29%	0	0.3	53	0
13	Mar_18_2014	270.81	277.77	277.19	275.83			280.84(1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	2	-10000	9	-21	0.61	56%	-0.01	36.4	1.29%	0	1	56	0
14	Mar_17_2014	270.85	277.57	277.29	274.3			275.64(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	-4	-38	0.66	54%	-0.04	46.7	1.27%	0	-0.7	42	0
15	Mar_14_2014	270.96	277.47	277.52	274.98			275.56(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-6	-41	0.93	54%	-0.04	66.1	1.27%	0	-0.6	39	0

16	Mar_13_2014	271.07	277.28	277.85	276.05			272.12(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-10	-29	0.87	54%	-0.03	83.7	1.27%	0	-1.5	47	0
17	Mar_12_2014	271.14	277.11	278.39	277.77			275(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-5	-10	0.72	54%	-0.04	97.9	1.26%	0	-0.5	51	0
18	Mar_11_2014	271.26	276.68	278.63	278.7			273.16(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-10000	-11	-1	1.62	52%	-0.06	91.8	1.26%	0	-0.7	50	0
19	Mar_10_2014	271.42	276.18	279.45	280.64			279.04(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	1	29	0.54	55%	-0.04	90	1.25%	0	0.5	54	0
20	Mar_7_2014	271.54	275.43	279.81	280.38			280.92(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	3	44	0.61	55%	-0.02	81.7	1.24%	0	0.9	63	0

21	Mar_6_2014	271.59	274.46	279.34	279.94			280.72(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	5	49	0.51	52%	-0.01	71	1.25%	0	0.9	65	0
22	Mar_5_2014	271.63	273.34	278.85	279.13			279.64(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	3	54	0.86	52%	0.01	58.2	1.27%	0	0.8	69	0
23	Mar_4_2014	271.59	272.41	278.41	278.56			282.88(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	18	-10000	2	66	0.97	52%	0.03	51.9	1.26%	0	1.3	76	0
24	Mar_3_2014	271.52	271.09	277.79	278.17			277.72(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-6	88	0.87	50%	0.01	46.5	1.24%	0	0.8	76	0
25	Feb_28_2014	271.49	270.35	277.37	279.22			278.76(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	3	122	1.16	50%		49	1.22%	0	1	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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