Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $275.0000 (-0.77%) ($274.5600 - $278.2000) on Wed. Feb. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $275.0000(-0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XLF(60%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $272.61(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $267.4(2.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $265.97(3.4%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2014	270.75	265.97	267.4	272.61			275(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	12	114	1.22	52%	0.03	33.5	1.24%	0	1.5	62	0
2	Feb_18_2014	270.68	265.66	265.91	270.58			277.12(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	-10000	19	90	0.96	48%	0.07	34.7	1.24%	0	2	61	0
3	Feb_14_2014	270.48	264.93	263.77	267.38			273(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	12	47	0.84	46%	0.03	18.9	1.27%	0	1.6	63	0
4	Feb_13_2014	270.41	264.55	262.66	265.39			270.84(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	12	22	0.98	48%	0.03	10.1	1.28%	0	1.3	54	0
5	Feb_12_2014	270.34	264.16	261.93	263.38			267.08(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	12	-10	0.9	46%	0.01	-4.1	1.28%	0	0.7	43	0

6	Feb_11_2014	270.3	263.99	261.51	261.42			264.84(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	5	-51	1.07	46%	0.01	-19	1.28%	0	0.2	38	0
7	Feb_10_2014	270.27	263.72	261.48	260.54			261.16(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	6	-68	0.81	44%	-0	-29.5	1.27%	0	-0.6	41	0
8	Feb_7_2014	270.28	263.98	261.46	259.54			263.04(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-21	-10000	0	-84	0.87	45%	-0	-35.8	1.31%	0	-0.2	50	0
9	Feb_6_2014	270.29	264.07	261.68	259.53			260.76(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-10000	-5	-86	1.25	42%	-0.01	-40.1	1.35%	0	-0.7	46	0
10	Feb_5_2014	270.33	264.33	262.73	260.33			257.28(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-7	-68	1.37	38%	-0.01	-44.1	1.36%	0	-1.6	46	0

11	Feb_4_2014	270.37	264.85	264.47	261.61			260.44(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-39	1.45	43%	0.01	-43.4	1.38%	0	-1	48	0
12	Feb_3_2014	270.35	265.08	265.45	262.59			256.16(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-7	-10000	-5	-14	1.33	40%	-0.01	-50.6	1.42%	0	-2.2	50	0
13	Jan_31_2014	270.38	265.62	266.34	263.52			263(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-3	-9	0.72	42%	0.02	-60.2	1.38%	0	-0.7	48	0
14	Jan_30_2014	270.33	265.89	266.73	264.1			264.76(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-8	-4	1.11	40%	0.02	-63.2	1.39%	0	-0.3	51	0
15	Jan_29_2014	270.28	266.32	266.67	265.58			263.68(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-10000	-12	5	1.28	40%	0.03	-49.3	1.41%	0	-0.7	49	0

16	Jan_28_2014	270.21	266.7	266.77	267.88			265.36(1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-5	24	0.55	40%	0.03	-28.7	1.41%	0	-0.3	49	0
17	Jan_27_2014	270.12	267.16	266.22	268.86			260.8(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2	5	-10000	-3	27	1	37%	0.02	-12.9	1.4%	0	-1.5	48	0
18	Jan_24_2014	270.06	267.75	266.84	269.45			265.92(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	9	-10000	-0	35	1.47	43%	0.05	-0.6	1.38%	0	-0.4	50	0
19	Jan_23_2014	269.93	268.14	266.75	269.54			272.12(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	9	35	2.03	42%	0.08	11	1.39%	0	0.9	53	0
20	Jan_22_2014	269.72	268.11	266.06	267.85			275.2(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	11	-10000	12	9	1.64	42%	0.09	10.3	1.42%	0	1.6	48	0

21	Jan_21_2014	269.47	267.84	265.11	265.61			270.24(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	12	-18	1	40%	0.09	5.6	1.4%	0	0.6	47	0
22	Jan_17_2014	269.24	267.69	264.49	263.35			263.76(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-62	1.38	39%	0.06	-3.1	1.37%	0	-0.9	35	0
23	Jan_16_2014	269.09	267.79	264.71	263.88			266.4(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	2	-65	1.02	43%	0.06	5.7	1.37%	0	-0.3	42	0
24	Jan_15_2014	268.93	267.65	264.86	263.54			263.64(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-2	-77	1.1	43%	0.06	1.9	1.41%	0	-0.9	37	0
25	Jan_14_2014	268.77	267.66	265.83	263.98			264(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-3	-73	1.01	43%		3.1	1.41%	0	-0.8	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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