Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $275.2000 (1.84%) ($271.4800 - $275.5200) on Wed. Jan. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $275.2000(1.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    OIH(84%)    USO(65%)    IWM(60%)    XAR(58%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    BNDX(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $267.85(2.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $266.06(3.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $268.11(2.64%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2014	269.72	268.11	266.06	267.85			275.2(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	11	-10000	12	9	1.64	42%	0.09	10.3	1.42%	0	1.6	48	0
2	Jan_21_2014	269.47	267.84	265.11	265.61			270.24(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	12	-18	1	40%	0.09	5.6	1.4%	0	0.6	47	0
3	Jan_17_2014	269.24	267.69	264.49	263.35			263.76(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-62	1.38	39%	0.06	-3.1	1.37%	0	-0.9	35	0
4	Jan_16_2014	269.09	267.79	264.71	263.88			266.4(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	2	-65	1.02	43%	0.06	5.7	1.37%	0	-0.3	42	0
5	Jan_15_2014	268.93	267.65	264.86	263.54			263.64(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-2	-77	1.1	43%	0.06	1.9	1.41%	0	-0.9	37	0

6	Jan_14_2014	268.77	267.66	265.83	263.98			264(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-3	-73	1.01	43%	0.06	3.1	1.41%	0	-0.8	40	0
7	Jan_13_2014	268.62	267.59	266.54	264.58			258.96(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-6	-71	1.75	40%	0.04	3.7	1.39%	0	-2	36	0
8	Jan_10_2014	268.52	267.81	268.18	265.7			266.4(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	0	-49	1.14	49%	0.07	3.2	1.37%	0	-0.3	50	0
9	Jan_9_2014	268.32	267.55	268.78	265.62			264.72(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-4	-40	1.75	49%	0.09	-7.4	1.42%	0	-0.6	52	0
10	Jan_8_2014	268.08	267.58	269.72	266.36			265.8(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-9	-21	0.99	47%	0.08	-8	1.42%	0	-0.4	57	0

11	Jan_7_2014	267.86	267.53	270.4	268.02			267(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-5	8	1.01	45%	0.1	-5.1	1.44%	0	-0.1	59	0
12	Jan_6_2014	267.6	267.43	270.83	268.9			264.56(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-11	27	1.09	45%	0.07	-5.6	1.45%	0	-0.6	58	0
13	Jan_3_2014	267.42	267.68	271.23	271.06			266(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10000	-7	56	1.21	47%	0.07	4	1.46%	0	-0.4	60	0
14	Jan_2_2014	267.24	267.86	271.25	272.36			268.44(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-10000	-6	76	1.51	47%	0.14	6.2	1.46%	0	0.1	66	0
15	Dec_31_2013	266.87	267.95	270.81	273.5			274.12(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	2	90	0.57	51%	0.09	9.7	1.43%	0	1.3	64	0

16	Dec_30_2013	266.64	267.76	269.73	273.14			271.36(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	0	86	0.71	51%	0.08	2.4	1.45%	0	0.8	62	0
17	Dec_27_2013	266.44	267.71	268.79	273.06			275.36(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	8	86	0.51	53%	0.09	-3	1.44%	0	1.7	69	0
18	Dec_26_2013	266.21	267.48	267.42	271.47			272.52(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	8	63	0.53	53%	0.13	-9.4	1.43%	0	1.2	53	0
19	Dec_24_2013	265.87	267.57	266.18	269.94			274.16(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	12	39	0.26	53%	0.06	-10.6	1.42%	0	1.4	55	0
20	Dec_23_2013	265.7	267.49	265.16	267.7			272.32(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	10	10	1.45	53%	0.06	-19.4	1.42%	0	1.1	50	0

21	Dec_20_2013	265.53	267.66	264.27	265.82			270.92(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	10	-17	1.69	53%	0.06	-29	1.42%	0	0.7	45	0
22	Dec_19_2013	265.38	267.84	263.57	263.91			267.44(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	6	-45	1.66	53%	0.07	-38.9	1.42%	0	-0.1	38	0
23	Dec_18_2013	265.2	267.87	263.66	262.8			264.84(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	5	-61	1.44	54%	0.07	-50.5	1.41%	0	-0.6	29	0
24	Dec_17_2013	265.02	268.04	264.07	261.85			262.96(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	-2	-81	1.15	55%	0.06	-58.9	1.42%	0	-1	18	0
25	Dec_16_2013	264.86	268.38	264.79	262.22			262.96(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-1	-83	1.34	55%		-62.5	1.43%	0	-1.1	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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